Subtle-Sea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

84.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$75

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-19 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 75% -$4

Other

9% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes		+3	$2	98¢	$3	+$1	05-19 08:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$5	3	3	+0	No	+$1	05-19 08:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:30 UTC	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 05:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:50 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	04-17 04:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:30 UTC	3	$3	2	1	+1	Up	-$1	04-17 07:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 08:00 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:10 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-17 08:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:15 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 05:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:05 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:35 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-17 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 08:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:40 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-20 03:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 05:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-17 04:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:00 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:15 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-17 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:35 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-17 05:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-17 07:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-17 07:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:25 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 08:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 02:45 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 02:50
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-19 08:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:20 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 09:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 05:00 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-21 05:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:25 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 04:55 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-20 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:40 UTC	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	04-17 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 02:40 UTC	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	-$1	04-20 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:50 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	04-17 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:05 UTC	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	-$1	04-17 06:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 08:37:50	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x64580f…
05-19 08:35:11	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x15114f…
05-19 08:23:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x13ca5e…
04-27 04:18:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1d8103…
04-27 04:16:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x3475c7…
04-21 05:05:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 05:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d0642…
04-21 05:04:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf26f31…
04-20 08:15:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x32981c…
04-20 08:14:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe17af5…
04-20 05:14:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1d0f57…
04-20 05:00:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 04:55 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x771775…
04-20 05:00:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb5a9ba…
04-20 03:25:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf49f07…
04-20 03:24:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x95e7f6…
04-20 03:10:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0c4b67…
04-20 03:09:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2ae8fd…
04-20 03:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcea4f9…
04-20 03:04:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe1b548…
04-20 02:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x12d621…
04-20 02:50:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 02:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbe1366…
04-20 02:49:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbbfede…
04-20 02:45:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-20 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x64df5f…
04-17 09:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd426f2…
04-17 09:25:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5c7d37…
04-17 09:24:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1ba128…
04-17 08:30:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbcfd96…
04-17 08:29:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfcf80d…
04-17 08:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf386ce…
04-17 08:24:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x335220…
04-17 08:16:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x366b94…
04-17 08:14:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x435356…
04-17 07:50:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8db7fd…
04-17 07:49:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd96149…
04-17 07:45:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf9c766…
04-17 07:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x322a04…
04-17 07:40:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x097f62…
04-17 07:39:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7c0911…
04-17 07:35:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb0baa1…
04-17 07:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8596bb…
04-17 07:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1ee23f…
04-17 07:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:25 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7c5ab6…
04-17 07:30:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35c5b5…
04-17 07:25:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:20 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x849066…
04-17 07:24:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x36a2a3…
04-17 07:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc9e069…
04-17 07:19:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd30678…
04-17 06:59:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xce5d2e…
04-17 06:45:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x31e056…
04-17 06:44:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x81aef7…
04-17 06:40:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x79a331…
04-17 06:35:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6b43f4…
04-17 06:09:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8e8565…
04-17 05:59:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4868e2…
04-17 05:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x90fdf8…
04-17 05:45:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4d84f2…
04-17 05:40:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:35 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6c4e8b…
04-17 05:39:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xbb1bb9…
04-17 05:35:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6a2b41…
04-17 05:34:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x7ea7c3…
04-17 05:25:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc83f00…
04-17 05:24:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2e9026…
04-17 05:20:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe8d869…
04-17 05:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x87011d…
04-17 04:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:50 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x14dad4…
04-17 04:55:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdf8131…
04-17 04:51:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xabbe0b…
04-17 04:49:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x642fe4…