Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$771

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 10-27 22:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

80% 58% -$9

Politics

20% 78% +$1

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$232	120	120	+0	open	—	10-27 22:10
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$194	97	97	+0	open	—	10-27 22:10
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	2	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	10-27 22:10
Will Miroslav Sokol win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	09-30 22:18
Will Peter Cibulka win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	09-30 22:18
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-27 22:10
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-27 22:10
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-27 22:10
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-27 22:10
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	10-27 22:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	3	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	10-27 22:11
Will Nigeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group L?	4	$7	12	12	+0	open	—	10-27 22:11
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	10-27 22:11
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	10-27 22:11
Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	10-27 22:12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	10-27 22:12
Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	10-27 22:11
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	10-27 22:20
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-30 22:56
Will Nilvan Ferreira win the Governor of Paraíba election?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-30 22:56
Will Flávio Lúcio win the Governor of Paraíba election?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-30 22:56
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 25%-30%?	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	10-27 22:12
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.75% at the end of 2027?	3	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	10-27 22:20
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-27 22:20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 9%-12%?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-27 22:20
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-27 22:32
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 12% or more?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-27 22:33
Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	10-01 04:35
Will Federação Brasil da Esperança (FE Brasil) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	2	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	10-01 04:35
Will Valter da Comagran win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	09-30 22:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:37:56	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2027?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x91a7be…
10-27 22:37:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xcc663f…
10-27 22:37:45	Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x127471…
10-27 22:37:41	Will Megan Moroney win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x491ef5…
10-27 22:37:35	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x17bc79…
10-27 22:37:26	Will the Student List win less than 30% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x67661d…
10-27 22:37:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 15%-18%?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5fd83e…
10-27 22:37:14	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.25% at the end of 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf4fd13…
10-27 22:37:08	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.5% at the end of 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd6035a…
10-27 22:33:14	Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf019cd…
10-27 22:33:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 12% or more?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x894d8c…
10-27 22:32:59	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 0%-5%?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x68a350…
10-27 22:32:53	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x9e7617…
10-27 22:32:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4fba8b…
10-27 22:32:42	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 30% or more?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9cfeba…
10-27 22:32:36	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x1bfbac…
10-27 22:32:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x9f59b8…
10-27 22:20:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 9%-12%?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xd1591b…
10-27 22:20:44	Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x60b886…
10-27 22:20:35	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 5.75% at the end of 2027?	No	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x935fed…
10-27 22:20:27	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0xe082e3…
10-27 22:12:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 25%-30%?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0xa89e98…
10-27 22:12:39	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x34cb03…
10-27 22:12:32	Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0xc3c1c7…
10-27 22:11:36	Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xc3f665…
10-27 22:11:30	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x630695…
10-27 22:11:24	Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?	No	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x864250…
10-27 22:11:17	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xf60907…
10-27 22:11:11	Will Nigeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group L?	No	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0x8f397e…
10-27 22:11:03	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa77fe1…
10-27 22:10:59	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb84c92…
10-27 22:10:53	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb046cc…
10-27 22:10:47	Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4660e6…
10-27 22:10:39	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7cdc0e…
10-27 22:10:35	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0xc44425…
10-27 22:10:24	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x800bd0…
10-27 22:10:18	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	120	98¢	$118	0xa0b1ba…
10-27 22:06:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 10%-15%?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xbf2344…
10-27 22:06:18	Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xfcc9b9…
10-27 21:37:57	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x4c9c18…
10-27 21:37:30	Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings	No	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x010759…
10-27 21:37:26	Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x7a12cb…
10-01 05:47:39	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xba1dd7…
10-01 05:47:39	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0x9cf317…
10-01 05:47:39	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x8059fa…
10-01 05:02:57	Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5d52d3…
10-01 04:35:30	Will Federação Brasil da Esperança (FE Brasil) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc41861…
10-01 04:35:30	Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e36ac…
10-01 04:34:53	Will Federação Brasil da Esperança (FE Brasil) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf68d9c…
10-01 04:34:53	Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x96fddb…
10-01 04:34:24	Will SNSD win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xef56ed…
10-01 04:08:33	Will Jalen Duren play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa71a96…
10-01 04:08:33	Will Jalen Duren play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x384454…
10-01 04:08:33	Will Jalen Duren play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2fb25c…
10-01 04:04:06	Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xba9497…
10-01 04:04:05	Will Megan Moroney win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x81878e…
10-01 04:04:05	Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x21d2f8…
10-01 04:04:03	Will the Central Bank of Colombia decrease the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfce861…
10-01 03:17:44	Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xa1cfa8…
10-01 03:13:20	Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?	No	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x308eda…
10-01 03:03:48	Will Alexandre Kalil win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf8ef51…
10-01 02:27:02	Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3b7293…
10-01 02:27:00	Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xae9feb…
10-01 02:27:00	Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa9ba13…
10-01 02:27:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0xa2c778…
10-01 02:27:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rondônia?	No	BUY	44	2¢	$1	0x9128b0…
10-01 01:51:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa17a5a…
10-01 01:51:47	Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x3b713a…
10-01 01:51:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x935592…
10-01 01:51:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 3%-6%?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x45e767…
10-01 01:51:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 12% or more?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x165022…
10-01 01:51:45	Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0114eb…
10-01 01:38:24	Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdf5532…
10-01 01:38:24	Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xd51d16…
10-01 01:16:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 15%-18%?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe4aa19…
10-01 01:16:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-04 House election by 9%-12%?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x510252…
10-01 01:10:24	Will Cristina Reis Graeml win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaf75e6…
10-01 01:10:24	Will Gleisi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8be9c6…
10-01 01:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	478	0¢	$1	0x88846a…
10-01 01:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$1	0x74eb0a…
10-01 01:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	119	1¢	$1	0xb47618…
10-01 01:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$1	0xb2467f…
10-01 01:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$1	0x55a323…
10-01 00:58:48	Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x135fd4…
10-01 00:58:47	Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe35b17…
10-01 00:58:47	Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x02a2a1…
10-01 00:49:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 10%-15%?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x849f7b…
10-01 00:49:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x398ee7…
10-01 00:49:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 0%-5%?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x149440…
10-01 00:49:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-09 House election by 25%-30%?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x050167…
10-01 00:42:42	Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xbe22a0…
10-01 00:42:42	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x76af92…
10-01 00:17:02	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or higher on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$1	0x27b478…
10-01 00:17:00	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 0°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8d5bed…
10-01 00:17:00	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x6efb94…
10-01 00:17:00	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$1	0x1f5f68…
10-01 00:15:39	Will the Reserve Bank of India decrease the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1a5161…
10-01 00:10:35	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 5 and October 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x497a09…
10-01 00:10:33	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 12 and October 18, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x5fd1ba…
10-01 00:01:44	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8fcb4e…