Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

57.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$85

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-23

last 11-11 04:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

76% 55% -$6

Politics

21% 59% +$4

Tech

2% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No		+1	$1	78¢	$1	+$0	11-11 04:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 06:13
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-18 20:24
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-07 18:15
spx up or down on october 13 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Down	+$0	10-13 18:50
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 08:44
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-17 23:14
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$2	10-05 00:40
will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-14 11:46
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-10 13:00
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-09 09:09
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	09-16 07:42
spy up or down on september 30 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	09-30 10:17
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-19 23:15
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-20 21:32
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-11 14:37
Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-30 18:53
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-27 20:47
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-14 07:08
will pltr dip to 180 in august 2026	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-29 16:49
spx up or down on october 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-14 03:00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	11-02 10:06
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-07 10:05
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-21 04:39
will abnb dip to 150 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-28 16:48
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-07 02:03
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	08-23 05:28
will pltr reach 210 by october 12 2026 from october 13	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	10-14 20:49
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-09 17:10
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $332 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-10 21:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	11-01 05:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 04:17:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x80897a…
11-02 18:07:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xcd0298…
11-02 10:06:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcbb869…
11-02 02:06:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb9219c…
11-01 05:10:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x6fb870…
10-27 07:08:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8e1bf6…
10-26 23:06:36	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1e4950…
10-22 23:19:15	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x572c7f…
10-22 13:28:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x040ee2…
10-21 04:39:00	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 24?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa2ba17…
10-18 20:24:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7c547c…
10-18 12:11:59	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x20cf1b…
10-17 23:14:24	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x90ae11…
10-17 08:44:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf1d274…
10-14 20:49:04	will pltr reach 210 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9c5fc5…
10-14 11:46:58	will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x180f17…
10-14 03:00:10	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x69f624…
10-13 18:50:28	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2b8116…
10-13 10:44:49	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x70060c…
10-11 14:37:16	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbb79d3…
10-11 05:06:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2c392a…
10-10 19:26:42	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x03e80c…
10-07 18:15:40	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf08975…
10-07 10:05:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x82cff2…
10-07 02:03:36	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x63f5ae…
10-07 02:03:33	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0312fb…
10-06 18:01:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x29881c…
10-06 10:00:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6053e9…
10-06 01:59:56	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd6414f…
10-05 16:07:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd5a624…
10-05 00:53:49	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5c0e02…
10-05 00:53:04	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x53db13…
10-05 00:40:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe060ef…
10-02 13:38:03	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3f62bf…
10-02 05:24:14	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x469c64…
10-01 12:20:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5490fb…
10-01 04:04:41	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x84591f…
09-30 18:53:06	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5504ec…
09-30 10:17:15	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1ca81c…
09-30 02:12:03	will googl reach 345 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xbcdca5…
09-28 16:48:26	will abnb dip to 150 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc07ca6…
09-27 20:47:08	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe8faad…
09-27 08:25:41	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0258b4…
09-26 10:37:24	will wti reach 95 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xfcb3fe…
09-20 21:32:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xde8d60…
09-19 23:15:07	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa7c5cf…
09-19 06:13:49	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x98a1c6…
09-16 15:42:32	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x3b1c48…
09-16 07:42:12	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc78da4…
09-14 23:14:40	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x85ed85…
09-14 15:09:01	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x32ac19…
09-14 07:08:52	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3efe98…
09-13 23:06:34	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x123f7c…
09-11 05:57:40	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x106178…
09-10 21:49:07	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $332 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3fa89e…
09-10 13:00:01	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4001eb…
09-10 03:08:31	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe6f221…
09-09 17:10:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdff60c…
09-09 09:09:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3ef7a7…
09-09 00:31:07	Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6f8bf8…
09-08 12:36:27	Will Chewy say "Automation" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1053a8…
09-07 17:03:30	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3e10f6…
09-02 21:41:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb9f269…
09-01 14:05:43	Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe86ab3…
09-01 05:27:06	will iran target an arab country by september 15 2026 20260831	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x308658…
08-31 21:26:34	Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2ccc1a…
08-31 13:25:00	next mythos class model released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xdbbff3…
08-31 05:20:07	will mu dip to 840 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x15ce0c…
08-30 21:18:46	will spy reach 775 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe7b043…
08-30 11:41:28	next mythos class model released by september 2 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5bf111…
08-30 01:50:36	next mythos class model released by september 1 2026	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7a455b…
08-29 16:49:51	will pltr dip to 180 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3f1a4e…
08-29 08:46:33	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x052e7c…
08-27 05:36:18	will trump say nuclear during remarks at nasa	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc3bb5e…
08-26 19:46:16	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa45f63…
08-26 11:31:06	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2283c1…
08-26 02:25:09	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb8bec4…
08-25 11:45:31	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6b7940…
08-25 03:28:52	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd19dd7…
08-25 03:26:27	will trump say far side during remarks at nasa	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaabede…
08-24 19:20:25	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.90 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfd2755…
08-24 09:59:21	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $335 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4272e3…
08-24 01:58:36	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $173 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7cf755…
08-23 17:08:37	will xagusd reach 72 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd4c086…
08-23 05:28:46	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xa6f00c…