Muddy-Privilege — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$81

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

354

Trades

1,499

lifetime

Volume

$102.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 06-16 02:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% +$295

Other

0% 0% -$214

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 19 8pm et	15	$1.8K	1,611	1,611	+0	Up	+$125	02-20 01:36
bitcoin up or down february 20 5am et	20	$1.4K	1,615	1,615	+0	Down	-$16	02-20 10:49
bitcoin up or down march 3 9am et	20	$1.4K	1,180	1,180	+0	Down	-$90	03-03 15:47
bitcoin up or down february 20 11am et	15	$1.3K	1,229	1,229	+0	Up	+$107	02-20 16:52
bitcoin up or down march 6 10pm et	13	$1.3K	1,366	1,347	+19	Down	-$92	03-07 03:55
bitcoin up or down march 6 9am et	8	$1.1K	941	929	+12	Down	+$52	03-06 15:06
bitcoin up or down march 1 6am et	11	$1.1K	1,003	1,003	+0	Up	+$102	03-01 11:47
bitcoin up or down march 2 12am et	6	$1.1K	874	874	+0	Down	+$232	03-02 05:47
bitcoin up or down february 20 3am et	10	$1.0K	769	769	+0	Up	+$300	02-20 09:10
bitcoin up or down february 28 6am et	7	$1.0K	713	713	+0	Down	+$126	02-28 11:35
bitcoin up or down february 19 11am et	12	$925	681	681	+0	Down	+$57	02-19 16:49
bitcoin up or down february 27 10am et	7	$920	720	720	+0	Up	+$21	02-27 15:29
bitcoin up or down february 19 10am et	6	$901	807	807	+0	Down	+$39	02-19 15:15
bitcoin up or down march 7 3am et	8	$893	751	741	+11	Down	+$95	03-07 08:47
bitcoin up or down march 5 10pm et	5	$857	508	504	+4	Down	+$83	03-06 03:59
bitcoin up or down march 3 10pm et	14	$854	828	828	+0	Down	-$48	03-04 03:50
bitcoin up or down march 6 11pm et	10	$847	869	857	+12	Down	-$174	03-07 04:57
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	6	$811	655	645	+10	Down	+$149	03-06 12:57
bitcoin up or down march 3 5am et	3	$776	965	965	+0	Up	+$77	03-03 10:23
bitcoin up or down march 6 6pm et	6	$736	691	682	+9	Down	-$62	03-07 00:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 06:00 UTC	5	$732	899	887	+12	Up	+$47	02-24 06:09
bitcoin up or down march 6 1am et	8	$728	622	613	+9	Up	+$29	03-06 06:36
bitcoin up or down february 25 6am et	9	$705	736	736	+0	Up	+$205	02-25 12:04
bitcoin up or down february 19 12pm et	6	$705	465	465	+0	Up	+$105	02-19 17:41
bitcoin up or down february 19 9am et	7	$705	579	579	+0	Up	+$108	02-19 14:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 04:45 UTC	10	$676	556	550	+7	Up	+$21	03-10 04:59
bitcoin up or down march 2 8pm et	12	$675	689	689	+0	Down	-$45	03-03 02:02
bitcoin up or down march 7 8am et	8	$669	575	568	+7	Down	-$66	03-07 14:01
bitcoin up or down march 5 11pm et	5	$667	453	448	+5	Down	+$74	03-06 05:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 03:30 UTC	4	$664	584	575	+9	Up	+$73	03-02 03:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 02:52:52	Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x08e547…
06-16 02:44:46	Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x3385fc…
06-01 11:01:55	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	121	30¢	$36	0xb15e55…
06-01 10:47:06	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	SELL	117	32¢	$38	0x57b729…
06-01 10:25:33	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	117	52¢	$61	0x687faa…
06-01 07:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 1?	No	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xda21fd…
05-31 16:18:02	LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Team Vitality	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0x5540a0…
04-06 12:10:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	78	2¢	$2	0x7419ba…
04-06 12:01:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	81	46¢	$37	0x3d9aca…
04-06 11:58:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	57	4¢	$2	0x368f0c…
04-06 11:46:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-06 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	58	64¢	$37	0xc20b71…
04-05 06:25:43	solana up or down april 5 2026 2am et	Up	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x090096…
04-05 06:05:59	solana up or down april 5 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	110	46¢	$50	0xb0167b…
04-05 05:51:39	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	54	98¢	$53	0x1b513f…
04-05 05:45:01	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 1am et	Down	SELL	54	60¢	$32	0x2a65be…
04-05 05:42:47	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x2eefa2…
04-05 05:40:33	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 1am et	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x7b42de…
04-05 04:50:55	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	41	92¢	$37	0xc20818…
04-05 04:35:13	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	41	43¢	$17	0x0ba60b…
04-05 04:25:21	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	81	60¢	$49	0xe5b372…
04-05 04:18:59	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x8a4ad6…
04-05 04:17:07	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 12am et	Down	SELL	93	73¢	$68	0xc51799…
04-05 04:15:03	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x018f8d…
04-05 04:13:15	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x1cf014…
04-05 04:09:21	bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	74	67¢	$50	0xb3dc04…
03-28 13:38:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	80	56¢	$45	0x0ba6aa…
03-28 12:54:57	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xf7dfe9…
03-28 12:22:13	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x4a074c…
03-28 12:19:53	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x3466d1…
03-28 12:17:27	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x2546f7…
03-28 12:17:25	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	13	22¢	$3	0xdb26a3…
03-28 12:12:41	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8am et	Down	SELL	27	43¢	$12	0x3b4361…
03-28 12:05:37	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	54	71¢	$38	0x9791fe…
03-28 12:05:35	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	67	30¢	$20	0x72dbf3…
03-28 12:00:37	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	68	55¢	$37	0x652167…
03-28 11:50:43	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x6220c6…
03-28 11:38:53	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 7am et	Up	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0x8c1c7f…
03-28 11:29:23	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	44	84¢	$37	0xde334f…
03-28 11:26:57	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 7am et	Down	SELL	198	23¢	$46	0xafffd8…
03-28 11:14:53	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xc8589a…
03-28 11:12:33	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xaec0d7…
03-28 11:10:07	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x72318c…
03-28 11:00:37	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd328aa…
03-28 10:54:17	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd5d40f…
03-28 10:39:59	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xa36696…
03-28 10:32:59	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	30	85¢	$25	0xa081ca…
03-28 10:28:17	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	59	89¢	$53	0x495f53…
03-28 10:23:37	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x9dabc6…
03-28 10:14:19	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x51af72…
03-28 10:07:25	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	63	39¢	$25	0xdb38ba…
03-28 10:05:03	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0x8ad74e…
03-28 10:00:23	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	67	56¢	$37	0x885543…
03-28 09:52:05	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 5am et	Down	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xb6450e…
03-28 09:35:57	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x49a334…
03-28 09:33:33	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	74	14¢	$10	0x88bfc6…
03-28 09:31:09	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	74	29¢	$21	0xb94bf9…
03-28 09:28:47	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x122db2…
03-28 09:26:25	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x96c938…
03-28 09:23:59	bitcoin up or down march 28 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xc4ad6b…
03-11 06:15:39	bitcoin up or down march 11 2am et	Down	BUY	69	25¢	$17	0x0cbe6d…
03-11 05:42:59	bitcoin up or down march 11 1am et	Up	SELL	790	1¢	$8	0x6e312d…
03-11 05:20:07	bitcoin up or down march 11 1am et	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xf59c66…
03-11 05:17:45	bitcoin up or down march 11 1am et	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x618b29…
03-11 05:07:55	bitcoin up or down march 11 1am et	Up	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x9e973b…
03-11 05:05:31	bitcoin up or down march 11 1am et	Up	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0xee612b…
03-11 05:02:55	bitcoin up or down march 11 1am et	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xcd8fae…
03-11 05:00:41	bitcoin up or down march 11 1am et	Up	BUY	224	53¢	$120	0xf2fcc2…
03-11 03:48:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	113	41¢	$46	0xfc4c85…
03-11 03:46:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0xcdf3a5…
03-11 03:18:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	219	62¢	$137	0x4432b8…
03-11 03:17:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x32a20e…
03-11 03:02:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	120	57¢	$69	0xdca74f…
03-11 03:00:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0x27700a…
03-11 02:35:59	bitcoin up or down march 10 10pm et	Up	SELL	181	9¢	$16	0xe8c4cd…
03-11 02:33:47	bitcoin up or down march 10 10pm et	Up	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x8e3aa9…
03-11 02:24:51	bitcoin up or down march 10 10pm et	Up	SELL	358	32¢	$115	0xe6584f…
03-11 02:24:23	bitcoin up or down march 10 10pm et	Up	BUY	362	28¢	$100	0xe7341c…
03-11 02:21:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 02:15 UTC	Up	SELL	129	47¢	$61	0x5b1b31…
03-11 02:15:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	131	61¢	$80	0x89759b…
03-11 02:09:35	bitcoin up or down march 10 10pm et	Up	SELL	207	53¢	$110	0x1d720b…
03-11 02:05:49	bitcoin up or down march 10 10pm et	Up	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0x235977…
03-11 02:04:47	bitcoin up or down march 10 10pm et	Up	SELL	72	52¢	$37	0x4944c3…
03-11 02:04:29	bitcoin up or down march 10 10pm et	Up	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x97f030…
03-11 02:04:05	bitcoin up or down march 10 10pm et	Up	SELL	105	54¢	$57	0x587deb…
03-11 02:01:53	bitcoin up or down march 10 10pm et	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x8804ad…
03-11 01:59:51	bitcoin up or down march 10 9pm et	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x8ac7d9…
03-11 01:51:43	bitcoin up or down march 10 9pm et	Down	SELL	193	52¢	$100	0x14ffec…
03-11 01:51:17	bitcoin up or down march 10 9pm et	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x8ba957…
03-11 01:47:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 01:45 UTC	Down	SELL	84	64¢	$54	0x9fa157…
03-11 01:46:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x464b8e…
03-11 01:41:23	bitcoin up or down march 10 9pm et	Up	SELL	282	24¢	$68	0x822c53…
03-11 01:36:13	bitcoin up or down march 10 9pm et	Up	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0x755eb7…
03-11 01:31:09	bitcoin up or down march 10 9pm et	Up	BUY	190	51¢	$97	0x2121b7…
03-11 01:31:07	bitcoin up or down march 10 9pm et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xecbebd…
03-11 01:29:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 01:15 UTC	Down	SELL	225	2¢	$5	0xd0f8ff…
03-11 01:28:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0xeb45de…
03-11 01:28:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	85	49¢	$42	0x01f58a…
03-11 01:27:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	111	55¢	$61	0xf824de…
03-11 01:25:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 01:15 UTC	Up	SELL	78	41¢	$32	0x7a71d3…
03-11 01:23:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xcae2fa…