Cuddly-Mug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$253

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.7%

Resolved

910

Trades

1,229

lifetime

Volume

$3.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-13

last 11-01 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Other

69% 27% -$132

Crypto

25% 19% -$104

Sports

5% 46% -$10

Politics

1% 33% -$7

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		-2	-$1	97¢	$-2	-$1	04-30 11:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on march 22 2026 14corhigher	3	$64	49	49	+0	Yes	+$32	03-22 02:58
highest temperature in munich on march 13 2026 17c	2	$56	46	46	+0	Yes	+$36	03-13 15:49
will aapl reach 268 by april 13 2026	2	$48	29	28	+0	Yes	+$9	04-17 13:47
James Comey arrested by April 29?	7	$34	55	25	+30	Yes	+$12	04-29 13:27
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$34	19	19	+0	Yes	+$4	04-28 05:47
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 30corhigher	3	$34	33	32	+2	Yes	+$31	04-16 05:48
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$34	25	25	+0	Yes	-$6	05-05 12:51
Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$32	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	04-30 11:10
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 30c	2	$31	28	27	+1	Yes	+$22	04-19 06:07
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of April?	2	$30	22	22	+0	No	+$10	04-29 12:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 21:30 UTC	2	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	03-13 21:36
highest temperature in london on march 15 2026 13c	2	$28	23	23	+0	Yes	+$18	03-15 14:44
highest temperature in tokyo on march 19 2026 16c	2	$28	26	26	+0	No	+$20	03-19 05:24
highest temperature in hong kong on march 28 2026 26c	4	$27	22	22	+0	No	+$9	03-28 05:59
highest temperature in tokyo on march 24 2026 16c	2	$27	25	25	+0	Yes	+$7	03-24 06:26
highest temperature in singapore on march 21 2026 32c	2	$25	15	15	+0	No	+$5	03-21 07:52
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud	3	$25	20	20	+0	Casper Ruud	+$15	04-28 15:37
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 14c	2	$24	22	22	+0	Yes	+$18	03-21 07:21
highest temperature in hong kong on march 28 2026 27c	5	$24	21	21	+0	Yes	+$11	03-28 14:29
highest temperature in hong kong on march 19 2026 27c	5	$24	92	42	+50	No	-$13	03-19 05:52
txn quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 22 2026 1pt36	2	$23	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	04-22 20:33
highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 14c	2	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$17	03-20 06:17
highest temperature in singapore on march 25 2026 33c	3	$23	17	16	+0	Yes	+$8	03-25 06:41
wta baptist zarazua 2026 04 01	5	$22	38	31	+8	Renata Zarazua	$0	04-02 02:42
highest temperature in hong kong on march 24 2026 27c	2	$22	20	20	+0	No	+$2	03-24 00:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	04-30 05:29
highest temperature in singapore on march 22 2026 32c	1	$20	45	0	+45	Yes	-$20	03-22 05:45
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on May 9?	2	$18	14	14	+0	Yes	+$8	05-09 10:55
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	2	$18	14	14	+0	Wolves	-$2	04-28 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 6?	2	$18	17	17	+0	Yes	+$12	05-06 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 02:43:46	Spread: Rockets (-2.5)	Rockets	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x251030…
11-01 02:43:31	Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)	Grizzlies	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd59677…
11-01 00:46:15	Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)	Bucks	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x308ac7…
11-01 00:44:48	Spread: Rockets (-2.5)	Rockets	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa85055…
11-01 00:43:36	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	76ers	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd3ea74…
11-01 00:15:43	Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8a11f3…
10-31 22:27:21	Spread: 76ers (-2.5)	76ers	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0d916a…
10-31 22:26:27	76ers vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xd2d9d0…
10-31 04:43:34	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3246b3…
10-31 02:03:37	Spread: Nuggets (-3.5)	Suns	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcc8a93…
10-31 01:01:39	Nuggets vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xf2ae01…
10-31 01:01:18	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7e9cb0…
10-30 23:10:54	Spread: Hornets (-1.5)	Hornets	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf6bc33…
10-30 23:08:03	Pistons vs. Nets	Pistons	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x6ec0f5…
10-30 20:09:22	Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)	Clippers	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2a08a4…
10-30 20:07:54	Hornets vs. Wizards	Hornets	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf19f61…
10-30 04:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x52563f…
10-29 14:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x6dc312…
10-29 04:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4d0f55…
10-29 04:03:08	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xeab1ec…
10-29 02:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c61c6…
10-29 02:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0b879b…
10-28 22:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x778a87…
10-28 22:22:32	Lakers vs. Clippers	Clippers	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xa7ecc2…
10-28 20:25:10	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Mavericks	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd85b0a…
10-28 13:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf79ce4…
10-28 13:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x09183e…
10-28 11:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xf2d160…
10-28 09:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x744a1d…
10-28 09:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xddd3c3…
10-28 09:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x032806…
10-28 04:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x17c1ff…
10-28 03:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xd16ef6…
10-28 02:05:45	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x05f45b…
10-28 01:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4daf44…
10-28 01:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2d6d21…
10-28 00:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf28496…
10-28 00:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x485cbe…
10-28 00:20:32	Spread: Celtics (-10.5)	Celtics	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xdcf921…
10-28 00:17:05	Spread: Lakers (-1.5)	Lakers	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd6a5ac…
10-27 23:47:54	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x37a83b…
10-27 02:13:33	Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	Nuggets	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc43c69…
10-26 23:17:59	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x247966…
10-26 23:17:08	Pacers vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xc252fe…
10-26 23:15:47	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xf675c3…
10-26 22:34:24	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb2537c…
10-26 22:18:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe52929…
10-26 21:22:23	Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x52c954…
10-26 21:20:38	Cowboys vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5	Over	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb11495…
10-26 20:53:09	Sevilla FC vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x363d24…
10-26 16:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x804922…
10-26 16:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x11118c…
10-26 16:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfa1c6c…
10-26 16:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc13ec5…
10-26 15:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd4e265…
10-26 15:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8731ad…
10-26 15:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe91f2b…
10-26 15:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc66e77…
10-26 15:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x8cf42f…
10-26 15:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0da946…
10-26 15:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x34698b…
10-26 15:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfa13af…
10-26 14:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x26b47f…
10-26 14:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd81481…
10-26 12:30:06	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Cowboys	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfd9b8a…
06-17 21:31:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1f7ca0…
06-17 13:16:25	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x92cd28…
06-17 00:13:56	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x29173a…
06-16 21:44:14	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xbd68ad…
06-16 14:26:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb8b327…
06-16 14:25:07	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x2ce686…
06-16 00:15:45	Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x19cb71…
06-15 23:47:36	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb2e17f…
06-15 22:43:31	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcd0f04…
06-15 21:36:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 21:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x581fa8…
06-15 12:43:27	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 4pt5	Spain	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd8c80e…
06-15 02:33:31	Spread: Sweden (-2.5)	Sweden	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x717c5d…
06-14 20:34:31	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc94998…
06-14 20:29:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xec4a68…
06-14 14:42:43	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 team total home 3pt5	Over	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0c0ed3…
06-14 14:32:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xf8974b…
06-13 10:13:09	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x009169…
06-13 08:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x81b8de…
06-13 00:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x365d27…
06-12 16:07:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x78183d…
06-12 04:12:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb4237e…
06-11 23:30:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5cd9f2…
06-11 23:29:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 23:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe88e96…
06-11 23:28:31	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0e85d8…
06-11 23:28:06	Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8ffcce…
06-11 15:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7ec616…
06-11 01:58:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5a3e96…
06-11 01:55:09	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x2b3a1d…
06-10 20:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4695d3…
06-10 14:50:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfc5b4f…
06-10 14:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x173c37…
06-10 13:35:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x978bdf…
06-10 05:40:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaf653c…
06-10 01:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x54cca3…
06-09 11:54:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1ca6c1…