Dependent-Till — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.2%

Resolved

589

Trades

1,497

lifetime

Volume

$4.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 06-14 23:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 18% $-30

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$380	0	455	-455	open	—	06-14 23:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	1	$15	826	0	+826	open	—	04-26 08:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	556	0	+556	open	—	04-26 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	Up	$-0	05-08 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	05-02 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	05-01 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-30 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	05-04 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	05-02 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	Down	+$0	05-06 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	Down	+$0	05-06 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	Down	+$0	05-11 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Down	+$0	05-06 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Down	$-2	05-06 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-27 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Up	$-1	05-05 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Down	$-1	05-05 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Up	+$1	05-07 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Down	+$1	05-09 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	05-04 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-28 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$6	3	5	-2	Up	$-1	05-05 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Up	$-1	05-09 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-28 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$6	1	5	-4	open	—	04-28 00:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-06 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-04 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-04 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-04 07:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 23:03:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	455	84¢	$380	0x399fb7…
05-30 01:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x7cbc07…
05-30 00:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc2d4a8…
05-29 23:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5663d3…
05-29 22:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x671fe1…
05-29 22:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdb4622…
05-29 22:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x2bbe09…
05-29 17:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x4fdc13…
05-29 17:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x16ccdb…
05-29 16:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x21d90b…
05-29 14:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x0c528c…
05-29 14:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xdd2513…
05-29 09:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xf0e451…
05-29 09:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9ab59d…
05-29 07:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x152f9f…
05-29 04:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0cda36…
05-29 04:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc4c0c3…
05-29 03:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xbfd5e1…
05-29 03:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$0	0xb62d6f…
05-29 02:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x90fb19…
05-29 01:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5829b3…
05-29 00:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf279e6…
05-28 20:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8b8c2d…
05-28 20:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe3682c…
05-28 19:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x06c132…
05-28 12:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1cd5f0…
05-28 12:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xa6a621…
05-28 10:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x386950…
05-28 06:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xac68f8…
05-28 06:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe37733…
05-28 03:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x48d243…
05-28 00:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xf292ca…
05-27 22:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc04d10…
05-27 22:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x4b723a…
05-27 21:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xa2b895…
05-27 19:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x16ad89…
05-27 18:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xb3084f…
05-27 16:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x3f846e…
05-27 16:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x97701f…
05-27 10:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x7ee319…
05-27 06:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xf0781a…
05-27 03:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1eae39…
05-26 23:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6a7fbd…
05-26 21:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x99d8cd…
05-26 21:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x79d37e…
05-26 20:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x82b233…
05-26 20:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xad1587…
05-26 20:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb77e1d…
05-26 19:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd64bef…
05-26 19:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x4a11fb…
05-26 16:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xce785e…
05-26 16:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x349386…
05-26 16:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa583b1…
05-26 15:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x306023…
05-26 12:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xa27cb8…
05-26 11:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x57745e…
05-26 10:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xd9514e…
05-26 09:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb62c01…
05-26 07:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb8b614…
05-26 06:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa6b8fb…
05-26 06:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3b9684…
05-26 05:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xff134e…
05-26 04:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x8a4b42…
05-26 03:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x4bfa48…
05-26 02:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xdb11ea…
05-26 02:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe61d38…
05-26 02:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x63e051…
05-26 01:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x746f2d…
05-26 00:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x738680…
05-25 23:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x853a21…
05-25 23:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x4f3cb9…
05-25 23:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0xf84dcd…
05-25 19:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a428c…
05-25 19:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb05890…
05-25 19:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xd40773…
05-25 18:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x750c3f…
05-25 17:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x2dad1c…
05-25 17:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6f39fc…
05-25 15:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x28eca5…
05-25 14:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc01b9a…
05-25 13:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x9d8f6e…
05-25 13:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x71dabb…
05-25 10:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7bedc6…
05-25 10:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x03e905…
05-25 09:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfd97f2…
05-25 08:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x972b84…
05-25 07:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf50d74…
05-25 06:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x6cc34a…
05-25 04:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd4a54f…
05-25 03:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x765771…
05-25 03:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1d1c09…
05-25 02:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x87e9f1…
05-25 01:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x96e3df…
05-25 00:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xcab9e6…
05-25 00:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa55031…
05-24 23:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x59259c…
05-24 19:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xfadc1e…
05-24 17:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3fc5db…
05-24 17:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x02d152…
05-24 16:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x921a7f…