Elastic-Gran — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$345

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

1,842

Trades

2,213

lifetime

Volume

$10.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 10-29 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 195 days

Categories

Other

98% 46% +$312

Politics

2% 50% +$34

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	16	$89	138	159	-21	No	+$10	04-10 14:12
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	11	$61	46	46	+0	Yes	+$29	04-04 19:23
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt29c in march 2026	21	$49	74	74	+0	No	-$36	04-08 07:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$40	36	36	+0	No	$0	04-17 13:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	9	$24	226	226	+0	No	+$2	04-10 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 22?	1	$15	26	0	+26	Yes	+$11	09-20 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22?	1	$15	26	0	+26	Yes	+$11	09-20 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	1	$15	26	0	+26	No	-$15	09-18 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 20?	2	$15	27	0	+27	Yes	+$12	09-18 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 20?	6	$15	33	0	+33	Yes	+$18	09-18 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	1	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$15	09-18 06:46
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 21?	1	$15	28	0	+28	No	-$15	09-19 07:28
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 20?	1	$15	30	0	+30	No	-$15	09-19 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 19?	1	$15	38	0	+38	No	-$15	09-18 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?	1	$15	39	0	+39	No	-$15	09-18 10:45
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 21?	1	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$15	09-20 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20?	1	$15	31	0	+31	No	-$15	09-18 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 21?	1	$15	38	0	+38	Yes	+$23	09-19 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 22?	1	$15	28	0	+28	No	-$15	09-20 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 21?	1	$15	27	0	+27	Yes	+$12	09-19 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?	1	$15	31	0	+31	No	-$15	09-19 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 21?	1	$15	23	0	+23	Yes	+$8	09-20 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21?	1	$15	29	0	+29	Yes	+$14	09-19 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 20?	1	$15	29	0	+29	Yes	+$14	09-18 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 20?	1	$15	29	0	+29	Yes	+$14	09-19 18:57
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 21?	1	$15	58	0	+58	No	-$15	09-19 21:47
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	1	$15	24	0	+24	Yes	+$9	09-19 12:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	1	$15	26	0	+26	Yes	+$11	09-19 13:17
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 20?	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	-$15	09-18 12:17
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 21?	2	$15	26	0	+26	No	-$15	09-19 16:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C or higher on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa9b8ec…
10-29 13:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x7a423e…
10-29 10:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x533c02…
10-29 09:53:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4d8e79…
10-29 09:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x9ef51e…
10-29 09:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xea6690…
10-29 08:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf56fc7…
10-29 08:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7ea9a1…
10-29 07:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xfefed2…
10-29 06:27:34	highest temperature in singapore on october 31 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x935bd8…
10-29 06:15:37	highest temperature in singapore on october 31 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xeddc62…
10-29 06:09:23	highest temperature in helsinki on october 31 2026 8c	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xf9257b…
10-28 16:39:37	highest temperature in mexico city on october 30 2026 26corhigher	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x87f914…
10-28 16:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6098c6…
10-28 12:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x75be8c…
10-28 11:19:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xcc769d…
10-28 11:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb84b70…
10-28 09:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x929ad0…
10-28 08:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xa1ac82…
10-28 07:27:29	highest temperature in london on october 30 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x66b9df…
10-28 07:20:02	highest temperature in shanghai on october 30 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x4c5d11…
10-28 06:42:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xad7836…
10-28 06:29:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3695e2…
10-28 06:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x237dc4…
10-28 05:36:05	highest temperature in paris on october 30 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6249ed…
10-28 05:29:55	highest temperature in helsinki on october 30 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x9da096…
10-27 19:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x2fe68f…
10-27 18:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x70a0fb…
10-27 17:44:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x583f25…
10-27 12:12:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x81201b…
10-27 11:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd7d621…
10-27 10:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x20a9f5…
10-27 09:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x6b275a…
10-27 08:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb40181…
10-27 07:21:41	highest temperature in paris on october 29 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa55690…
10-27 06:11:39	highest temperature in milan on october 29 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x255753…
10-27 03:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xbb2dbf…
10-26 12:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x821311…
10-26 11:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x115eac…
10-26 11:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9939a4…
10-26 10:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x746572…
10-26 10:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x560933…
10-26 10:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x761c8f…
10-26 10:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x0eb9a6…
10-26 10:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x23c5e1…
10-26 10:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xbda4ef…
10-26 09:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xd3efd7…
10-26 07:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x9fd18b…
10-26 07:11:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xda44bc…
10-26 07:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x9504a7…
10-26 06:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x385bf7…
10-26 06:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xc98efa…
10-26 06:00:44	highest temperature in tokyo on october 28 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x197361…
10-26 05:33:53	highest temperature in qingdao on october 28 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7eb238…
10-26 05:18:39	highest temperature in helsinki on october 28 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x05e15e…
10-26 05:12:54	highest temperature in qingdao on october 28 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x5d81b7…
10-26 05:12:53	highest temperature in paris on october 28 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7acc5c…
10-25 17:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf435c6…
10-25 17:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xb1447f…
10-25 13:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc1e0e3…
10-25 13:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5d193e…
10-25 12:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xa329da…
10-25 07:58:08	highest temperature in london on october 27 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd37588…
10-25 07:54:33	highest temperature in london on october 27 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x0d8a20…
10-25 07:06:03	highest temperature in helsinki on october 27 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xc7c107…
10-25 06:59:00	highest temperature in milan on october 27 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xf1418c…
10-25 06:58:59	highest temperature in shanghai on october 27 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x4e1384…
10-25 05:26:02	highest temperature in chongqing on october 27 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xadf8ca…
10-25 05:16:54	highest temperature in lucknow on october 27 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xf527b9…
10-24 23:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xcd5dd0…
10-24 19:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe423d7…
10-24 18:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8908fc…
10-24 18:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x33077a…
10-24 13:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5815a4…
10-24 11:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xbce9fd…
10-24 10:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xccdde7…
10-24 10:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb12c03…
10-24 10:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xdd8bd8…
10-24 09:58:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xfdacc6…
10-24 09:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xb97608…
10-24 09:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x807305…
10-24 08:40:53	highest temperature in helsinki on october 26 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1a3eea…
10-24 08:28:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x440bf6…
10-24 07:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1bcc31…
10-24 06:07:48	highest temperature in madrid on october 26 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x6b64f6…
10-24 05:55:56	highest temperature in manila on october 26 2026 33c	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x9caab2…
10-23 23:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xf70b16…
10-23 18:18:21	highest temperature in los angeles on october 25 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x7cc4c0…
10-23 12:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x893c8c…
10-23 12:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x602b2c…
10-23 11:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x3c8c6f…
10-23 11:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x42129d…
10-23 09:49:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x3839cf…
10-23 09:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf04dd0…
10-23 09:31:51	highest temperature in atlanta on october 25 2026 68 69f	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x8c7c3d…
10-23 07:00:14	highest temperature in milan on october 25 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xfe5f96…
10-23 06:13:44	highest temperature in lucknow on october 25 2026 32c	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x543581…
10-23 06:13:32	highest temperature in paris on october 25 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd62387…
10-23 06:06:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xb0ec68…
10-22 20:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbee842…