Cuddly-Mug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,076

lifetime

Volume

$2.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-17 21:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

68% 100% +$7

Crypto

27% 59% +$11

Sports

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes		-9	$-1	1¢	$-0	+$1	06-16 14:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 14corhigher	3	$64	49	49	+0	open	—	03-22 02:58
highest temperature in munich on march 13 2026 17c	2	$56	46	46	+0	open	—	03-13 15:49
will aapl reach 268 by april 13 2026	2	$48	29	28	+0	open	—	04-17 13:47
James Comey arrested by April 29?	7	$34	55	25	+30	open	—	04-29 13:27
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	04-28 05:47
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 30corhigher	3	$34	33	32	+2	open	—	04-16 05:48
Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-30 11:10
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 30c	2	$31	28	27	+1	open	—	04-19 06:07
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of April?	2	$30	22	22	+0	open	—	04-29 12:41
btc updown 5m 1773437400	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	03-13 21:36
highest temperature in london on march 15 2026 13c	2	$28	23	23	+0	open	—	03-15 14:44
highest temperature in tokyo on march 19 2026 16c	2	$28	26	26	+0	open	—	03-19 05:24
highest temperature in hong kong on march 28 2026 26c	4	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	03-28 05:59
highest temperature in tokyo on march 24 2026 16c	2	$27	25	25	+0	open	—	03-24 06:26
highest temperature in singapore on march 21 2026 32c	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	03-21 07:52
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	3	$25	20	20	+0	open	—	04-28 15:37
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 14c	2	$24	22	22	+0	open	—	03-21 07:21
highest temperature in hong kong on march 28 2026 27c	5	$24	21	21	+0	open	—	03-28 14:29
highest temperature in hong kong on march 19 2026 27c	5	$24	92	42	+50	open	—	03-19 05:52
txn quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt36	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 20:33
highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 14c	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	03-20 06:17
highest temperature in singapore on march 25 2026 33c	3	$23	17	16	+0	open	—	03-25 06:41
wta baptist zarazua 2026 04 01	5	$22	38	31	+8	open	—	04-02 02:42
highest temperature in hong kong on march 24 2026 27c	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	03-24 00:28
highest temperature in singapore on march 22 2026 32c	1	$20	45	0	+45	open	—	03-22 05:45
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?	2	$18	14	14	+0	Yes	+$8	05-09 10:55
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 05:15
highest temperature in hong kong on march 18 2026 27c	2	$16	13	13	+0	open	—	03-19 02:30
highest temperature in chicago on march 15 2026 62 63f	2	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	03-15 22:40
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	2	$15	11	11	+0	Under	+$5	05-09 15:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 21:31:38	btc updown 5m 1781731800	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1f7ca0…
06-17 13:16:25	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x92cd28…
06-16 21:44:14	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbd68ad…
06-16 14:26:01	btc updown 5m 1781619900	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb8b327…
06-16 14:25:07	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x2ce686…
06-15 21:36:33	btc updown 5m 1781559300	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x581fa8…
06-15 12:43:27	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 4pt5	Spain	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd8c80e…
06-14 20:29:21	btc updown 5m 1781468700	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xec4a68…
06-14 14:42:43	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total home 3pt5	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0c0ed3…
06-14 14:32:40	btc updown 5m 1781447400	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf8974b…
06-13 10:13:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x009169…
06-13 08:20:16	btc updown 5m 1781338800	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x81b8de…
06-12 16:07:54	btc updown 5m 1781280300	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x78183d…
06-12 04:12:18	btc updown 5m 1781237400	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb4237e…
06-11 23:30:24	btc updown 5m 1781220600	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5cd9f2…
06-11 23:29:04	btc updown 5m 1781220300	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe88e96…
06-11 15:07:09	btc updown 5m 1781190300	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7ec616…
06-11 01:58:24	btc updown 5m 1781142900	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5a3e96…
06-10 20:59:39	btc updown 5m 1781124900	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4695d3…
06-10 14:50:22	btc updown 5m 1781103000	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfc5b4f…
06-10 14:48:33	btc updown 5m 1781102700	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x173c37…
06-10 13:35:21	btc updown 5m 1781098500	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x978bdf…
06-10 05:40:24	btc updown 5m 1781070000	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaf653c…
06-09 11:54:30	btc updown 5m 1781005800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1ca6c1…
06-09 09:15:10	btc updown 5m 1780996200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x15e545…
06-09 09:13:10	btc updown 5m 1780996200	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb7e9e1…
06-09 05:10:24	btc updown 5m 1780981800	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xefc92a…
06-09 04:11:16	btc updown 5m 1780978200	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1f1de9…
06-08 22:40:28	btc updown 5m 1780958400	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x191759…
06-08 13:36:49	btc updown 5m 1780925700	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x49ba86…
06-07 18:46:58	btc updown 5m 1780857900	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb914a5…
06-07 13:40:40	btc updown 5m 1780839600	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe0e59a…
06-07 13:34:21	btc updown 5m 1780839000	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd6664d…
06-06 23:18:09	btc updown 5m 1780787700	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5e03c4…
06-06 14:42:45	btc updown 5m 1780756800	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc4f6a8…
06-06 13:37:40	btc updown 5m 1780752900	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbcb39a…
06-02 04:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x838cb4…
06-02 04:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x043064…
05-29 14:14:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x9268ee…
05-28 22:40:50	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf91174…
05-28 22:37:43	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x317a98…
05-21 13:27:37	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Prado	Coleman Wong	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x72e1f6…
05-21 04:50:28	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xdbd760…
05-20 14:43:45	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Zdenek Kolar	Coleman Wong	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3429ec…
05-20 12:33:02	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Zdenek Kolar	Coleman Wong	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xcd1c99…
05-17 21:08:35	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x99f713…
05-11 04:57:49	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xde512f…
05-09 15:32:10	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x714dcf…
05-09 14:07:03	Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb1e02f…
05-09 11:26:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xeaad00…
05-09 11:07:53	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xea11c3…
05-09 10:55:55	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xe6502a…
05-09 02:43:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x5c7b6b…
05-08 09:21:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0xc893f6…
05-08 05:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1a3056…
05-08 04:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe124a8…
05-08 00:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa24df9…
05-08 00:37:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x131e2f…
05-08 00:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x7939ef…
05-07 20:06:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0fb3d9…
05-07 14:04:07	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa811cb…
05-07 12:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6511d5…
05-07 11:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd41ef7…
05-07 11:36:14	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x14f640…
05-07 08:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9ed11b…
05-07 05:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x166715…
05-07 05:43:05	Will McDonald's (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb067fc…
05-07 05:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3788d0…
05-06 22:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc25669…
05-06 22:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9d28e4…
05-06 15:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x6bbe3d…
05-06 15:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd75a21…
05-06 15:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xfd0696…
05-06 14:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x7178b1…
05-06 14:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xdd91bc…
05-06 14:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8186ea…
05-06 14:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x21a0ef…
05-06 13:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6a1dde…
05-04 13:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x63d738…
05-03 15:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x44cf01…
04-30 22:49:26	Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x46ed94…
04-30 22:49:20	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xfb9319…
04-30 11:10:16	Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe760ca…
04-30 07:18:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xc2402f…
04-30 01:53:16	Magic vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb8145f…
04-29 20:52:34	Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	17	86¢	$15	0x6920b5…
04-29 13:27:46	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	SELL	18	17¢	$3	0x7cec31…
04-29 13:08:56	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x2289f0…
04-29 12:41:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of April?	Yes	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x228148…
04-29 12:31:42	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xa7e261…
04-29 12:29:26	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x46b9a1…
04-29 12:28:06	James Comey arrested by April 29?	Yes	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x39f58a…
04-29 12:25:22	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x442583…
04-29 09:30:42	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa197f4…
04-29 09:25:52	Will Powell say "Goods inflation" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x22ce55…
04-29 01:58:32	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x89080c…
04-28 21:20:52	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xaa8d81…
04-28 15:37:32	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd8e9b7…
04-28 15:20:54	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8c17ea…
04-28 13:47:56	Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x1be3aa…