Fatal-Run — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

564

lifetime

Volume

$41.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-12 00:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% $-30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$995	990	990	+0	open	—	04-28 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$880	586	586	+0	open	—	04-28 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$839	545	545	+0	open	—	04-28 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$635	464	464	+0	open	—	04-28 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$629	461	461	+0	open	—	04-28 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$581	385	385	+0	open	—	04-28 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$569	373	373	+0	open	—	04-28 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$568	374	374	+0	open	—	04-28 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$539	351	351	+0	open	—	04-28 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$504	417	417	+0	open	—	04-28 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$495	335	325	+10	open	—	04-28 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$491	354	354	+0	open	—	04-28 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$480	333	333	+0	open	—	04-28 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$427	280	280	+0	open	—	04-28 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	7	$401	336	326	+10	open	—	04-27 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$361	279	270	+9	open	—	04-28 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$341	290	280	+10	open	—	04-28 04:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$340	222	222	+0	open	—	04-28 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$335	345	345	+0	open	—	04-28 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$319	759	759	+0	open	—	04-28 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$310	225	225	+0	open	—	04-28 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$306	208	208	+0	open	—	04-28 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$304	215	215	+0	open	—	04-29 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$300	651	0	+651	open	—	04-28 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$296	200	200	+0	open	—	04-29 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$295	203	203	+0	open	—	04-28 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$294	211	211	+0	open	—	04-28 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$294	200	200	+0	open	—	04-28 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$293	195	195	+0	open	—	04-28 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$290	192	192	+0	open	—	04-28 20:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 00:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf8c22f…
05-12 00:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x291e90…
05-12 00:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x392769…
05-12 00:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x97b83a…
05-12 00:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	72¢	$8	0x70b318…
05-12 00:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x4a2c32…
05-12 00:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0x3fa3b3…
05-12 00:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	39¢	$14	0x44b1c6…
05-11 23:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x0e7204…
05-11 23:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x3b2503…
05-11 23:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0961db…
05-11 23:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x9501ec…
05-11 23:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x3367a7…
05-11 23:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x85d1af…
05-11 23:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x4defa4…
05-11 23:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xf0a136…
05-11 23:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe13e5c…
05-11 23:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0x593277…
05-11 23:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	38¢	$14	0xa8a896…
05-11 23:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xf1eb70…
05-11 23:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	37	53¢	$19	0x28b405…
05-11 23:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	37	49¢	$18	0x0f09fd…
05-11 23:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe15574…
05-11 23:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	40	63¢	$25	0xd9b2e2…
05-11 23:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x9ce6c7…
05-11 23:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xc29d68…
05-11 23:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	76¢	$10	0x6a756e…
05-11 23:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x52f766…
05-11 22:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb39b91…
05-11 22:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x32e956…
05-11 22:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	22	57¢	$12	0x5ac3f0…
05-11 22:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd838bf…
05-11 22:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0x322c11…
05-11 22:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd79a74…
05-11 22:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0x3832e7…
05-11 22:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xf6e39c…
05-11 22:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	29¢	$13	0xaf6d82…
05-11 22:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7d701c…
05-11 22:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2cbcc5…
05-11 22:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	27	42¢	$11	0x044b54…
05-11 22:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0xa4fb2d…
05-11 22:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	22	64¢	$14	0xfed861…
05-11 22:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x172dd3…
05-11 22:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0xa70213…
05-11 22:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x9c8006…
05-11 22:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5f8309…
05-11 22:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	27	72¢	$19	0xa0213a…
05-11 22:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0xd44569…
05-11 21:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0xba48c8…
05-11 21:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x028395…
05-11 21:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	32¢	$7	0x04c050…
05-11 21:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0xe59c04…
05-11 21:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x9ed9d4…
05-11 21:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0xa78261…
05-11 21:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xd9260e…
05-11 21:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25	59¢	$15	0xaa082f…
05-11 21:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xa8955d…
05-11 21:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	33	43¢	$14	0xcc0198…
05-11 21:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x05559d…
05-11 21:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	84¢	$22	0x8474d8…
05-11 21:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x27cb5c…
05-10 13:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x2d72a4…
05-10 13:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x587eaf…
05-10 13:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x5c84fd…
05-10 13:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x94e9cc…
05-10 13:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x58c57d…
05-10 13:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	16	40¢	$7	0x2f61c0…
05-10 13:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	35¢	$6	0x842391…
05-10 13:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0x992c74…
05-10 13:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0xb4cd3e…
05-10 13:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x4e6c9b…
05-10 13:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbd0c14…
05-10 13:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	41	45¢	$18	0xaddc59…
05-10 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	41	35¢	$14	0xc7671e…
05-10 12:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x55ca1b…
05-10 12:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcf3a9c…
05-10 12:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	49¢	$13	0x65085a…
05-10 12:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc1455a…
05-10 12:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0x8863a6…
05-10 12:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x5f3db7…
05-10 12:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x22de24…
05-10 12:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9b8873…
05-10 12:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x710f21…
05-10 12:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x36966a…
05-10 12:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xdd3371…
05-10 12:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdcbdcf…
05-10 12:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x949537…
05-10 12:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xfb88fa…
05-10 11:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	44	39¢	$17	0x8da313…
05-10 11:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	43	64¢	$27	0x6bc8bc…
05-10 11:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	43	49¢	$21	0x0c7074…
05-10 11:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x74cd0e…
05-10 11:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x2055ac…
05-10 11:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0xa2aee5…
05-10 11:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x47cc90…
05-10 11:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	28	31¢	$9	0x2340ab…
05-10 11:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x9d29c9…
05-10 11:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0aa4db…
05-10 11:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x6a6be7…
05-10 11:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x9b0834…