Assured-Baggie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,059

lifetime

Volume

$9.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-15 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 23% +$4

Politics

3% — —

Other

2% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 138 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	15	$94	60	60	+0	open	—	03-06 00:36
btc updown 5m 1772991300	5	$55	60	60	+0	open	—	03-08 17:35
nba 2025 26 3pm leader stephen curry	10	$54	34	34	+0	open	—	03-05 06:32
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	8	$53	37	37	+0	open	—	03-07 22:12
btc updown 5m 1772974800	5	$51	53	53	+0	open	—	03-08 13:01
will uae strike iran by march 31	11	$50	35	35	+0	open	—	03-05 06:33
btc updown 5m 1772997300	5	$49	53	52	+1	open	—	03-08 19:15
btc updown 5m 1772999700	2	$48	52	51	+1	open	—	03-08 19:55
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	7	$47	31	31	+0	open	—	03-05 23:37
btc updown 5m 1772972100	8	$46	61	39	+22	open	—	03-08 12:18
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	9	$45	30	30	-0	open	—	03-04 17:30
btc updown 5m 1772998200	5	$44	45	45	+0	open	—	03-08 19:31
btc updown 5m 1772995800	4	$43	47	47	+0	open	—	03-08 18:51
btc updown 5m 1773000900	3	$43	55	54	+1	open	—	03-08 20:19
btc updown 5m 1772985000	2	$42	39	39	+0	open	—	03-08 15:50
btc updown 5m 1772989800	2	$42	61	60	+1	open	—	03-08 17:10
btc updown 5m 1772994600	5	$40	47	47	+0	open	—	03-08 18:30
will iran strike israel on march 6	9	$39	55	55	+0	open	—	03-07 23:49
btc updown 5m 1772952300	2	$38	50	49	+1	open	—	03-08 06:45
btc updown 5m 1772962200	3	$37	59	59	+0	open	—	03-08 09:30
btc updown 5m 1773003300	4	$35	35	35	+0	open	—	03-08 20:55
btc updown 5m 1772952900	2	$35	55	55	+1	open	—	03-08 06:56
btc updown 5m 1773004800	6	$34	42	42	+0	open	—	03-08 21:20
btc updown 5m 1773006300	2	$34	37	37	+1	open	—	03-08 21:46
btc updown 5m 1772955900	2	$33	34	33	+1	open	—	03-08 07:46
btc updown 5m 1772957400	2	$33	43	42	+1	open	—	03-08 08:10
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$33	22	22	+0	open	—	03-05 12:56
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	4	$31	24	24	+0	open	—	03-06 04:24
btc updown 5m 1772966700	5	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	03-08 10:45
btc updown 5m 1773012300	6	$29	30	30	+0	open	—	03-08 23:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 19:32:09	btc updown 5m 1781551800	Down	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x76226d…
06-15 19:28:10	btc updown 5m 1781551500	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xb90697…
06-15 19:27:15	btc updown 5m 1781551500	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x1cb98d…
06-15 17:18:13	btc updown 5m 1781543700	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x453125…
06-15 16:33:30	btc updown 5m 1781541000	Down	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xaceb73…
06-15 16:33:19	btc updown 5m 1781541000	Down	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xc4dc40…
06-15 16:33:01	btc updown 5m 1781541000	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x582a4f…
06-11 19:16:49	btc updown 5m 1781205300	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa492c7…
06-11 19:12:12	btc updown 5m 1781205000	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x9501eb…
06-11 19:02:21	btc updown 5m 1781204400	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$1	0x1aa266…
06-11 19:01:57	btc updown 5m 1781204400	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xebffe4…
06-11 18:38:12	btc updown 5m 1781202900	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x088c6b…
06-11 16:42:16	btc updown 5m 1781196000	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x43ee0c…
06-11 16:38:04	btc updown 5m 1781195700	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xbd7a2e…
06-11 16:37:10	btc updown 5m 1781195700	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x263628…
06-11 15:38:31	btc updown 5m 1781192100	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x388612…
06-11 15:37:06	btc updown 5m 1781192100	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x157d67…
06-11 15:14:49	btc updown 5m 1781190600	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7e42ae…
06-11 15:12:52	btc updown 5m 1781190600	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x33727d…
06-10 20:23:25	btc updown 5m 1781122800	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x37325f…
06-10 20:22:57	btc updown 5m 1781122800	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x2916e9…
06-10 20:13:12	btc updown 5m 1781122200	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x04aa02…
06-10 16:01:49	btc updown 5m 1781107200	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x326653…
06-09 20:12:31	btc updown 5m 1781035800	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xde93b1…
06-09 18:51:58	btc updown 5m 1781031000	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x72e903…
06-09 17:44:54	btc updown 5m 1781026800	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x504323…
06-09 17:41:49	btc updown 5m 1781026800	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xdb823d…
06-09 16:27:37	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Up	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x5559a8…
06-09 16:27:16	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x8486a9…
06-09 16:26:58	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xcaa78c…
06-08 18:01:55	btc updown 5m 1780941600	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xd82475…
06-08 17:46:57	btc updown 5m 1780940700	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x62f00c…
06-08 17:27:19	btc updown 5m 1780939500	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x777077…
06-08 17:22:03	btc updown 5m 1780939200	Down	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xc02747…
06-08 15:12:24	btc updown 5m 1780931400	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x5ebc2f…
06-08 15:08:33	btc updown 5m 1780931100	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xbc3324…
06-08 15:05:03	btc updown 5m 1780930800	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd6f341…
06-08 15:03:12	btc updown 5m 1780930800	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xe4921e…
06-08 15:02:40	btc updown 5m 1780930800	Down	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x02de35…
06-07 20:57:46	btc updown 5m 1780865700	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xba2e92…
06-07 20:53:15	btc updown 5m 1780865400	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xec9268…
06-07 16:33:18	btc updown 5m 1780849800	Down	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xc73de7…
06-07 15:52:15	btc updown 5m 1780847400	Down	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0xadc184…
06-07 15:51:55	btc updown 5m 1780847400	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa1e774…
06-05 21:16:54	btc updown 5m 1780694100	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xf19d0a…
06-05 18:10:00	btc updown 5m 1780682700	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xdb71ca…
06-05 18:06:48	btc updown 5m 1780682700	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x469aab…
06-04 18:36:55	btc updown 5m 1780598100	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x5b6e47…
06-04 15:34:36	btc updown 5m 1780587000	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xfb8b0a…
06-04 15:32:33	btc updown 5m 1780587000	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x6d1806…
06-03 21:57:46	btc updown 5m 1780523700	Down	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x0f47d2…
06-03 21:33:18	btc updown 5m 1780522200	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xdeec71…
06-03 21:33:06	btc updown 5m 1780522200	Down	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0x770617…
06-03 20:26:54	btc updown 5m 1780518300	Down	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xbb4fb9…
06-03 20:07:40	btc updown 5m 1780517100	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x65d4dd…
06-03 18:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6f6ee6…
06-03 18:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0xdf2aa0…
06-03 18:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x92f9db…
06-03 18:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xf79096…
06-03 16:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0017d8…
06-02 21:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xcc1d6b…
06-02 21:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x988635…
06-02 21:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c4700…
06-02 21:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc99c7b…
06-02 20:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x1d1a34…
06-02 18:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x190353…
06-02 17:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x982fe2…
06-02 17:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xe3b326…
06-02 17:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x96d312…
06-02 16:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x65f6cb…
06-01 08:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2236fe…
06-01 08:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd58b99…
05-30 17:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x135e4a…
05-28 00:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x060869…
05-28 00:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xfeaa7a…
05-27 20:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0xc63ef1…
05-27 19:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x90ac53…
05-23 08:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xc0fdf4…
05-19 15:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x683f73…
05-14 18:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0x32c797…
05-14 18:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x7c9b73…
05-14 17:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x69f5eb…
05-11 00:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xc78c24…
05-10 23:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xbdb2ab…
05-10 22:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xfe2a8c…
05-10 22:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x1fe27b…
05-08 17:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xe8d2df…
05-07 16:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x5b2c10…
05-07 16:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xfa370c…
05-07 15:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xd4ddca…
05-07 15:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x14a809…
05-07 14:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x766210…
05-06 19:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xbc7951…
05-05 22:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x3305f3…
05-05 22:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xcc6e0d…
05-05 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$6	0xafd93f…
05-05 15:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xa0a73a…
05-05 13:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xc2fcda…
05-04 18:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc675cc…
05-04 16:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3afb3a…