Mealy-Grouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

37.2%

Resolved

Trades

904

lifetime

Volume

$248

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 10-16 17:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 33% -$27

Other

7% 25% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	Yes		-38	-$6	17¢	$-6	-$1	10-16 17:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?	1	$11	0	50	-50	open	—	10-04 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:10 UTC	7	$7	231	0	+231	Down	-$7	03-28 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:40 UTC	5	$7	29	29	+0	Up	-$1	03-28 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:15 UTC	3	$7	13	8	+5	Down	$0	03-28 18:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:45 UTC	4	$7	16	16	+0	Down	-$1	03-28 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:20 UTC	5	$6	8	7	+1	Down	+$1	03-28 18:24
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	1	$6	0	38	-38	open	—	10-16 17:50
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	5	$5	1,501	501	+1,000	No	-$1	05-23 05:52
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	15	$5	2,200	2,200	+0	No	$0	05-10 17:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:35 UTC	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	-$5	03-28 19:39
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	29	$5	1,501	1,501	+0	No	$0	05-19 18:31
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	3	$5	300	300	+0	No	+$0	05-02 06:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:00 UTC	3	$5	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-28 19:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:05 UTC	4	$5	20	20	+0	Up	-$1	03-28 19:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 20:05 UTC	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	03-28 20:08
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?	23	$5	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$0	05-25 08:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:45 UTC	2	$4	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	03-28 19:48
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	24	$4	1,300	1,300	+0	No	+$1	05-19 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 19:50 UTC	3	$4	15	15	+0	Up	+$0	03-28 19:53
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	34	$4	1,310	1,310	+0	No	+$0	05-21 18:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?	14	$4	1,400	1,400	+0	No	$0	05-23 22:03
Will Solana reach $140 in May?	9	$4	600	600	+0	No	+$1	05-19 18:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	8	$3	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	05-29 19:58
Will Solana reach $170 in May?	6	$3	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$0	05-19 18:26
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	56	$3	1,300	1,300	+0	No	$0	05-23 14:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	12	$3	1,300	1,300	+0	No	$0	05-17 17:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:30 UTC	3	$3	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	03-28 18:33
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	27	$3	1,200	1,200	+0	No	$0	05-28 18:30
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?	24	$3	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	05-28 18:51
Will Solana reach $160 in May?	27	$3	1,400	500	+900	No	-$1	05-22 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 17:50:35	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	38	15¢	$6	0xfd49ee…
10-04 15:57:55	Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xff734d…
06-24 23:40:11	Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 2 Haiti?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8c1734…
06-01 08:24:39	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x96465b…
06-01 06:30:44	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf363a8…
06-01 06:27:17	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	13	0¢	$0	0xe7f26b…
06-01 04:54:58	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x5fa4bf…
06-01 02:48:48	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x352c7e…
06-01 01:12:43	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	537	0¢	$1	0x08d0fc…
06-01 01:12:10	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xf9dd83…
06-01 01:11:44	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x6d45a9…
06-01 01:11:07	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xa5e48c…
06-01 01:10:48	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xe0e7ec…
06-01 01:10:02	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x80ac6e…
06-01 01:09:06	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5cdc48…
06-01 01:08:26	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8ed297…
06-01 01:08:24	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xbc1338…
06-01 01:07:48	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x854ced…
06-01 01:07:41	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xedf7ab…
06-01 01:07:07	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xff9bba…
06-01 01:05:21	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe0d234…
06-01 01:05:08	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xc9a039…
06-01 01:04:44	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xbce575…
06-01 01:04:30	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xa58e4f…
06-01 01:02:40	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9e5471…
06-01 01:01:21	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd0426f…
06-01 01:01:14	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa4a666…
06-01 01:00:09	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x392ec7…
06-01 01:00:00	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x021d5d…
06-01 00:59:25	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xab8b8d…
06-01 00:59:18	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xba126c…
06-01 00:59:15	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x1f8464…
06-01 00:58:42	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x0637f4…
06-01 00:56:22	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x4bf8ef…
06-01 00:56:11	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6a880e…
06-01 00:56:09	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe7508f…
06-01 00:55:22	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x495626…
06-01 00:53:53	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa39fa0…
06-01 00:53:37	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x4505b3…
06-01 00:53:02	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xfce2e2…
06-01 00:52:41	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe76d8c…
06-01 00:50:46	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x2c4f1e…
06-01 00:49:29	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x48fb33…
06-01 00:47:28	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc0d3fa…
06-01 00:47:26	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xad85e0…
06-01 00:47:19	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x2348ab…
06-01 00:46:41	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xa96b51…
06-01 00:46:14	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x230d07…
06-01 00:45:06	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x7e14d9…
06-01 00:45:06	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x317838…
06-01 00:44:50	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc65f45…
06-01 00:42:46	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xcde6e3…
06-01 00:42:01	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x73300b…
06-01 00:41:55	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2a0926…
06-01 00:41:22	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x8d8a97…
06-01 00:39:37	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x29a8b9…
06-01 00:37:47	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x910f3e…
06-01 00:37:40	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x042dd6…
06-01 00:37:10	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3f0b73…
06-01 00:36:51	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x47f0fc…
06-01 00:35:57	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x8c30da…
06-01 00:35:20	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xaaafe1…
06-01 00:35:06	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xc7e602…
06-01 00:35:01	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2fa221…
06-01 00:31:10	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x1967c7…
06-01 00:30:10	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xdd65f8…
06-01 00:30:00	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd755c3…
06-01 00:28:06	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe0308a…
06-01 00:26:05	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x918061…
06-01 00:25:46	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xf9c712…
06-01 00:24:57	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x5e60f9…
06-01 00:23:52	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2a9b77…
06-01 00:22:54	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xbd4dd8…
06-01 00:22:53	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xa86e8a…
06-01 00:20:38	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xe722c1…
06-01 00:20:34	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x81a205…
06-01 00:20:06	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xaf8a43…
06-01 00:17:48	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb9df53…
06-01 00:15:56	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x04e366…
06-01 00:15:37	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x5f0fc5…
06-01 00:12:26	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x0926e0…
06-01 00:10:59	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x638d73…
05-31 23:51:31	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x1ee482…
05-31 22:35:17	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xdca45f…
05-31 21:33:51	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x63c97b…
05-31 21:00:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$1	0x249178…
05-31 20:55:53	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x9e1e42…
05-31 19:16:59	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	900	0¢	$1	0xbfc0fe…
05-31 18:43:03	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$1	0x4b6379…
05-31 08:36:36	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x13a4a5…
05-31 08:36:34	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0x45ffa7…
05-31 08:36:30	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0xc54b18…
05-31 08:36:23	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	148	0¢	$0	0x8c0f33…
05-31 08:35:43	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0x52906b…
05-31 08:35:29	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	102	0¢	$0	0xdc25d4…
05-31 08:35:26	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	121	0¢	$0	0x42f152…
05-31 08:34:12	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	112	0¢	$0	0x092cdb…
05-31 08:31:49	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0xfc1398…
05-31 06:56:19	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x3a4b7f…
05-30 19:59:38	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	900	0¢	$1	0x570165…