Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$807

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

38.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$147

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-26

last 10-31 08:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

48% 67% +$245

Other

37% 0% -$733

Crypto

14% 0% -$319

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	+312	$101	30¢	$92	-$9	10-30 11:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+44	$20	63¢	$28	+$8	10-26 21:33
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	+42	$26	49¢	$21	-$5	10-26 21:16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+11	$5	34¢	$4	-$1	10-31 08:12
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	+46	$6	5¢	$2	-$4	10-26 21:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$504	385	385	+0	No	+$264	10-29 11:09
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball	1	$350	569	0	+569	Paris Basketball	-$350	10-29 17:34
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$250	1,220	0	+1,220	No	-$250	10-26 18:54
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	3	$191	139	139	+0	Yes	+$83	10-29 11:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	2	$174	292	0	+292	Yes	-$174	10-27 14:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	1	$101	312	0	+312	open	—	10-30 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$100	192	0	+192	Up	-$100	10-26 19:09
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$100	1,374	0	+1,374	No	-$100	10-26 19:05
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$100	2,622	0	+2,622	No	-$100	10-28 09:27
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	2	$63	184	0	+184	open	—	10-30 11:27
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	1	$30	111	0	+111	Mbappé	-$30	10-26 21:25
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	1	$26	42	0	+42	open	—	10-26 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$25	1,250	0	+1,250	Down	-$25	10-27 11:08
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$20	26	26	+0	open	—	10-27 11:23
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$20	44	0	+44	open	—	10-26 21:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	10-27 22:20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$19	111	111	+0	open	—	10-27 22:20
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	1	$15	228	0	+228	Yes	-$15	10-26 16:31
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	10-27 14:18
Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	+$6	10-26 21:26
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	+$7	10-26 21:26
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	2	$9	122	122	+0	open	—	10-27 11:25
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	2	$9	81	0	+81	open	—	10-26 21:41
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	2	$7	106	106	+0	open	—	10-27 22:20
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	1	$6	46	0	+46	open	—	10-26 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	Down	-$5	10-28 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$5	36	0	+36	Down	-$5	10-26 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	-$5	10-28 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$5	250	0	+250	Down	-$5	10-31 07:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	10-31 08:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 08:12:58	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x6ddfea…
10-31 07:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xcecf17…
10-30 11:28:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	312	32¢	$101	0xa0463c…
10-30 11:27:43	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	169	34¢	$58	0xe002ff…
10-30 11:26:51	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x04543a…
10-29 17:34:28	Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball	Maccabi Tel Aviv	BUY	569	62¢	$350	0x3a6f00…
10-29 11:09:16	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	385	100¢	$384	0x11da8a…
10-29 11:08:55	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	139	99¢	$137	0x9d2a59…
10-28 13:32:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	69	5¢	$4	0xa8cf22…
10-28 11:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x4ef532…
10-28 10:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xae0132…
10-28 09:27:32	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,622	4¢	$100	0xa58588…
10-27 22:22:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0x0933b4…
10-27 22:20:35	Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	SELL	106	2¢	$2	0x47afe4…
10-27 22:20:09	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	111	8¢	$9	0x831f2a…
10-27 22:20:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x517052…
10-27 14:22:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0x9eb0d5…
10-27 14:18:36	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x55951b…
10-27 14:18:30	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x981634…
10-27 12:04:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	276	60¢	$165	0x6a34c8…
10-27 11:25:12	Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	SELL	122	4¢	$4	0x3f3d6a…
10-27 11:23:29	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xd9c73f…
10-27 11:12:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	117	30¢	$35	0x0022ac…
10-27 11:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0x10f3ea…
10-26 22:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xbc2033…
10-26 22:25:11	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x996f69…
10-26 21:41:29	Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xa5d5d3…
10-26 21:35:45	Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x46849f…
10-26 21:33:47	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x03fed3…
10-26 21:29:35	Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xdbe0af…
10-26 21:29:29	Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	122	4¢	$5	0x2a3b3b…
10-26 21:29:23	Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x0a63ab…
10-26 21:28:26	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x479e77…
10-26 21:28:15	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x4912ab…
10-26 21:27:54	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xec391b…
10-26 21:27:41	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd8773b…
10-26 21:26:39	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3d354c…
10-26 21:26:30	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9e598e…
10-26 21:25:27	Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?	Yamal	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x5bb744…
10-26 21:16:27	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	BUY	42	61¢	$26	0x892f65…
10-26 21:15:02	Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1200f8…
10-26 21:10:41	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x5865dd…
10-26 19:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xe88cf3…
10-26 19:05:23	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,374	7¢	$100	0x901437…
10-26 18:54:38	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,220	20¢	$250	0x97302b…
10-26 16:31:14	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	No	BUY	228	7¢	$15	0x9ce294…