Tepid-Pouch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

228

lifetime

Volume

$2.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 06-02 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

94% — —

Other

3% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	144	$2.0K	1,005,672	999,784	+5,888	open	—	02-21 01:30
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	11	$19	19	0	+19	Sean Strickland	+$0	05-10 04:54
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	7	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	05-01 00:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-02 15:51
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	3	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-13 22:59
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-20 02:32
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-02 22:56
si hit 150 high jan 2026	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-21 07:27
will annual inflation increase by 2pt2 in january 787	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-21 07:31
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	3	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-28 04:47
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-17 19:48
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 320 339	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-01 17:18
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 05:51
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-22 06:27
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-03 10:27
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 07:29
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 07:28
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	02-18 23:42
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-27 13:57
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 05:51
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 07:27
will russia capture zarichne by march 31 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 07:28
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-22 06:40
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-14 23:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-31 18:27
will solana reach 210 in january 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 07:05
will trump talk to jerome powell in january	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-31 18:27
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 07:07
will jos miguel aguilar berrocal win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 07:07
will the supreme court rule on trumps tarriffs by january 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-21 07:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 15:51:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x09104a…
06-02 15:46:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59247c…
05-28 04:47:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8872cc…
05-28 04:47:54	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0a3038…
05-28 04:47:49	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb708fa…
05-17 19:48:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Jannik Sinner	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x45d108…
05-17 19:48:21	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Jannik Sinner	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3a5c45…
05-13 02:50:29	AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Huracán: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6ac11f…
05-10 04:54:27	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x757021…
05-10 04:54:27	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e6894…
05-10 04:54:25	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca7bd7…
05-10 04:54:25	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x75b46e…
05-10 04:54:25	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x25c273…
05-10 04:54:23	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4cd5c3…
05-10 04:54:22	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2bf07…
05-10 04:54:22	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb42fbf…
05-10 04:54:22	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9129ba…
05-10 04:54:01	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x48f4dc…
05-10 04:53:59	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x79d5c3…
05-01 00:26:14	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x383c67…
05-01 00:26:12	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc6d904…
05-01 00:26:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc8a08e…
05-01 00:26:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6aec7c…
05-01 00:26:08	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4a9271…
05-01 00:25:44	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x779d66…
05-01 00:20:40	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbbfc95…
03-03 10:27:33	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xf258d9…
03-02 23:07:55	Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x091854…
03-01 17:22:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x755236…
02-28 14:29:23	Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x91b1b0…
02-27 13:57:11	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xac3f26…
02-26 10:48:18	will company e be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x602405…
02-21 01:30:34	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0xd8988b…
02-20 02:32:48	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3ed0ac…
02-19 18:51:00	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,100	0¢	$1	0x12c943…
02-19 14:27:54	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,520	0¢	$3	0xddb9b4…
02-19 14:27:04	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,600	0¢	$3	0x60c6d7…
02-18 23:42:54	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x749a8e…
02-16 20:50:33	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6701b2…
02-16 20:49:07	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1f2871…
02-16 19:57:07	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x39790f…
02-16 13:13:53	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x812902…
02-16 03:54:39	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x6c2705…
02-16 03:52:27	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x24c7a7…
02-15 23:52:25	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x72da2a…
02-15 19:54:25	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x07fb22…
02-15 17:59:43	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x963ff3…
02-15 00:27:23	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x130cbc…
02-14 23:33:33	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xc38350…
02-14 14:50:31	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5b04f0…
02-14 05:15:03	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0xb56f0a…
02-13 22:59:53	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb349a1…
02-13 19:50:19	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe4d527…
02-13 19:33:53	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,320	0¢	$2	0xaf528a…
02-13 19:08:17	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,330	0¢	$2	0xe1cf31…
02-13 16:43:43	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5e4e00…
02-13 13:49:27	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa5800a…
02-13 07:55:25	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,050	0¢	$1	0xe486a5…
02-13 04:42:51	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x639671…
02-12 20:04:27	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe5a5a7…
02-12 05:36:55	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x440f14…
02-12 00:12:03	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x19efc1…
02-11 22:18:09	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd12c07…
02-11 19:56:19	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x05b696…
02-11 15:34:07	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1fa779…
02-11 08:13:27	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x372e37…
02-11 02:35:27	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xd1678d…
02-11 01:06:17	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x4ea842…
02-11 01:03:53	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0x950cfa…
02-10 20:37:49	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa8c1cf…
02-10 08:16:15	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf0be80…
02-10 07:14:19	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe0c821…
02-10 00:24:05	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf1baaf…
02-09 19:21:37	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3c9a1f…
02-09 11:52:43	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0bcb2e…
02-09 01:15:43	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x40a37f…
02-08 11:49:13	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x53bff9…
02-07 17:02:09	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x2f5430…
02-07 12:41:31	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x84cf73…
02-07 09:05:43	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2bb19e…
02-07 01:59:39	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc4322b…
02-07 01:26:49	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0x3c1e7b…
02-07 01:25:09	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xb53d12…
02-07 00:43:37	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb5f39f…
02-06 23:35:11	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10,000	0¢	$10	0xf44ccd…
02-06 15:02:39	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x77fa83…
02-06 13:50:21	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6a47c9…
02-06 08:31:09	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,850	0¢	$2	0xebc276…
02-06 00:03:43	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3f2e32…
02-04 13:33:36	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6746c6…
02-04 13:33:34	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf1d0ec…
02-02 22:57:02	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf7d77c…
02-02 22:56:36	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa3ec3d…
02-02 18:54:08	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x89f4c9…
02-02 14:17:18	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$5	0xdaebbc…
02-02 09:51:38	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf6986f…
02-02 01:35:28	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x7d4c85…
02-01 17:24:30	Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xd440fe…
02-01 17:18:20	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 320 339	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x63d60d…
02-01 17:18:12	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xef7fa6…