Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.54K

Unrealized P&L

-$221

Hit rate

40.1%

Resolved

116

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$41.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

$791

9 positions

First seen

2026-06-10

last 10-31 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 33% -$5,433

Other

28% 33% -$1,533

Sports

11% 17% -$572

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+557	$516	94¢	$526	+$11	10-11 16:49
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	+2,546	$136	3¢	$80	-$56	10-31 17:11
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,044	$164	3¢	$65	-$98	10-23 20:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	+602	$105	6¢	$33	-$72	09-26 00:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+34	$29	88¢	$30	+$1	09-11 03:14
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	+34	$31	68¢	$23	-$7	06-11 04:44
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	+32	$13	56¢	$18	+$4	09-11 03:21
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	+34	$13	32¢	$11	-$2	10-20 13:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+34	$5	12¢	$4	-$1	09-11 04:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	7	$3.7K	5,757	+5,757	LYON	-$1,004	10-24 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	2	$3.2K	3,912	+3,912	Down	+$742	10-19 14:26
Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	21	$2.9K	5,228	+5,228	Pistons	-$237	10-27 20:33
Dogecoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$1.8K	4,407	+4,407	Up	-$88	09-26 16:57
hype up or down on august 22 2026	6	$1.5K	1,502	+1,502	Up	+$23	08-21 19:07
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	4	$1.2K	2,462	+2,462	No	-$5	10-14 05:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	1	$1.2K	1,233	+1,233	Down	-$1,218	10-04 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:10 UTC	7	$1.2K	4,316	+4,316	Up	+$301	09-26 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 11:45 UTC	1	$1.1K	1,215	+1,215	Up	+$139	10-04 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	1	$1.0K	1,240	+1,240	Down	+$231	10-01 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$972	996	+996	Up	+$24	10-02 09:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 16:35 UTC	3	$948	3,396	+3,396	Down	-$948	09-26 16:37
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	1	$896	1,318	+1,318	Yes	+$422	10-17 14:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 16:30 UTC	9	$817	5,024	+5,024	Up	-$817	09-26 16:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 16:00 UTC	4	$793	3,006	+3,006	Down	-$793	09-26 16:03
Will Real Madrid be runner-up in the 2026-27 LaLiga?	2	$718	2,000	+2,000	open	—	09-15 08:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 12:00 UTC	1	$692	700	+700	Up	+$8	09-28 12:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:55 UTC	7	$688	1,843	+1,843	Up	-$688	09-26 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:25 UTC	7	$685	3,041	+3,041	Up	-$685	09-26 15:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	4	$621	1,159	+1,159	open	—	10-11 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 14:55 UTC	2	$621	868	+868	Down	-$187	09-26 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 16:45 UTC	2	$610	3,650	+3,650	Down	-$610	09-26 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:30 UTC	7	$605	3,729	+3,729	Up	-$605	09-26 15:31
Crystal Palace FC vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5	1	$510	784	+784	Over	+$274	09-17 13:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 15:15 UTC	3	$498	2,107	+2,107	Up	-$498	09-26 15:16
Will Alessandro Bastoni play for Inter Milan next?	5	$478	996	+996	Yes	-$446	08-17 18:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 16:20 UTC	1	$468	1,523	+1,523	Down	-$468	09-26 16:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$459	528	+528	Yes	+$69	10-18 10:25
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	1	$447	732	+732	Karmine Corp	+$285	10-31 16:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	3	$426	568	+568	No	-$142	10-14 05:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 17:11:37	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	BUY	181	3¢	$6	0xe7a454…
10-31 16:18:30	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	732	61¢	$447	0x44da58…
10-31 12:09:31	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.1800 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	195	2¢	$4	0xc1b4af…
10-31 10:02:22	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.1800 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8f9b11…
10-30 20:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xe765e6…
10-30 19:31:18	Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-10-30?	No	BUY	1,493	1¢	$15	0xc78e26…
10-30 17:46:06	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4d2397…
10-30 12:58:27	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x304233…
10-30 11:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa86c28…
10-30 11:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xe8bb5c…
10-30 11:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x1bfb50…
10-30 11:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	79	46¢	$36	0x50d7a8…
10-30 10:12:16	UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)	Billy Elekana	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x9d0f78…
10-30 10:12:15	LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs Frank Esports (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs	Frank Esports	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xd0dc83…
10-30 10:12:13	Will FC Porto win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xd666b8…
10-30 10:12:13	Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xbf420c…
10-30 10:12:13	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs	Vitality	BUY	35	83¢	$29	0xb68cbf…
10-30 10:12:13	Will Abha Saudi Club win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	62	17¢	$11	0x49b23a…
10-30 10:11:18	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	184	18¢	$33	0x624982…
10-30 10:11:16	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0xd7274b…
10-30 10:11:15	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	73	31¢	$23	0x9e66ee…
10-30 10:11:15	Will FC Arouca win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x94fc3a…
10-30 10:11:15	Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0x82331d…
10-30 10:11:15	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	No	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x1adabc…
10-30 10:11:15	Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-10-30?	Yes	BUY	61	9¢	$5	0x175e97…
10-30 10:11:13	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	41	18¢	$7	0xd48234…
10-30 10:11:13	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x43e744…
10-30 10:11:12	Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb6e455…
10-28 09:57:25	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	BUY	136	5¢	$6	0x253496…
10-27 20:33:53	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0x0d130c…
10-27 20:33:23	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0xb9603d…
10-27 20:33:05	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0x7e6d31…
10-27 20:30:45	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Knicks	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x69823f…
10-27 20:25:08	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	400	98¢	$393	0x2cfdcb…
10-27 20:24:24	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	400	98¢	$393	0x761857…
10-27 20:23:50	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x97d8c4…
10-27 20:23:29	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x983fd9…
10-27 20:23:09	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6d6865…
10-27 20:15:53	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Knicks	BUY	509	10¢	$48	0x8769ad…
10-27 19:58:30	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Knicks	BUY	501	11¢	$53	0xaaf0ca…
10-27 19:51:36	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xd12efa…
10-27 19:50:42	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	185	98¢	$182	0x21ca00…
10-27 19:49:32	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1e4299…
10-27 19:48:48	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	110	98¢	$108	0x05993b…
10-27 19:44:32	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Knicks	BUY	500	9¢	$44	0x99533d…
10-27 19:35:42	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	189	98¢	$186	0x1295c0…
10-27 19:33:26	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	205	98¢	$201	0xc554f4…
10-27 19:32:54	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0xa89992…
10-27 19:32:23	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Pistons	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6821a0…
10-27 19:24:09	Spread: Knicks (-31.5)	Knicks	BUY	604	16¢	$99	0xf6d8f2…
10-27 07:04:44	Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?	No	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0x002789…
10-27 06:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	338	14¢	$48	0xe18e67…
10-27 05:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	571	1¢	$6	0x15a28d…
10-25 12:42:08	Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xc170d4…
10-25 12:41:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	232	0¢	$0	0x2e0984…
10-25 06:00:44	Will Andrej Ilić (Union Berlin) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Bundesliga season?	Yes	BUY	250	39¢	$97	0x455616…
10-25 05:50:47	Will Russell Westbrook play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	331	40¢	$132	0x46d178…
10-25 05:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	443	43¢	$192	0x7b6d97…
10-25 05:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	443	14¢	$62	0x6c73d8…
10-24 20:45:42	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	1,320	78¢	$1,034	0x08d9df…
10-24 20:45:35	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	309	68¢	$210	0xa4467a…
10-24 20:45:33	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xec12f9…
10-24 20:45:33	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	467	68¢	$317	0xb8ae4a…
10-24 20:45:33	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	250	68¢	$170	0x582a34…
10-24 20:45:33	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x16e13c…
10-24 20:12:59	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	3,012	58¢	$1,747	0xca8bb6…
10-24 18:57:03	Will Gareth Southgate be the next head coach of the England national team?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x0a766b…
10-24 18:55:18	Will Gareth Southgate be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x541e8b…
10-24 18:51:00	Will Steven Gerrard be the next head coach of the England national team?	Yes	BUY	250	84¢	$211	0x813ef5…
10-23 20:51:12	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	644	6¢	$36	0x21d355…
10-21 09:44:50	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	543	1¢	$5	0x911e8f…
10-20 23:16:42	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	BUY	418	2¢	$8	0x3be513…
10-20 19:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	410	0¢	$0	0x11c0cb…
10-20 19:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	410	50¢	$207	0x81a85f…
10-20 13:45:00	Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xcfca98…
10-19 16:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	350	1¢	$4	0xb16d25…
10-19 14:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2,168	80¢	$1,741	0xd497cb…
10-19 14:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1,744	82¢	$1,429	0x08bbbd…
10-18 14:47:24	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	2,231	2¢	$34	0x9a6dd0…
10-18 10:25:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	528	87¢	$459	0xac4908…
10-17 14:58:59	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	1,318	68¢	$896	0x0e8976…
10-15 03:21:38	Will Manchester City be runner-up in the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	BUY	134	94¢	$127	0x869dca…
10-14 07:15:32	Will Manchester City finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	BUY	192	18¢	$35	0x00cf89…
10-14 05:03:11	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x7095ee…
10-14 05:00:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x2a8d4a…
10-13 18:38:01	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	No	BUY	1,131	93¢	$1,052	0xa3e0b6…
10-13 18:37:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	184	81¢	$149	0xf05316…
10-13 11:16:43	wta teichma brockma 2026 10 13	Tessa Brockmann	BUY	513	0¢	$1	0x1d65de…
10-12 21:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	750	0¢	$1	0x7362f7…
10-12 16:42:41	Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 12-18?	Yes	BUY	952	1¢	$8	0xf328ef…
10-12 14:32:21	Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky	Patrick Schoen	BUY	8,620	0¢	$9	0xd163e9…
10-11 16:49:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	440	94¢	$414	0xc7816f…
10-11 13:26:36	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	374	57¢	$213	0xffd1dd…
10-09 16:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	299	2¢	$5	0xd6d93a…
10-08 11:41:48	Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes	BUY	394	5¢	$20	0xfd2ab2…
10-07 20:55:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	730	1¢	$7	0xb0383d…
10-05 15:14:31	Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,131	7¢	$81	0x49d4de…
10-05 10:54:32	Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	BUY	337	2¢	$6	0x09ec62…
10-04 12:09:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,233	99¢	$1,218	0x0f6edc…
10-04 11:54:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-04 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,215	89¢	$1,076	0xd9bfd9…