Watchful-Octave-Shoat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$309

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.2%

Resolved

1,884

Trades

3,416

lifetime

Volume

$16.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 06-27 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

100% 64% -$309

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on June 6?	6	$38	54	+54	Yes	-$38	06-06 02:44
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 6?	14	$37	60	+60	No	+$23	06-06 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on June 5?	5	$35	60	+60	No	+$25	06-05 01:51
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 6?	8	$34	52	+52	Yes	-$34	06-06 04:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 7?	3	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-07 02:15
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 8?	4	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-08 04:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8?	5	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-07 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on June 6?	5	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-06 03:08
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 5?	2	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-04 08:11
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 4?	10	$28	40	+40	Yes	-$28	06-04 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on June 6?	3	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-06 02:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 9?	3	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-08 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 6?	7	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-05 23:39
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 4?	10	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-04 12:05
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 5?	6	$28	40	+40	Yes	-$28	06-04 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 6?	5	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-05 21:15
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on June 6?	7	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-05 17:58
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 5?	7	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-03 22:33
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?	5	$28	53	+53	No	+$26	06-04 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 5?	5	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-04 22:15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 8?	3	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-08 01:19
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on May 31?	3	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	05-30 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 8?	3	$28	40	+40	Yes	-$28	06-07 03:16
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 4?	5	$28	40	+40	No	+$12	06-04 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 5?	9	$28	40	+40	Yes	-$28	06-04 20:42
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 6?	3	$27	40	+40	Yes	-$27	06-06 01:06
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 7?	5	$27	40	+40	No	+$13	06-06 17:56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 6?	2	$27	40	+40	No	+$13	06-06 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 7?	2	$27	40	+40	No	+$13	06-06 18:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on June 5?	5	$27	40	+40	No	+$13	06-05 01:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 09:55:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 27?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x543a89…
06-25 09:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 27?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x39c3cf…
06-25 09:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x416d04…
06-25 09:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 27?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xeca476…
06-25 08:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xf6aeea…
06-25 08:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 27?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x84478f…
06-25 08:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 27?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x20d908…
06-25 08:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 27?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x922881…
06-25 08:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0xe478d4…
06-25 08:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x8dd514…
06-25 08:26:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc25a90…
06-25 08:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xa5f502…
06-25 07:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xbe52b1…
06-25 07:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x41dbb9…
06-25 07:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 26?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x913e9c…
06-25 07:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1214cd…
06-25 07:30:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 26?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0xe62353…
06-25 07:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xf34203…
06-25 07:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 26?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9bd121…
06-25 07:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x2d07be…
06-25 07:04:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 26?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x412875…
06-25 06:32:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa662a6…
06-25 06:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf0147d…
06-25 06:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 25?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x65449b…
06-25 05:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xed7aaf…
06-25 05:41:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on June 26?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x172a3a…
06-25 05:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 27?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xbeb34a…
06-25 05:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x889252…
06-25 05:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd74286…
06-25 05:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 25?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x19e369…
06-25 05:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xc1e45d…
06-25 05:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xd46b1d…
06-25 05:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb7d90d…
06-25 05:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x571599…
06-25 05:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 37°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xe36a50…
06-25 05:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 26?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6f9dc1…
06-25 04:46:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 27?	No	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x19a95d…
06-25 04:41:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x08ef92…
06-25 04:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 27?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xab9e54…
06-25 04:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 25?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa79388…
06-25 04:24:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xdae638…
06-25 04:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3f716c…
06-25 04:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 25?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe6975a…
06-25 04:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 27?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1ef875…
06-25 04:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xe19a0c…
06-25 04:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 27?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xb7fc37…
06-25 04:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x859b05…
06-25 04:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x8470a4…
06-25 04:13:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2cee80…
06-25 04:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 27?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xbb6a61…
06-25 04:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xfb398f…
06-25 03:59:38	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xdb64e1…
06-25 03:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa7d548…
06-25 03:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 25?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xef0ad4…
06-25 03:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 25?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xc67ab0…
06-25 03:00:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 26?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xbf48f4…
06-25 02:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 25?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb0704b…
06-25 02:49:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 25?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xd3a809…
06-25 02:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xc2b9bc…
06-25 02:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x8f45f9…
06-25 02:01:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x13c833…
06-25 02:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x7a96cd…
06-25 02:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 25?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x23926f…
06-25 01:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 26?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$0	0xbe117b…
06-25 01:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x8da986…
06-25 01:41:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x806a00…
06-25 01:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xcc9624…
06-25 01:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x0224af…
06-25 01:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 26?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xda0a55…
06-25 01:27:38	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 25?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x12d38d…
06-25 01:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x069259…
06-25 01:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 25?	No	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x7f3ca2…
06-25 01:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on June 26?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xfe392c…
06-25 01:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 25?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x8dcafc…
06-25 01:15:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 26?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x7482c1…
06-25 01:13:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 26?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8c035d…
06-25 01:13:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 26?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0xd1352e…
06-25 01:13:43	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on June 26?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa04fb0…
06-25 01:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 26?	No	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xbb2115…
06-25 01:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 26?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xb3a9f1…
06-25 01:12:01	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 26?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x1e8399…
06-25 01:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 26?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8540b9…
06-25 01:08:43	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on June 25?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1f064d…
06-25 01:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x5e81bf…
06-25 01:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xea5ecf…
06-25 01:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x79b324…
06-25 00:44:20	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x7f3b6b…
06-25 00:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb3e2fe…
06-25 00:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 25?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0fe9c4…
06-24 23:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 25?	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xde1a93…
06-24 23:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 25?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7ee252…
06-24 23:12:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xc36b91…
06-24 21:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdbb1fe…
06-24 21:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 26?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x06202e…
06-24 13:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 26?	No	BUY	1	64¢	$1	0xf884da…
06-24 13:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 26?	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0x7b25a4…
06-24 13:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 25?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x055654…
06-24 12:46:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x18cf68…
06-24 12:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xd88ce9…
06-24 12:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on June 26?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7695c1…