Wiry-Burst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.1%

Resolved

319

Trades

1,261

lifetime

Volume

$31.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-25 10:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 73% +$895

Other

28% 76% +$601

Sports

15% 80% +$134

Politics

2% 50% -$278

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba cle min 2026 01 08	9	$3.5K	1,800	1,800	+0	Timberwolves	+$88	01-09 03:29
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	14	$1.2K	1,604	0	+1,604	Yes	+$440	01-09 16:28
lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game2	2	$707	393	393	+0	Gen.G	+$78	03-19 14:26
nba dal uta 2026 01 08	11	$625	600	100	+500	Jazz	+$39	01-09 04:11
lol tes we 2026 02 28	5	$523	300	300	+0	Top Esports	+$78	02-28 13:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 02:30 UTC	19	$516	595	0	+595	Down	+$79	01-09 02:41
lol wb we 2026 04 22 game2	2	$482	250	250	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$17	04-22 10:38
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 140 164	2	$418	220	220	+0	No	+$22	03-21 15:36
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$411	221	221	+0	Yes	+$22	02-28 07:13
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	8	$408	229	229	+0	No	+$14	04-11 05:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 22:45 UTC	1	$396	400	0	+400	Up	+$4	01-08 22:59
lol gal sly 2026 04 21 game3	3	$395	578	201	+378	Solary	-$138	04-21 17:16
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	4	$347	197	197	-0	No	+$47	04-10 16:59
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	2	$330	200	200	+0	76ers	+$70	04-22 01:30
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	3	$315	189	189	+0	Yes	+$62	02-20 16:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$301	498	498	+0	Yes	-$300	03-01 17:40
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	8	$300	383	383	+0	No	+$96	03-20 11:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 08:30 UTC	6	$297	300	0	+300	Down	+$3	01-08 08:40
elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 65 89	2	$252	145	145	+0	No	+$12	03-23 11:18
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 40 64	5	$245	128	128	+0	Yes	+$11	04-21 05:29
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	5	$245	131	131	+0	No	+$16	04-21 15:18
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner	12	$242	205	205	+0	Invictus Gaming	-$10	09-05 08:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 20:00 UTC	8	$238	300	0	+300	Up	+$62	01-09 20:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 21:45 UTC	6	$237	300	100	+200	Up	+$73	01-08 21:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 01:00 UTC	11	$234	400	0	+400	Down	+$166	01-09 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 15:30 UTC	26	$234	329	197	+133	Up	-$3	04-21 15:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 23:00 UTC	10	$223	300	0	+300	Up	+$77	01-08 23:07
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	2	$221	130	130	+0	Yes	+$21	04-03 12:56
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 90 114	2	$215	231	0	+231	Yes	-$215	04-01 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 15:15 UTC	10	$213	200	200	+0	Down	-$68	04-21 15:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 10:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0xb9509e…
10-25 10:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x39756e…
10-25 10:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x8dbb6f…
10-22 04:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xbbb87d…
10-22 04:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x6dceab…
10-22 04:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x057460…
10-20 09:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd63428…
10-20 09:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x7c88a7…
10-20 09:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xafef2c…
10-20 09:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xc09206…
10-20 05:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x5d6da7…
10-20 05:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x9cde4d…
10-19 06:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe57b18…
10-19 06:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x531587…
10-19 06:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x37a5c8…
10-19 06:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xe36d4f…
10-18 13:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xce381f…
10-18 13:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb5245d…
10-18 13:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x661dbb…
10-18 06:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x95579f…
10-18 06:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x59d17b…
10-18 06:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xde25dd…
10-18 06:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xcda03c…
10-16 11:52:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x2fe271…
10-16 11:52:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xee30cb…
10-16 10:28:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x7b9932…
10-16 10:28:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2a41c7…
10-15 08:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcbb583…
10-15 08:30:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x8ce682…
10-15 08:30:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x3c5962…
10-15 08:30:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6da150…
10-15 08:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xae0e4a…
10-14 03:00:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x735705…
10-14 03:00:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xb58ad8…
10-13 03:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x8e0e0a…
10-13 03:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	39¢	$0	0x3e254a…
10-13 03:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x8ac2be…
10-11 11:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x682919…
10-10 06:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x90d076…
10-09 09:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x9f4073…
10-09 09:36:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 09:35 UTC	Up	BUY	10	65¢	$7	0x03dbc3…
10-09 00:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x9b0d55…
10-09 00:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x47b3fd…
10-09 00:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x3e27e4…
10-09 00:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xb1648b…
10-08 09:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x3a5353…
10-08 09:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x48989d…
10-08 09:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x991fe8…
10-08 09:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x2935c5…
10-08 09:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x26cab2…
10-08 08:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xeed388…
10-08 08:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xeeb26e…
10-08 08:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xad8fee…
10-08 08:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa09062…
10-08 08:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x64a509…
10-08 08:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x22f7a8…
10-08 08:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd7f421…
10-08 08:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x839e4f…
10-08 08:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7934e3…
10-08 08:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x115a1f…
10-08 08:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xbbd98f…
10-08 08:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xe332fd…
10-04 12:44:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x31c65f…
10-04 12:43:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xa07893…
10-04 10:23:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xd51819…
10-04 10:22:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x5690c9…
10-04 10:21:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb8489f…
10-04 10:20:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x3f9a6e…
10-04 10:17:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x374e47…
10-04 02:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xac3ff3…
10-04 02:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x8264dc…
10-04 02:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xee35f8…
10-04 02:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x9a661c…
10-04 02:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x15c014…
10-04 02:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x509df0…
10-04 01:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xeba1dd…
10-04 01:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x3f87ea…
10-04 01:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x2203d6…
10-04 01:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x212c00…
10-04 01:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x48dea1…
10-04 01:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x8337bb…
10-04 01:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8533e6…
10-04 01:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x4893c8…
10-04 01:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc2d9da…
10-04 01:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xbab656…
10-04 01:34:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x4f6dbe…
10-04 01:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xaff421…
10-04 01:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	64¢	$5	0x311df3…
10-04 01:31:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x880252…
10-04 01:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x2bdb61…
09-25 05:03:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8b78f1…
09-25 05:03:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x525042…
09-25 05:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x140ff9…
09-25 05:02:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x0b8f42…
09-25 05:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xb5bd8f…
09-25 05:01:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x41018a…
09-25 04:58:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xae709b…
09-25 04:56:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 04:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xaf17e0…
09-24 13:57:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x851cb7…
09-24 13:56:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x05eb6f…