Somber-Howard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

Trades

109

lifetime

Volume

$380

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-09 19:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 46% +$12

Politics

2% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$29	24	24	+0	Down	+$15	05-09 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-09 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$26	23	20	+4	Down	+$2	05-09 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$23	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$23	26	21	+5	Up	+$5	05-09 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$20	20	19	+2	Up	$-2	05-09 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$15	18	0	+18	Down	+$3	05-09 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$13	505	5	+500	Up	$-4	05-09 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$12	24	0	+24	Down	$-2	05-09 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$11	13	5	+9	Up	$-2	05-09 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$11	13	7	+7	Up	$-1	05-09 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$11	18	0	+18	Down	+$7	05-09 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	3	$9	53	0	+53	Up	$-2	05-09 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$8	54	0	+54	Up	$-6	05-09 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$8	10	2	+8	Up	$-6	05-09 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$7	13	0	+13	Down	+$6	05-09 17:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	3	$7	61	0	+61	Down	+$7	05-09 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$6	11	0	+11	Down	+$1	05-09 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$6	116	0	+116	Down	+$10	05-09 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$6	14	0	+14	Up	$-6	05-09 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$6	58	0	+58	Up	+$2	05-09 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$6	15	0	+15	Down	+$2	05-09 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$2	05-09 16:47
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	$-5	05-07 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	$-5	05-07 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-09 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$4	102	2	+100	Up	+$0	05-09 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Up	+$5	05-09 19:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 19:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xcaaa9b…
05-09 19:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x494702…
05-09 19:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x151c17…
05-09 19:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xefbd4b…
05-09 19:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc762ba…
05-09 19:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb75db3…
05-09 19:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x0be014…
05-09 19:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xecf1a9…
05-09 19:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xf7bc71…
05-09 19:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x6d7dfd…
05-09 19:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x9c850d…
05-09 19:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xb50ee3…
05-09 19:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x451217…
05-09 19:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x4aaed4…
05-09 19:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x245d80…
05-09 19:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xe7813c…
05-09 19:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7dad53…
05-09 19:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xb5ec1d…
05-09 19:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x211a0f…
05-09 19:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x63e894…
05-09 19:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9366b9…
05-09 19:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x3c7010…
05-09 19:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xeec671…
05-09 19:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc07cdd…
05-09 19:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa3acec…
05-09 18:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xd8281e…
05-09 18:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x2f2553…
05-09 18:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x026581…
05-09 18:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xdc2735…
05-09 18:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x996e52…
05-09 18:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x89d4dc…
05-09 18:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5db41c…
05-09 18:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xaf7941…
05-09 18:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$11	0xbdbaf0…
05-09 18:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd5bf7f…
05-09 18:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x91cf78…
05-09 18:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa787dc…
05-09 18:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0263f6…
05-09 18:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2a0020…
05-09 18:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8860e5…
05-09 18:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	48¢	$9	0xdf81f3…
05-09 18:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xf8ab13…
05-09 18:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x1ac77e…
05-09 18:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x09226e…
05-09 18:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0xcc54e7…
05-09 18:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa8be6d…
05-09 18:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x497c54…
05-09 18:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x334223…
05-09 18:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9b3e51…
05-09 18:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x51e844…
05-09 18:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x9e8fd5…
05-09 18:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5efd80…
05-09 18:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x4211b8…
05-09 18:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa8d66f…
05-09 18:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x62abb4…
05-09 17:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xcee7f0…
05-09 17:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6a0703…
05-09 17:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb2ea30…
05-09 17:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9b980a…
05-09 17:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x61dae3…
05-09 17:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8ed57a…
05-09 17:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xd6a66f…
05-09 17:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x2a2c03…
05-09 17:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x3c3951…
05-09 17:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd8d4a3…
05-09 17:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xac9e18…
05-09 17:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xfbadcf…
05-09 17:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4a6e27…
05-09 17:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x828eb0…
05-09 17:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x684387…
05-09 17:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe314fa…
05-09 17:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe2ee93…
05-09 17:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa664c8…
05-09 17:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8dd8b7…
05-09 17:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x719c9d…
05-09 17:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xec3830…
05-09 17:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xd77bf3…
05-09 16:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd9b948…
05-09 16:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa2e6d1…
05-09 16:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xd774d2…
05-09 16:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x061566…
05-09 16:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x42f651…
05-09 16:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x5fa5bb…
05-09 16:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x21f989…
05-09 16:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdfa7fc…
05-09 16:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xe10b4c…
05-09 16:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6c381b…
05-09 16:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x243c66…
05-09 16:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbbee43…
05-09 16:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6ec8ff…
05-09 16:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x59aff9…
05-09 16:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x907c80…
05-07 19:37:52	Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x7c73bf…
05-07 18:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xc3784f…
05-07 18:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x04a945…
05-07 18:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x2f8bd8…
05-07 18:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xef6f2c…
05-07 18:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4d109b…
05-07 18:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xce19a1…
05-07 18:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7eb1a7…