Unsightly-Optimist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

416

Trades

4,218

lifetime

Volume

$38.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-17 01:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 34% $-29

Other

2% 0% $-2

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 300 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 10pm et	37	$1.5K	1,416	1,416	+0	open	—	03-28 02:27
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 9pm et	52	$1.1K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-29 01:49
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 10pm et	22	$1.1K	1,200	1,198	+2	open	—	03-30 02:33
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 12am et	76	$986	5,500	413	+5,087	open	—	03-30 04:47
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8pm et	17	$980	800	791	+9	open	—	03-29 00:39
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 7pm et	45	$923	900	873	+27	open	—	03-29 23:45
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 8pm et	21	$866	1,050	992	+58	open	—	03-30 00:21
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 6am et	24	$768	956	936	+20	open	—	04-02 10:46
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 4am et	12	$636	553	553	+0	open	—	03-28 08:49
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 5am et	12	$605	420	420	+0	open	—	03-30 09:25
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8am et	41	$596	1,166	1,165	+1	open	—	03-28 12:32
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 11am et	19	$592	1,400	498	+902	open	—	03-29 15:27
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 3am et	14	$562	390	390	+0	open	—	03-30 07:31
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 1am et	15	$557	788	785	+3	open	—	03-27 05:32
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 2am et	27	$539	760	660	+100	open	—	03-29 06:45
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 6am et	7	$538	500	491	+9	open	—	03-30 10:21
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 8pm et	12	$528	530	480	+50	open	—	03-31 00:45
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 10am et	12	$507	467	457	+10	open	—	03-29 14:50
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 9am et	23	$454	380	379	+1	open	—	03-28 13:31
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 11pm et	9	$438	460	400	+60	open	—	03-30 03:53
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 10am et	8	$430	550	250	+300	open	—	03-28 14:50
bitcoin up or down april 2 2026 5am et	19	$425	400	400	+0	open	—	04-02 09:47
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 8am et	5	$398	330	325	+5	open	—	03-29 12:56
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 3am et	16	$397	932	896	+36	open	—	03-29 07:50
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 2am et	26	$388	1,033	1,022	+11	open	—	03-27 06:45
bitcoin up or down march 30 2026 10am et	6	$371	550	325	+225	open	—	03-30 14:57
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6am et	6	$367	305	305	+0	open	—	03-28 10:41
bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 9am et	6	$330	250	243	+7	open	—	04-01 13:38
bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 1am et	11	$312	250	250	+0	open	—	03-29 05:24
bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 12am et	6	$310	775	0	+775	open	—	03-28 04:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 01:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2ca6d1…
05-17 01:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x517a99…
05-17 01:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x50c5b1…
05-17 01:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa497c3…
05-17 01:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x819f0d…
05-17 01:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbb2ccd…
05-17 01:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x859c23…
05-17 01:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x15d8bf…
05-17 01:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xd99efb…
05-17 01:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8bad00…
05-17 01:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x255902…
05-17 01:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x69806d…
05-17 01:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x03dce2…
05-17 01:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xed003d…
05-17 01:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xb77238…
05-17 00:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc43401…
05-17 00:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x98cce4…
05-17 00:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6b6cdf…
05-17 00:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xd979d8…
05-17 00:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x21f605…
05-16 15:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x0f719f…
05-16 15:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x40c553…
05-16 15:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0xe96acb…
05-16 15:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x50a5c6…
05-16 13:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x64a3f2…
05-16 13:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x667c25…
05-16 13:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb07a75…
05-16 12:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x390bb5…
05-16 12:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xec8947…
05-16 12:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x952de9…
05-16 12:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x7d6b04…
05-16 12:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3c19c9…
05-16 12:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x76c31b…
05-16 12:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x20a3c3…
05-16 11:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x3222f9…
05-16 11:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xea25c3…
05-16 11:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x6f5e48…
05-16 11:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xfa0b3c…
05-16 10:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xdcb737…
05-16 10:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x943c8d…
05-16 10:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x934ace…
05-16 10:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x0600a7…
05-16 10:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x982a34…
05-16 10:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x6e923a…
05-16 10:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x8e2704…
05-16 10:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xddce41…
05-16 10:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xc7c915…
05-16 10:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xac10ff…
05-16 10:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xed3add…
05-16 09:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x047ca9…
05-16 09:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xa98769…
05-16 09:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x1bcaa7…
05-16 09:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x58847b…
05-16 09:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xd6af91…
05-16 09:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1066d8…
05-16 09:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0bc2fe…
05-16 09:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x81bf9b…
05-16 09:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x017944…
05-16 09:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xdae8b6…
05-16 09:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x31caf1…
05-16 09:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xb3674d…
05-16 09:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x84912f…
05-16 08:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x013237…
05-16 08:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4280be…
05-16 08:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0x7db1fd…
05-16 08:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5cc0c4…
05-16 08:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x7a6268…
05-16 08:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbf6580…
05-16 08:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0x132e6d…
05-16 08:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5a76a8…
05-16 08:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	26¢	$1	0xfcbba3…
05-16 08:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x83b11c…
05-16 08:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x36aeaf…
05-16 08:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc0f779…
05-16 07:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x777575…
05-16 07:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdb0e6b…
05-16 07:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x9345d0…
05-16 07:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x402c5b…
05-16 07:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x313066…
05-16 07:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf95c17…
05-16 07:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4d9893…
05-16 07:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbea1fc…
05-16 07:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$2	0x445a80…
05-16 07:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x305223…
05-16 06:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe313e3…
05-16 06:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xc07a26…
05-16 06:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x540346…
05-16 06:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc05af6…
05-16 06:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbcd0a9…
05-16 06:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1c1ea4…
05-16 06:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xb296c0…
05-16 06:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6b3ba9…
05-16 06:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5bff60…
05-16 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x0b15c5…
05-16 05:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xadfa10…
05-16 05:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x80a837…
05-16 04:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x882377…
05-16 04:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x045cbe…
05-16 04:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x7692ae…
05-16 04:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6a0b08…