Outlying-Number — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$136

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.7%

Resolved

269

Trades

2,580

lifetime

Volume

$29.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-14 08:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% +$136

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 357 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	11	$455	302	302	+0	open	—	05-29 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	21	$262	200	200	+0	open	—	05-26 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	8	$258	140	140	+0	Up	+$20	05-12 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	5	$253	205	205	+0	Down	+$100	05-11 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	17	$246	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$238	200	200	+0	open	—	05-26 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	31	$238	200	200	+0	open	—	05-29 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$237	200	200	+0	Down	+$69	05-11 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	15	$232	200	200	+0	Up	+$164	05-11 01:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	2	$224	130	130	+0	Yes	+$10	05-12 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	15	$193	100	100	+0	open	—	05-29 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	14	$182	200	100	+100	open	—	05-26 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	21	$179	120	120	+0	open	—	05-29 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	12	$179	120	120	+0	open	—	05-29 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$178	100	100	+0	open	—	05-26 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$177	141	91	+50	Down	+$4	05-11 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	5	$176	100	100	+0	open	—	05-29 07:57
btc updown 5m 1781164800	8	$171	100	100	+0	open	—	06-11 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	13	$167	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	20	$166	120	120	+0	open	—	05-29 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	5	$163	160	160	+0	open	—	06-03 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$162	110	110	+0	Down	+$56	05-12 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$161	110	110	+0	Up	+$57	05-12 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$158	103	103	+0	Down	+$46	05-09 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	8	$156	160	100	+60	Up	$-20	05-12 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	12	$155	100	100	+0	open	—	05-29 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	15	$154	120	120	+0	open	—	05-26 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$153	300	0	+300	open	—	06-01 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	14	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	06-03 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$149	200	100	+100	Up	+$5	05-11 10:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 08:29:48	btc updown 5m 1781425500	Up	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0xfa3e62…
06-14 08:25:28	btc updown 5m 1781425500	Up	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0xe99177…
06-14 08:24:58	btc updown 5m 1781425200	Up	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x7b496d…
06-14 08:20:19	btc updown 5m 1781425200	Up	BUY	83	37¢	$31	0xc366e9…
06-14 08:20:19	btc updown 5m 1781425200	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x35b0b4…
06-14 08:20:16	btc updown 5m 1781425200	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xa117df…
06-14 08:20:16	btc updown 5m 1781425200	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x3d672e…
06-14 08:20:16	btc updown 5m 1781425200	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x2d217a…
06-12 12:06:43	btc updown 5m 1781265900	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x0ba979…
06-12 12:06:42	btc updown 5m 1781265900	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe6a1b4…
06-12 12:06:42	btc updown 5m 1781265900	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xb26690…
06-12 12:06:42	btc updown 5m 1781265900	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x485fec…
06-12 12:06:42	btc updown 5m 1781265900	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0183e8…
06-12 12:06:40	btc updown 5m 1781265900	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd5b8de…
06-12 12:05:58	btc updown 5m 1781265900	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0xee125b…
06-12 12:05:58	btc updown 5m 1781265900	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x52eda7…
06-12 12:00:03	btc updown 5m 1781265600	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf2dd12…
06-12 12:00:03	btc updown 5m 1781265600	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd36df6…
06-12 12:00:03	btc updown 5m 1781265600	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xcc02e6…
06-12 12:00:03	btc updown 5m 1781265600	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x78f162…
06-12 12:00:03	btc updown 5m 1781265600	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3fb22e…
06-12 12:00:03	btc updown 5m 1781265600	Up	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x326057…
06-12 12:00:03	btc updown 5m 1781265600	Up	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x19f71e…
06-12 12:00:03	btc updown 5m 1781265600	Up	BUY	19	45¢	$8	0x1803a2…
06-12 11:56:18	btc updown 5m 1781265300	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xde6d5a…
06-12 11:56:18	btc updown 5m 1781265300	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0xd4e7bc…
06-12 11:56:18	btc updown 5m 1781265300	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xb8cb0c…
06-12 11:56:18	btc updown 5m 1781265300	Up	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x871cdd…
06-12 11:56:18	btc updown 5m 1781265300	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x71f86d…
06-12 11:56:18	btc updown 5m 1781265300	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5b64e9…
06-12 11:56:18	btc updown 5m 1781265300	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x4ee0e1…
06-12 11:56:18	btc updown 5m 1781265300	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x4293da…
06-12 11:51:16	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x56644d…
06-12 11:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xf55477…
06-12 11:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xf2eeb0…
06-12 11:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf18c21…
06-12 11:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc502b1…
06-12 11:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaffce8…
06-12 11:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	19	46¢	$9	0x9b9f56…
06-12 11:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x980286…
06-12 11:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x8cbcfb…
06-12 11:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x2c2bfa…
06-12 11:51:15	btc updown 5m 1781265000	Up	BUY	46	46¢	$21	0x1d891b…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xf809bb…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe2be05…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xce866a…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcd6c9c…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc89f47…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc0164c…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x74ad91…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x620977…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4941f8…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x42df42…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x2312e7…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x05713a…
06-11 13:05:13	btc updown 5m 1781183100	Up	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0x00e8c2…
06-11 13:00:22	btc updown 5m 1781182800	Up	BUY	40	42¢	$17	0x433393…
06-11 13:00:22	btc updown 5m 1781182800	Up	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x2e65f4…
06-11 13:00:21	btc updown 5m 1781182800	Up	BUY	42	42¢	$18	0x72c4c9…
06-11 13:00:21	btc updown 5m 1781182800	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x1d2e3d…
06-11 12:49:57	btc updown 5m 1781181900	Up	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x96f34e…
06-11 12:45:57	btc updown 5m 1781181900	Up	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xd9d6ce…
06-11 12:44:45	btc updown 5m 1781181600	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xcbf1c6…
06-11 12:43:36	btc updown 5m 1781181600	Up	BUY	36	79¢	$28	0xae15f8…
06-11 12:43:36	btc updown 5m 1781181600	Up	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x19dc25…
06-11 12:37:27	btc updown 5m 1781181300	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xbca003…
06-11 12:37:27	btc updown 5m 1781181300	Up	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x8fb2bb…
06-11 12:37:27	btc updown 5m 1781181300	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x5423b1…
06-11 12:19:49	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0xfb444a…
06-11 12:15:21	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x77e050…
06-11 12:15:21	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x5acfaf…
06-11 12:15:21	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x23174c…
06-11 12:15:04	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfbfc9f…
06-11 12:15:04	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xcf057b…
06-11 12:15:04	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0xb32b74…
06-11 12:15:04	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x9cc867…
06-11 12:15:04	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x6bbe29…
06-11 12:15:04	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x49cbb1…
06-11 12:15:04	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x344d8d…
06-11 12:15:04	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x12bb5e…
06-11 12:15:01	btc updown 5m 1781180100	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x55a7c1…
06-11 12:12:43	btc updown 5m 1781179800	Down	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf901d2…
06-11 12:10:52	btc updown 5m 1781179800	Down	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x80dfb8…
06-11 08:18:15	btc updown 5m 1781165700	Up	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0x8e34a0…
06-11 08:17:48	btc updown 5m 1781165700	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xaba785…
06-11 08:17:48	btc updown 5m 1781165700	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xa8f720…
06-11 08:17:48	btc updown 5m 1781165700	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x9cbc4b…
06-11 08:17:48	btc updown 5m 1781165700	Up	BUY	41	43¢	$18	0x69c7fa…
06-11 08:10:55	btc updown 5m 1781165400	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x50f2fc…
06-11 08:05:42	btc updown 5m 1781165100	Up	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x96441e…
06-11 08:05:10	btc updown 5m 1781165100	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xfe2bb5…
06-11 08:05:10	btc updown 5m 1781165100	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x10faca…
06-11 08:05:03	btc updown 5m 1781165100	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xa3d461…
06-11 08:05:03	btc updown 5m 1781165100	Up	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x7c832d…
06-11 08:05:03	btc updown 5m 1781165100	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x1ff4f4…
06-11 08:05:00	btc updown 5m 1781165100	Up	BUY	39	47¢	$18	0x7d2141…
06-11 08:03:12	btc updown 5m 1781164800	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x96c19f…
06-11 08:02:49	btc updown 5m 1781164800	Up	SELL	89	93¢	$83	0x3ccdbd…
06-11 08:02:48	btc updown 5m 1781164800	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x7e388a…
06-11 08:00:57	btc updown 5m 1781164800	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe98e12…