Easy-Species — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-21 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

57% 93% +$0

Crypto

37% 89% -$1

Politics

6% 67% -$3

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	10-21 15:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	1	$106	106	+106	No	+$0	03-16 07:44
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	1	$106	106	+106	No	+$0	02-12 11:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	1	$106	106	+106	Yes	+$0	05-29 03:24
bitcoin above 90k on february 6	1	$106	106	+106	No	+$0	02-05 03:54
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	1	$106	106	+106	No	+$0	02-01 07:51
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	1	$106	106	+106	No	+$0	01-28 07:13
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$105	106	+106	No	+$0	05-24 08:50
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$105	106	+106	No	+$0	05-17 07:47
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$105	106	+106	No	+$0	05-11 07:50
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 260 279	1	$105	106	+106	No	+$0	01-24 09:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$105	106	+106	Yes	+$0	05-07 03:43
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	04-25 09:26
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$105	105	+105	Yes	+$0	04-20 08:41
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	04-14 03:39
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	04-29 01:54
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 40 59	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	01-19 09:56
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 480 499	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	01-12 09:09
bitcoin above 64k on april 6	1	$105	105	+105	Yes	+$0	04-06 07:52
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	03-29 09:34
will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	1	$105	105	+105	No	+$0	03-24 03:31
bitcoin above 56k on june 13 2026	1	$104	104	+104	Yes	+$0	06-12 07:02
Trump out as President by August 31?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	08-25 05:10
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	07-17 06:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	09-01 14:58
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	10-21 15:25
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$3	4	+4	Yes	-$3	10-21 15:24
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	1	$2	1,050	+1,050	Yes	-$2	06-12 06:57
bitcoin above 64k on march 24	1	$1	700	+700	Yes	-$1	03-24 03:26
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$1	525	+525	No	-$1	07-17 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 15:25:23	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84c7b5…
10-21 15:24:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x260bc6…
09-01 14:58:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x056f89…
08-25 05:10:24	Trump out as President by August 31?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4986a5…
07-17 06:52:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3250f2…
07-17 06:49:25	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	525	0¢	$1	0xfd2bf2…
06-12 07:02:46	bitcoin above 56k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x490f9e…
06-12 06:57:34	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xdd96e2…
05-29 03:24:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x8763aa…
05-24 08:50:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xe1c1ad…
05-17 07:47:23	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x2131f3…
05-11 07:50:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xa54d32…
05-07 03:43:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x0dc829…
04-29 01:54:22	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x3fda9a…
04-25 09:26:04	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x3252fc…
04-20 08:41:00	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x7ae180…
04-14 03:39:19	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x462a71…
04-06 07:52:59	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xe59439…
03-29 09:34:30	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6fa3ac…
03-24 03:31:09	will the price of bitcoin be less than 64000 on march 24	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x79f3e5…
03-24 03:26:29	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	No	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x861d1e…
03-16 07:44:31	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x755cb1…
02-12 11:18:59	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 160 179	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x904d98…
02-05 03:54:47	bitcoin above 90k on february 6	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x1304cd…
02-01 07:51:14	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x5e1dda…
01-28 07:13:31	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 240 259	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x245ec6…
01-24 09:44:14	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 260 279	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x278822…
01-19 09:56:50	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 40 59	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x85edc1…
01-12 09:09:16	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 480 499	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x28c98e…