Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$635

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

102

Trades

230

lifetime

Volume

$9.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$22

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-24

last 10-29 08:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 45% -$402

Other

6% 28% -$233

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 106 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	+148	$10	7¢	$10	$0	10-26 23:31
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	+100	$4	3¢	$3	-$1	10-28 12:14
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+244	$3	1¢	$3	$0	10-28 22:44
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+224	$2	1¢	$2	+$0	10-28 12:17
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+59	$2	3¢	$2	$0	10-28 12:17
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+8	$2	23¢	$2	$0	10-28 12:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$654	807	807	+0	Down	-$246	10-27 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$624	417	417	+0	Up	+$104	10-27 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$459	242	242	+0	Up	+$19	10-27 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$362	323	323	+0	Up	-$48	10-27 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$305	167	167	+0	Up	+$25	10-27 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$304	176	176	+0	Down	+$44	10-27 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$283	174	174	+0	Down	+$63	10-27 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$276	148	148	+0	Down	+$16	10-27 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$273	155	155	+0	Down	+$33	10-27 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$265	146	146	+0	Up	+$23	10-27 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$255	147	147	+0	Up	+$35	10-27 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$247	128	128	+0	Up	+$7	10-27 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$241	128	128	+0	Up	+$12	10-27 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$225	157	157	+0	Down	+$65	10-27 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	2	$224	115	115	+0	Up	+$4	10-26 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$217	188	188	+0	Up	+$87	10-27 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	4	$215	278	223	+56	Down	+$75	10-27 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$212	114	114	+0	Down	+$13	10-27 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$212	114	114	+0	Down	+$12	10-27 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$210	111	111	+0	Down	+$10	10-27 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$201	104	104	+0	Up	+$1	10-27 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$197	108	108	+0	Up	+$17	10-27 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$176	112	112	+0	Down	+$46	10-26 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$159	174	174	+0	Down	+$79	10-26 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	5	$140	1,521	0	+1,521	Up	-$140	10-27 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$139	80	80	+0	Down	+$19	10-27 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$135	70	70	+0	Up	+$5	10-26 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$133	92	92	+0	Down	+$13	10-27 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$133	132	132	+0	Down	-$67	10-27 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$131	67	67	+0	Up	+$1	10-28 13:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 08:29:37	Will IMAX (IMAX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x0f89e2…
10-29 08:21:40	Micron (MU) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	217	16¢	$35	0x7a2d12…
10-28 22:44:58	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	244	1¢	$3	0x12109b…
10-28 21:06:28	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	SELL	289	2¢	$5	0x5cda52…
10-28 20:01:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x75d420…
10-28 20:01:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0x736688…
10-28 20:01:32	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 29?	Yes	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x9269ac…
10-28 20:00:47	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $77.50 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x501d05…
10-28 19:31:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x4dc818…
10-28 19:31:41	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x203d6b…
10-28 19:31:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6c0a84…
10-28 19:31:31	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x697553…
10-28 19:28:35	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x1988fd…
10-28 19:27:02	will hood dip to 77 50 by october 26 2026	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4042d5…
10-28 18:51:07	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x45e718…
10-28 17:22:53	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	BIG	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x80c607…
10-28 17:13:50	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x96f265…
10-28 16:45:02	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Natus Vincere	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xef11e6…
10-28 13:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x6dfeaa…
10-28 13:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x8ac35d…
10-28 13:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x41668a…
10-28 13:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8491ba…
10-28 12:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf4b111…
10-28 12:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x3d5e64…
10-28 12:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x0ccb8b…
10-28 12:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x5b86de…
10-28 12:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0xace7a3…
10-28 12:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9d1ef8…
10-28 12:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc5c2a6…
10-28 12:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x373b33…
10-28 12:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8742b9…
10-28 12:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x6518cc…
10-28 12:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf2bd89…
10-28 12:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfc37ac…
10-28 12:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4118f0…
10-28 12:17:20	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x54a108…
10-28 12:17:19	Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x1f59cf…
10-28 12:17:13	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	224	1¢	$2	0x36cd41…
10-28 12:14:34	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x6e00da…
10-28 12:13:55	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	289	2¢	$5	0x0dca7b…
10-28 11:41:04	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xc8417a…
10-28 11:37:25	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs BIG (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5 Playoffs	BIG	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x1754c7…
10-28 11:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5f1ce2…
10-28 11:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xd35a1d…
10-27 23:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	127	5¢	$6	0xaab494…
10-27 23:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd3a5ed…
10-27 23:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x0b47a6…
10-27 23:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x8ee05d…
10-27 23:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x6ae38c…
10-27 23:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x5e9ca1…
10-27 23:40:21	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	117	6¢	$7	0xf41327…
10-27 23:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	104	97¢	$101	0x64f2f5…
10-27 23:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xa8edc7…
10-27 23:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x643634…
10-27 23:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xdc3abf…
10-27 21:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa5120e…
10-27 21:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,574	0¢	$5	0x3aebd6…
10-27 21:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	333	1¢	$3	0x935c76…
10-27 21:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	210	2¢	$5	0xceb4f4…
10-27 21:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x496293…
10-27 21:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	638	5¢	$35	0xf014a5…
10-27 21:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	459	8¢	$35	0xcaaf2b…
10-27 21:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xbe77e0…
10-27 21:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0x0c46be…
10-27 21:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x274bd7…
10-27 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xf58a65…
10-27 21:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	114	84¢	$95	0xd53e73…
10-27 21:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x75d38b…
10-27 21:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	74	77¢	$57	0x66c587…
10-27 21:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x3a06eb…
10-27 20:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	3¢	$15	0x92202b…
10-27 20:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	445	3¢	$15	0x86fe99…
10-27 20:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x3d2a80…
10-27 20:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x0ffa87…
10-27 20:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	296	27¢	$80	0x51e2ae…
10-27 20:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x4dc6ca…
10-27 20:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	65	38¢	$25	0xd5ec80…
10-27 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x4bcd3f…
10-27 20:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	157	92¢	$145	0xe689b9…
10-27 20:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	157	51¢	$80	0x34139f…
10-27 20:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	92	79¢	$73	0x1c7ae4…
10-27 20:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	92	65¢	$60	0xb0f603…
10-27 20:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x8d0a23…
10-27 20:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc41c11…
10-27 20:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	155	99¢	$153	0x17398a…
10-27 20:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	155	77¢	$120	0x3a2b3e…
10-27 19:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	105	22¢	$23	0x71c83c…
10-27 19:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	154	23¢	$36	0x11d095…
10-27 19:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	259	27¢	$70	0x37cca7…
10-27 19:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	432	13¢	$58	0x6cc45e…
10-27 19:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	432	83¢	$360	0x036a80…
10-27 19:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	375	39¢	$146	0x854432…
10-27 19:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	375	24¢	$90	0xe21cac…
10-27 19:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0xbf9f30…
10-27 19:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	144	90¢	$130	0x6dd968…
10-27 19:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	179	8¢	$14	0xfa59fb…
10-27 19:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	179	42¢	$75	0x1f4b51…
10-27 19:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	194	31¢	$60	0x7c0ebd…
10-27 19:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	167	99¢	$165	0x911a47…
10-27 19:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	167	84¢	$140	0x687af6…