Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

73.4%

Resolved

178

Trades

368

lifetime

Volume

$21.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

$1.64K

6 positions

First seen

2026-06-13

last 10-27 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 74% +$118

Other

27% 64% -$127

Tech

3% 100% +$12

Sports

1% 92% -$1

Politics

0% 67% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	+419	$400	99¢	$414	+$14	10-24 06:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	+403	$350	92¢	$371	+$21	10-23 04:46
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+330	$300	89¢	$294	-$6	10-23 04:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	+252	$200	91¢	$229	+$29	10-01 06:16
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	+292	$250	69¢	$201	-$49	10-27 05:12
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	+140	$134	96¢	$134	+$0	10-27 04:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	10	$1.0K	693	693	+0	Down	+$9	09-09 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	10	$926	1,045	842	+203	Up	-$70	09-09 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	8	$770	652	652	+0	Up	-$30	09-09 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	8	$749	1,406	1,406	+0	Down	-$51	09-09 01:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	9	$718	1,094	828	+266	No	-$104	10-13 11:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	2	$428	228	228	+0	No	+$28	10-16 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$422	250	250	+0	Down	+$22	10-27 04:36
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	2	$420	220	220	+0	No	+$20	10-19 12:51
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?	2	$412	213	213	+0	open	—	10-23 04:38
ethereum above 2800 on october 1 2026	2	$405	208	208	+0	No	+$5	10-01 14:11
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	2	$400	465	0	+465	No	+$65	10-07 01:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	1	$400	419	0	+419	Yes	+$19	10-13 10:11
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	1	$400	419	0	+419	open	—	10-24 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$357	298	298	+0	Down	-$43	10-27 05:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	2	$350	403	0	+403	open	—	10-23 04:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 13?	2	$340	275	275	+0	No	-$60	10-13 07:36
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$300	330	0	+330	open	—	10-23 04:39
will ethereum reach 2700 october 12 18 2026	2	$295	321	0	+321	No	+$27	10-14 10:39
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	2	$291	237	237	+0	Yes	-$109	10-16 04:11
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$273	227	227	+0	open	—	10-27 04:28
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	2	$250	292	0	+292	open	—	10-27 05:12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	2	$249	129	129	+0	No	+$9	10-17 04:41
will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	2	$212	112	112	+0	No	+$12	09-26 08:48
will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	2	$209	110	110	+0	No	+$9	09-28 02:05
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$209	110	110	+0	No	+$9	09-12 06:30
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$208	109	109	+0	No	+$8	09-25 08:34
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13?	2	$208	109	109	+0	No	+$8	09-14 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$207	111	111	+0	Up	+$7	09-09 07:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 13?	2	$205	106	106	+0	No	+$5	09-11 03:32
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	2	$205	105	105	+0	No	+$5	10-01 02:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:15:53	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0xcfd321…
10-27 05:15:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	226	89¢	$200	0x40427c…
10-27 05:12:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x14bf58…
10-27 05:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0x917431…
10-27 05:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	167	16¢	$27	0x83afd1…
10-27 05:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x531dad…
10-27 05:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xc1cdf0…
10-27 05:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x03401a…
10-27 05:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	44¢	$6	0x547c18…
10-27 05:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa05a84…
10-27 04:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	105	94¢	$99	0xa4f865…
10-27 04:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa026e7…
10-27 04:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	145	85¢	$123	0xc6caf3…
10-27 04:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x0b8950…
10-27 04:31:59	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x7987ff…
10-27 04:28:35	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	227	32¢	$73	0x7b08ff…
10-24 06:52:44	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	419	96¢	$400	0x9a8bc7…
10-23 07:06:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x3a1aec…
10-23 07:06:03	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	227	88¢	$200	0xaa0230…
10-23 04:47:57	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xe08fbe…
10-23 04:46:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	184	82¢	$150	0x72d89e…
10-23 04:39:32	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xd60822…
10-23 04:38:33	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?	No	SELL	213	99¢	$212	0xecde85…
10-20 05:20:51	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	173	90¢	$156	0x81b052…
10-20 05:19:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x8d7216…
10-20 05:19:36	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xbd235f…
10-20 05:18:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x4a2e15…
10-20 05:17:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x463306…
10-20 05:17:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xbf71d6…
10-20 05:16:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xa2b646…
10-19 12:51:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0xe1ab96…
10-17 04:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	129	100¢	$129	0xf3af2f…
10-16 15:10:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	No	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0x2e17b4…
10-16 15:08:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	134	90¢	$120	0x09a221…
10-16 04:14:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	129	93¢	$120	0x885c36…
10-16 04:11:52	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	237	38¢	$91	0x299132…
10-16 03:59:28	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	221	91¢	$200	0x36a6b0…
10-15 06:18:56	will bitcoin reach 84k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x57dca7…
10-15 03:53:22	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0x334ac8…
10-14 21:18:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	225	89¢	$200	0xe6f906…
10-14 10:39:37	will ethereum reach 2700 october 12 18 2026	No	BUY	104	91¢	$95	0xc3f80d…
10-14 09:37:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 15?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x71daab…
10-14 09:36:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x85b76d…
10-14 09:35:37	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 October 12-18?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x3b4251…
10-14 09:34:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 14?	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xf1abd6…
10-14 09:34:14	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x1f3a33…
10-13 11:26:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x459f7d…
10-13 11:23:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	85	71¢	$60	0x5ca6ca…
10-13 11:23:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	129	70¢	$90	0x663810…
10-13 11:22:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	828	21¢	$174	0x24e590…
10-13 11:09:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	37	88¢	$33	0x517f98…
10-13 10:11:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	419	95¢	$400	0x762185…
10-13 08:53:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	160	31¢	$50	0x65120f…
10-13 08:49:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	279	36¢	$100	0x465496…
10-13 07:39:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	198	50¢	$100	0x8b02b6…
10-13 07:38:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x8ab63d…
10-13 07:36:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 13?	No	SELL	275	51¢	$140	0x95c4ea…
10-13 05:42:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x3c67c9…
10-13 04:55:36	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xff36e4…
10-13 04:39:53	Will XRP reach $1.50 October 12-18?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xfd43e8…
10-13 04:38:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xa7ca26…
10-13 04:33:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	275	73¢	$200	0x2cae9d…
10-13 04:31:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x0870fe…
10-13 04:28:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x3cd845…
10-09 09:33:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	216	93¢	$200	0xba14c0…
10-09 09:20:30	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x1aaba0…
10-07 01:32:36	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 5-11?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xf3ab09…
10-07 01:32:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 5-11?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xb5179e…
10-07 01:27:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x18a4c9…
10-07 01:26:05	Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xb18bf6…
10-07 01:24:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x558707…
10-07 01:24:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x0c7b30…
10-07 01:23:15	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 October 5-11?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x484e6c…
10-07 01:22:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x60e8d9…
10-01 14:11:36	ethereum above 2800 on october 1 2026	No	SELL	208	99¢	$205	0xa5513b…
10-01 07:44:24	will bitcoin reach 86k on october 1 2026	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xd10ba3…
10-01 07:02:27	will ethereum dip to 2500 september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x1c3ed5…
10-01 07:01:30	ethereum above 2800 on october 1 2026	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x66fbe5…
10-01 06:42:12	will bitcoin reach 90k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	214	94¢	$200	0xabdf72…
10-01 06:38:03	bitcoin above 86k on october 1 2026	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xe22999…
10-01 06:20:12	Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0x929585…
10-01 06:16:15	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	252	79¢	$200	0xef568f…
10-01 02:20:02	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xb70909…
09-29 09:33:14	will ethereum reach 2900 in september 2026	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xdb3200…
09-29 09:31:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xa82b1e…
09-28 02:05:29	will ethereum dip to 2300 in september 2026	No	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x08cd07…
09-26 14:04:32	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$42	0x3ee51c…
09-26 08:48:51	will bitcoin dip to 67pt5k in september 2026	No	SELL	112	99¢	$112	0x299132…
09-25 08:34:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$108	0x5b84e5…
09-23 01:07:44	Will the People’s Bank of China decrease rates by September 30?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x02c2dc…
09-22 13:02:27	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0xe53371…
09-21 04:32:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x0cf500…
09-17 08:15:43	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x4f3792…
09-17 07:30:49	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x7e1d01…
09-14 08:11:40	Will XRP dip to $1.20 in September?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x11a7e2…
09-14 08:05:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xdb5663…
09-14 08:05:00	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa883fd…
09-14 08:01:22	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xc01aad…
09-14 02:39:45	Will any other model be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x4f8ae0…
09-14 02:39:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 September 7-13?	No	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xa1774f…