Drafty-Nightingale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

132

Trades

1,755

lifetime

Volume

$8.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-27 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 37% +$13

Other

3% — —

Politics

2% 0% $-1

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 323 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$124	87	87	+0	Up	+$44	05-11 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$123	97	97	+0	Up	+$43	05-11 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$103	163	113	+50	Down	+$61	05-11 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	6	$100	122	87	+35	Down	+$10	05-10 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	6	$100	167	167	+0	open	—	05-14 23:43
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	4	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	05-24 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	5	$94	142	142	+0	open	—	05-15 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$93	74	57	+17	open	—	05-14 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	8	$93	241	120	+121	Down	+$21	05-12 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	5	$83	103	63	+40	open	—	05-14 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	8	$81	75	75	+0	Down	+$11	05-12 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$78	81	40	+41	Down	$-2	05-10 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	4	$75	28	82	-54	Down	+$71	05-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$74	69	69	+0	Down	+$34	05-10 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	7	$73	62	62	+0	Up	+$23	05-12 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$73	173	173	+0	Down	+$11	05-11 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	5	$69	190	43	+146	Up	$-11	05-11 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	4	$66	49	49	+0	open	—	05-14 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$62	77	59	+19	Down	$-6	05-12 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$60	140	40	+100	Down	+$18	05-12 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$60	93	43	+50	Down	+$18	05-10 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$60	42	42	+0	Down	+$20	05-10 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$57	95	33	+63	Up	+$7	05-10 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$57	59	48	+11	Up	+$17	05-12 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$56	82	24	+58	Up	$-32	05-10 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$55	143	43	+100	open	—	05-15 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	3	$55	112	62	+50	Up	+$13	05-11 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	4	$54	42	42	+0	Up	+$12	05-10 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$52	32	32	+0	open	—	05-14 23:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$52	40	40	+0	open	—	05-24 00:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 14:31:07	btc updown 5m 1782570600	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbefad4…
05-25 22:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xfe2e37…
05-25 22:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdfa1db…
05-25 22:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x18f4c6…
05-25 22:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0x449aa6…
05-25 22:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x141f27…
05-25 22:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x30e38a…
05-25 22:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	89¢	$12	0x098536…
05-25 22:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xb8ec8d…
05-25 22:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf35cac…
05-25 22:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf03c25…
05-25 22:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x56a53f…
05-25 22:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	13	66¢	$8	0x607464…
05-25 22:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xeff4c0…
05-25 22:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x4f84cb…
05-25 22:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xeeca33…
05-25 22:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0bea72…
05-25 22:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa2af44…
05-25 22:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x836db5…
05-25 22:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0xe04595…
05-25 22:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf1d0cd…
05-25 22:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x535ba3…
05-25 22:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x45730b…
05-25 22:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xaa839a…
05-25 22:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x8499f4…
05-25 21:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x58e103…
05-25 21:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd77719…
05-25 21:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	89	2¢	$2	0x020655…
05-25 21:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x242cdb…
05-25 21:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5e6dc8…
05-25 21:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4caad7…
05-25 21:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x67cad6…
05-25 21:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x15ce43…
05-25 21:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x96392c…
05-25 21:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb6e362…
05-25 21:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x423478…
05-25 21:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x378e30…
05-25 21:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcc400e…
05-25 21:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xca02cf…
05-25 21:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd7c112…
05-25 21:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x00612a…
05-25 21:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	45	75¢	$34	0x12e9a2…
05-25 21:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x19ab4b…
05-25 21:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8dd68b…
05-25 21:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0xf9de42…
05-25 21:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb73d89…
05-25 21:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe3150c…
05-25 21:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5ac773…
05-25 21:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	21	86¢	$18	0xfd80c2…
05-25 21:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb54b82…
05-25 21:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb11411…
05-25 21:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3fab6c…
05-25 21:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6ad093…
05-25 21:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xaf8f6c…
05-25 21:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e7831…
05-25 21:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xb2bd6a…
05-25 21:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9a12e1…
05-25 21:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x024fd5…
05-25 21:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x04cbb1…
05-25 21:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xda719e…
05-25 21:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x04d44c…
05-25 20:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x4912b2…
05-25 20:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x5a780c…
05-25 20:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8fcf40…
05-25 20:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf50473…
05-25 20:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x02fa08…
05-25 20:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x0dcb24…
05-25 20:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x079b44…
05-25 20:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa23d35…
05-25 20:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa2ea25…
05-25 20:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc05fa9…
05-25 20:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbfca8c…
05-25 20:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x033a27…
05-25 20:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x530c56…
05-25 20:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x64c13e…
05-25 20:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x603972…
05-25 20:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x0ce349…
05-25 20:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9037ad…
05-25 20:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe6882b…
05-25 20:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xef4a45…
05-25 20:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x7879cc…
05-25 20:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x8694ed…
05-25 20:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	149	3¢	$5	0xb91b09…
05-25 20:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	46¢	$4	0xb4f29b…
05-25 20:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc99d76…
05-25 20:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0458e4…
05-25 20:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1e4e34…
05-25 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe0cdc6…
05-25 20:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	29	11¢	$3	0x565063…
05-25 20:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x3efda4…
05-25 20:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x6093e9…
05-25 20:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5dfb2b…
05-25 20:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6f6f6e…
05-25 20:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe13ede…
05-25 20:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x59cfab…
05-25 20:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x81d75a…
05-25 20:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x62a7cf…
05-25 20:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x6e12a0…
05-25 20:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbcb3da…
05-25 20:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xad1f2a…