Heartfelt-Manipulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$444

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

760

Trades

7,133

lifetime

Volume

$2.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 10-31 18:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Other

100% 16% +$444

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+465	$1	0¢	$1	$0	10-31 18:16
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	—	+330	$1	0¢	$0	$0	10-30 17:09
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+165	$1	0¢	$0	$0	10-31 18:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	38	$144	300	240	+60	No	+$84	06-02 13:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	22	$97	170	120	+50	No	+$74	05-22 13:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	27	$74	350	140	+210	No	+$54	09-18 14:45
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	30	$72	365	165	+200	Yes	+$62	05-22 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	37	$52	430	80	+350	Yes	+$5	08-25 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	28	$50	375	305	+70	Yes	+$43	10-09 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	20	$46	320	60	+260	No	+$29	10-13 10:29
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	10	$46	110	80	+30	Yes	+$41	10-16 14:42
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	11	$45	45	45	+0	Yes	+$44	07-07 15:49
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	24	$42	295	50	+245	No	+$14	05-29 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	20	$41	105	75	+30	Yes	+$35	10-30 15:01
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	15	$41	120	50	+70	No	+$15	07-07 15:50
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	13	$41	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	05-26 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	14	$41	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	07-21 06:11
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	20	$36	180	180	+0	Yes	+$7	07-03 14:45
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	10	$33	40	40	+0	Yes	+$12	06-09 15:26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	9	$33	70	60	+10	Yes	+$15	09-11 12:42
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	30	$29	215	35	+180	Yes	-$9	07-24 15:12
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	6	$27	40	40	+0	Yes	+$20	07-28 12:32
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	25	$27	245	25	+220	Yes	-$2	07-10 15:16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	12	$27	205	20	+185	No	+$12	06-23 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	12	$26	90	20	+70	Yes	-$4	08-28 15:08
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	5	$26	30	30	+0	No	+$13	06-30 15:24
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	41	$26	510	470	+40	No	+$22	10-08 14:53
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	8	$25	30	30	+0	No	+$10	07-21 15:42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	15	$23	105	15	+90	Yes	$0	06-26 14:33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	23	$23	270	170	+100	Yes	+$15	10-06 15:40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	8	$22	30	30	+0	Yes	+$14	07-17 15:51
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	22	$22	310	230	+80	No	+$19	08-20 21:29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	11	$19	80	20	+60	No	+$5	06-16 14:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:11:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x0e3a4f…
10-31 18:57:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xfe5d67…
10-31 18:31:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xee1935…
10-31 18:16:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x525868…
10-31 18:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x27824d…
10-31 17:59:34	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x8cee4b…
10-31 16:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x643e7b…
10-31 15:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x9c5f09…
10-30 21:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb925fb…
10-30 18:50:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8ea8bf…
10-30 18:48:51	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4019de…
10-30 18:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x59aa07…
10-30 17:09:07	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x20c8a6…
10-30 17:07:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xeae68c…
10-30 17:00:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x8ba6a8…
10-30 16:27:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0xe5e841…
10-30 16:25:39	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x25a438…
10-30 16:22:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4ea07d…
10-30 16:21:25	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x40443c…
10-30 16:19:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8dd352…
10-30 15:49:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0xceefa0…
10-30 15:44:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xb6d0c6…
10-30 15:42:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x5fd3f9…
10-30 15:35:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6a315e…
10-30 15:32:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x95d898…
10-30 15:31:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xf8baad…
10-30 15:21:09	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x963b24…
10-30 15:02:40	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x6c2ace…
10-30 15:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x806ece…
10-30 15:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4baa04…
10-30 15:01:58	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2cf09c…
10-30 15:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xea1d44…
10-30 15:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xdd6778…
10-30 15:01:55	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x2c6b6e…
10-30 14:28:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf95800…
10-30 14:15:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0xf1102d…
10-30 14:15:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x57977a…
10-30 14:08:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x8dbf0e…
10-30 14:08:31	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x1e950b…
10-30 14:06:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x608b5f…
10-30 13:59:57	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xddcd5a…
10-30 13:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xfac64f…
10-30 13:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x664c68…
10-30 13:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xa6967a…
10-30 13:52:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x35f1e4…
10-30 13:49:19	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa4defe…
10-30 13:47:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd60078…
10-30 13:47:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x177969…
10-30 13:46:46	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xc7e9a7…
10-30 13:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x43596a…
10-30 13:45:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x369f17…
10-30 13:43:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x82616c…
10-30 13:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xc79d0e…
10-30 13:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8a6416…
10-30 13:38:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x89753f…
10-30 13:33:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x5c18f2…
10-30 08:23:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x1644d0…
10-30 06:21:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8a2fac…
10-30 06:21:46	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x35c103…
10-30 06:19:40	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xbf7cbc…
10-30 06:07:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xe535bc…
10-30 05:59:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x348180…
10-30 05:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xa6279b…
10-30 05:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x10d675…
10-30 05:49:37	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xdf85b2…
10-30 05:41:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x193f60…
10-30 05:40:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xbbf7b7…
10-30 05:39:48	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x2da13c…
10-30 05:39:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6425bc…
10-30 05:30:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x6204e3…
10-30 04:06:10	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x75c5b7…
10-30 04:03:04	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xecccbe…
10-30 00:48:37	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7ecd6d…
10-30 00:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0xdfd10b…
10-30 00:09:34	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x6d1cb8…
10-30 00:07:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x87ba5e…
10-29 23:43:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x2d094d…
10-29 23:38:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x65fe25…
10-29 23:19:57	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x932dea…
10-29 22:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x630cbc…
10-29 22:30:52	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x4ccf4a…
10-29 21:57:10	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x142a34…
10-29 21:08:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x9e443d…
10-29 19:57:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x02fd2b…
10-29 19:39:57	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x38c1b3…
10-29 19:05:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x247df3…
10-29 17:50:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x4211e1…
10-29 16:37:35	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd60959…
10-29 15:14:17	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x45dc41…
10-29 14:27:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x68b512…
10-29 14:18:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x052877…
10-29 14:16:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x0d72a1…
10-29 14:15:14	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x790784…
10-29 11:47:07	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x85fa40…
10-29 05:57:25	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xfcb752…
10-29 05:37:44	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x67a3c5…
10-29 04:19:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x86a25d…
10-29 04:18:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9b29a8…
10-29 04:15:22	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x39f701…
10-29 03:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x43c5e8…