Unsteady-Marathon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,412

lifetime

Volume

$11.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-09 03:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

49% — —

Crypto

41% 46% $-80

Other

7% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 821 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	27	$3.6K	3,994	3,994	+0	open	—	03-07 02:54
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	6	$642	405	405	+0	open	—	02-28 18:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$584	526	526	+0	open	—	02-28 19:47
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	4	$334	442	442	+0	open	—	03-09 06:29
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	4	$311	1,200	1,000	+200	open	—	03-10 16:11
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$292	249	249	+0	open	—	02-28 07:18
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	11	$287	1,500	1,200	+300	open	—	06-09 03:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	10	$270	1,328	1,328	+0	open	—	06-09 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	97	$198	182	209	-27	open	—	05-15 23:54
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	03-09 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	80	$162	161	169	-9	open	—	05-15 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	71	$149	144	137	+6	open	—	05-15 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	64	$128	123	170	-47	open	—	05-15 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	60	$117	115	122	-6	open	—	05-15 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	46	$116	95	120	-25	open	—	05-15 22:39
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	51	$115	224	0	+224	open	—	05-16 01:34
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$104	400	0	+400	open	—	03-11 05:49
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	8	$104	340	340	+0	open	—	02-28 08:58
will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31	2	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 08:26
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	58	$101	103	112	-9	open	—	05-15 23:05
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	35	$80	148	15	+133	open	—	05-16 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	31	$72	67	75	-8	open	—	05-15 23:39
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	35	$72	58	90	-32	Up	$-3	05-13 22:10
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	33	$71	139	25	+114	open	—	05-16 02:29
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	33	$70	118	62	+57	open	—	05-16 03:14
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	30	$69	61	68	-7	Up	$-3	05-13 22:44
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	26	$67	118	0	+118	open	—	05-16 01:39
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	28	$63	46	70	-24	Up	+$1	05-13 22:13
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	30	$59	116	13	+104	open	—	05-16 03:04
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	25	$55	102	0	+102	open	—	05-16 05:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 03:28:10	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x13d26a…
06-09 03:26:18	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xd17fc1…
06-09 03:25:25	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xb24a6a…
06-09 03:24:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	600	5¢	$30	0xb631de…
06-09 03:23:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xc5f7c7…
06-09 03:19:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x5f758e…
06-09 03:14:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	375	15¢	$56	0xaef055…
06-09 03:11:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	125	14¢	$17	0x2e04f6…
06-09 03:05:33	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	350	34¢	$119	0xb88600…
06-09 03:04:36	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x01b7e7…
06-09 03:02:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x8f9483…
06-09 01:09:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	389	10¢	$39	0x37fd20…
06-09 00:36:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	513	11¢	$56	0x76ad5a…
06-09 00:33:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	301	11¢	$33	0x15677c…
06-08 23:43:42	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	120	11¢	$13	0x5cc2a0…
06-08 23:40:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	27	9¢	$3	0x422b57…
06-08 23:40:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	9¢	$5	0x61faa1…
06-08 23:36:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x5d77a5…
06-08 21:53:21	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,104	10¢	$105	0x19787c…
06-08 21:41:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	145	11¢	$15	0x440eee…
06-08 21:41:22	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x3cb26c…
05-16 10:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xad1932…
05-16 10:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6f7d54…
05-16 10:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x2a9f10…
05-16 10:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x25fc64…
05-16 10:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x6091ad…
05-16 10:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7e287e…
05-16 10:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x4aab60…
05-16 10:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0xae5f81…
05-16 10:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5a6b4c…
05-16 10:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x168f29…
05-16 10:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xb558ad…
05-16 10:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa91720…
05-16 10:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xa91720…
05-16 10:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0xa1c2bc…
05-16 10:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x4d6ffa…
05-16 10:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x4d6ffa…
05-16 10:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa54c6f…
05-16 10:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x5ed184…
05-16 10:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xa72284…
05-16 10:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x819146…
05-16 10:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf730f8…
05-16 10:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x945327…
05-16 10:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x9a5afb…
05-16 10:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x14a6d8…
05-16 10:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x92e382…
05-16 10:19:49	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xf84527…
05-16 10:17:52	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x9df76f…
05-16 10:17:43	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x66b9a2…
05-16 10:17:22	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb22087…
05-16 10:17:20	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x473e69…
05-16 10:16:59	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0xa4f86c…
05-16 10:16:54	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x23bf82…
05-16 10:16:52	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb329a8…
05-16 10:16:36	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x53b22c…
05-16 10:16:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x297163…
05-16 10:15:58	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x535b8f…
05-16 10:15:56	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc374fb…
05-16 10:15:54	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xdadeba…
05-16 10:15:51	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x5e6a2a…
05-16 10:15:40	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x79316f…
05-16 10:15:39	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xb7c91e…
05-16 10:15:39	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x45e146…
05-16 10:15:30	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x03e634…
05-16 10:12:35	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x231b9b…
05-16 10:12:26	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xfe7f6c…
05-16 10:12:19	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xb93c4f…
05-16 10:02:43	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x81fc49…
05-16 10:01:14	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xea8653…
05-16 10:00:46	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x173ca1…
05-16 10:00:37	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8fcab2…
05-16 10:00:36	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb07574…
05-16 10:00:34	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x65bbc2…
05-16 09:56:55	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x76860c…
05-16 09:56:43	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x962347…
05-16 09:55:57	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf10f00…
05-16 09:55:56	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x05b707…
05-16 09:55:29	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xeb4220…
05-16 09:55:29	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x6cab7a…
05-16 09:52:43	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x9ab04d…
05-16 09:52:24	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xa7ec38…
05-16 09:51:52	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe967a5…
05-16 09:51:38	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf55699…
05-16 09:51:19	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x638f30…
05-16 09:50:56	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x986c16…
05-16 09:50:56	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x87dcb4…
05-16 09:50:49	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x709a53…
05-16 09:50:41	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7317a0…
05-16 09:50:32	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x63818a…
05-16 09:50:30	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9cba71…
05-16 09:50:28	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7e3ae3…
05-16 09:47:42	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x41a4e9…
05-16 09:46:16	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x993de9…
05-16 09:46:15	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x071c54…
05-16 09:46:04	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x799883…
05-16 09:45:50	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4b2a4b…
05-16 09:45:50	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x07a03a…
05-16 09:45:48	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x8bf9eb…
05-16 09:45:48	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x68d8f2…
05-16 09:45:33	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x86d652…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	163	$15.2K	4,050	05-16 10:33
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	154	$8.19K	4,305	05-16 10:32
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	151	$8.43K	943	05-16 10:29
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	150	$23.4K	5,108	05-16 05:43
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	144	$31.1K	2,697	05-16 10:32
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	143	$9.12K	858	05-16 05:42
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	143	$4.00K	617	05-16 10:33
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	143	$2.84K	268	05-16 10:28