Yearly-Skylight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.51K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

10,852

Trades

37,175

lifetime

Volume

$1.37M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 19:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 284 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 96% -$4,236

Other

3% 59% -$2,433

Sports

1% 100% +$132

Politics

0% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	34	$8.5K	8,900	8,900	+0	Seahawks	+$132	02-09 02:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$8.1K	4,700	4,700	+0	Yes	-$140	01-31 12:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 20:45 UTC	20	$5.7K	11,311	0	+11,311	Up	-$96	01-12 21:00
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 1?	33	$5.7K	2,849	2,849	+0	Yes	+$40	06-01 15:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 00:45 UTC	20	$4.5K	8,921	0	+8,921	Up	+$17	01-12 00:59
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 78°F or higher on May 31?	15	$4.1K	2,097	2,097	+0	Yes	+$47	05-31 23:59
bitcoin up or down january 11 12pm et	38	$3.8K	7,648	0	+7,648	Down	+$37	01-11 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 31?	17	$3.6K	1,816	1,816	+0	Yes	+$16	05-31 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	7	$2.6K	2,647	0	+2,647	Down	+$26	05-09 01:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 03:45 UTC	11	$2.6K	3,535	0	+3,535	Up	+$32	01-17 04:00
will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	22	$2.5K	1,270	1,270	+0	Yes	+$28	02-25 04:09
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 4?	7	$2.4K	2,403	0	+2,403	No	-$2,363	06-03 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	8	$2.2K	2,270	0	+2,270	Down	+$23	04-25 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	21	$2.2K	2,260	0	+2,260	Down	+$23	04-27 10:45
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	10	$2.2K	1,117	1,117	+0	Yes	+$12	06-13 02:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-01 03:15 UTC	34	$2.2K	1,220	1,119	+101	Down	-$34	02-01 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$2.2K	2,207	0	+2,207	Down	+$22	05-09 02:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:25 UTC	2	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	Up	+$22	03-17 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	7	$2.1K	2,163	0	+2,163	Down	+$22	05-01 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$2.1K	2,157	0	+2,157	Up	+$22	04-28 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	10	$2.1K	2,157	0	+2,157	Down	+$22	04-26 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 02:15 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$2	04-02 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 00:15 UTC	24	$2.0K	2,017	0	+2,017	Up	-$1,980	03-24 00:20
cbb grmbst alast 2026 03 05	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Grambling State Tigers	+$9	03-06 03:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 03:40 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,006	0	+2,006	Down	+$20	03-10 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$2.0K	2,010	0	+2,010	Up	+$20	05-09 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 15:00 UTC	9	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	03-23 15:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 01:05 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	03-17 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 00:05 UTC	9	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	03-15 00:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:15 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$22	03-08 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 19:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x188979…
11-01 18:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x2285c9…
11-01 18:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x093cd7…
11-01 17:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x7014a1…
11-01 17:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc9f253…
11-01 17:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x876a49…
11-01 17:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x75e222…
11-01 17:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x334c54…
11-01 17:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x3460a4…
11-01 15:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xb442d4…
11-01 14:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xab207d…
11-01 10:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	77	96¢	$74	0xc126d7…
11-01 07:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x653744…
11-01 07:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xc03fe7…
11-01 03:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x608e46…
11-01 02:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x25864c…
11-01 01:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0xda8ef6…
11-01 01:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x72f2f4…
11-01 01:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xca6adb…
11-01 01:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x25540e…
11-01 01:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x34036b…
11-01 00:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xc8da2b…
11-01 00:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xaf0571…
10-31 20:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xc0c0e7…
10-31 19:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x1153f2…
10-31 19:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x11b1a1…
10-31 18:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x03410f…
10-31 16:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x1253c1…
10-31 14:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x19dd62…
10-31 14:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x42a9b8…
10-31 13:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x366646…
10-31 10:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	74	99¢	$73	0x4d5bbf…
10-31 07:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x0690b3…
10-31 07:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xf0be7f…
10-31 06:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xe537a5…
10-31 04:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xb0dd5a…
10-31 03:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x442899…
10-28 19:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x6dce91…
10-28 19:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7c6a94…
10-28 19:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x604ca3…
10-28 18:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xaf1c7d…
10-28 14:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x358383…
10-28 12:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xd85e08…
10-28 11:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd7acfd…
10-28 09:23:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xdaf3a7…
10-28 09:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3a264a…
10-28 08:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0x16c36d…
10-28 03:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4cab13…
10-28 02:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x78f2d3…
10-27 15:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x7e7e43…
10-27 15:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4e6073…
10-27 15:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xddd1b4…
10-27 15:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x3806cc…
10-27 14:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xc76016…
10-27 13:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x5b63e0…
10-27 10:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xad37f9…
10-27 06:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x767630…
10-27 02:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x479400…
10-27 00:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb75c0d…
10-26 20:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xb946e9…
10-26 19:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7b9f5c…
10-26 17:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7be58a…
10-26 17:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x985908…
10-26 16:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe3a191…
10-26 15:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x479919…
10-26 15:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x08aead…
10-26 15:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xd0df42…
10-26 15:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0cf0a7…
10-26 14:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3c9fed…
10-26 14:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x8ed59c…
10-26 08:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7a4167…
10-26 08:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xa12eee…
10-26 03:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x77aec0…
10-26 02:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd2bfed…
10-26 02:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x06c6b9…
10-26 00:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x8fc400…
10-26 00:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0xf513a2…
10-25 23:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x771e1f…
10-25 22:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb85ed2…
10-25 22:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x652e42…
10-25 22:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x50f227…
10-25 22:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x9e3368…
10-25 21:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5bb82f…
10-25 21:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xeb5818…
10-25 19:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xa88959…
10-25 19:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x6a3780…
10-25 19:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf9afb7…
10-25 19:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7c6656…
10-25 16:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x264d39…
10-25 15:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1d3b11…
10-25 09:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf8c5c9…
10-25 09:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x30c3d4…
10-25 06:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x0cf8dc…
10-25 04:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd8e22f…
10-25 04:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	69	99¢	$69	0xd151b8…
10-25 04:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4d69ab…
10-25 02:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xffdf52…
10-24 23:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0xba80ea…
10-24 22:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x97a9aa…
10-24 22:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x4a6dd9…