Grateful-Waistband — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

2,955

lifetime

Volume

$300.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-13 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

50% 50% +$16

Politics

46% 88% +$101

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	90	$16.7K	8,056	8,956	-900	open	—	04-14 19:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	97	$16.4K	9,608	8,150	+1,458	open	—	08-13 12:24
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 65 89	3	$12.3K	6,183	6,183	+0	open	—	03-04 19:15
netanyahu out by march 31 854	36	$9.4K	5,531	4,381	+1,150	open	—	03-22 15:29
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 200 219	24	$9.0K	4,524	4,524	+0	open	—	04-02 20:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	6	$8.4K	6,200	2,200	+4,000	open	—	08-12 20:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	17	$7.1K	3,700	3,700	+0	open	—	04-28 10:09
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	27	$7.0K	7,471	1,718	+5,752	open	—	06-02 10:24
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$6.3K	3,250	3,250	+0	open	—	03-01 08:37
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$6.2K	3,150	3,150	+0	open	—	02-09 02:28
trump out as president by march 31	28	$5.9K	3,010	3,010	+0	open	—	03-11 18:09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	27	$5.7K	4,464	1,364	+3,100	open	—	04-26 13:55
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	13	$5.4K	3,430	2,108	+1,322	open	—	03-26 03:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	46	$5.0K	2,710	3,010	-300	open	—	04-27 11:09
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	38	$4.7K	2,420	2,420	+0	open	—	06-30 11:31
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	19	$4.6K	4,517	1,010	+3,507	open	—	04-06 13:46
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	9	$4.5K	2,042	2,542	-500	open	—	03-10 14:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	9	$4.4K	4,400	0	+4,400	open	—	05-18 09:37
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	4	$4.3K	4,464	0	+4,464	open	—	03-03 15:59
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$4.1K	4,116	0	+4,116	open	—	03-10 14:46
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 115 139	22	$3.4K	3,422	0	+3,422	open	—	03-02 14:30
us x iran meeting by february 28 2026	9	$3.3K	1,718	1,718	+0	open	—	02-15 17:13
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	25	$3.2K	1,857	1,857	+0	open	—	04-15 17:27
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 10 2026	15	$3.2K	1,500	1,783	-283	open	—	04-10 23:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	80	$3.1K	4,590	4,564	+26	open	—	05-24 10:15
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 0 39	4	$3.1K	3,080	0	+3,080	open	—	03-01 22:12
will the us invade iran by march 31	36	$3.0K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-30 08:10
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	8	$2.9K	2,300	800	+1,500	open	—	02-26 23:59
Will Trump dance today?	3	$2.8K	1,391	1,391	+0	open	—	04-28 04:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	31	$2.6K	1,858	2,058	-200	open	—	04-21 19:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 12:24:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	143	98¢	$139	0x5f0192…
08-13 12:24:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x5dd4f6…
08-13 12:22:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	400	97¢	$390	0xb2c8b9…
08-13 12:16:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0xb65df4…
08-13 09:30:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	97¢	$389	0xb46303…
08-13 03:40:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	600	95¢	$570	0xf51432…
08-12 22:16:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	542	98¢	$530	0xee9445…
08-12 22:03:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xf24d8c…
08-12 21:49:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xed1ba2…
08-12 21:48:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x66395c…
08-12 21:48:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc7e0f8…
08-12 21:48:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	800	98¢	$783	0x4f71df…
08-12 21:48:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x449b93…
08-12 21:23:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0xbcb20c…
08-12 20:21:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,992	0x27f4ae…
08-11 17:29:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1,667	96¢	$1,594	0xbc7627…
08-11 16:20:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	63	95¢	$60	0x9abace…
08-11 16:12:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	132	95¢	$126	0x018404…
08-11 16:06:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xc5a09e…
08-11 16:06:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	85	95¢	$81	0x9271be…
08-11 15:46:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xc1d707…
08-11 15:42:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x82b230…
08-11 14:08:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	94¢	$189	0x91e447…
08-11 13:52:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	95¢	$379	0xd1dbd1…
08-11 13:52:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x440dc8…
08-11 13:52:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	95¢	$380	0x3373fc…
08-11 13:49:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	67	95¢	$64	0x970944…
08-11 13:44:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	132	95¢	$126	0x1fb5a7…
08-11 13:42:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,992	0xa97f90…
08-11 13:05:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xd167c9…
08-11 12:49:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	420	95¢	$399	0xa66024…
08-11 12:47:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xeabd02…
08-11 11:22:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1,895	96¢	$1,821	0xd3728a…
08-11 11:07:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,100	96¢	$1,053	0x6cfc4b…
08-11 11:04:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x01330c…
08-11 11:03:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xd97a22…
08-11 08:20:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x7e0282…
08-11 04:52:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x8e5564…
08-11 04:28:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x3242b6…
08-11 04:16:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xb88ff2…
08-11 04:15:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xfeec41…
08-11 04:15:45	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x586fec…
08-11 04:14:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xd40e57…
08-11 04:14:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0xa91eb8…
08-11 04:14:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd313f5…
08-10 17:40:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	300	96¢	$289	0xac4d19…
08-10 16:18:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	160	96¢	$153	0x256878…
08-10 16:17:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	139	96¢	$134	0xdc6cca…
08-10 16:12:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xae57fe…
08-10 16:10:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0xfca421…
08-10 16:00:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	400	96¢	$384	0xb77e42…
08-10 15:25:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	428	99¢	$425	0x371cda…
08-10 14:46:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xbaa590…
08-10 13:37:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xf53cc1…
08-10 07:34:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x29dcf1…
08-10 07:08:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	139	96¢	$133	0x2f08ee…
08-10 07:00:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x6e28fb…
08-10 07:00:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x6dea18…
08-10 07:00:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	17	96¢	$16	0x18587b…
08-09 21:17:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	93	89¢	$83	0xdce774…
08-09 21:08:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xbe39fe…
08-09 20:31:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	66	89¢	$58	0x240c8c…
08-09 20:22:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	SELL	116	43¢	$50	0x252568…
08-09 20:10:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0xd7dc62…
08-09 18:47:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x1af631…
08-09 18:47:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	217	98¢	$212	0xbb97ce…
08-09 18:44:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x5d4dbe…
08-09 18:40:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xb1292f…
08-09 18:13:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x587839…
08-09 18:12:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	Yes	BUY	116	42¢	$49	0xf03aed…
08-09 16:43:03	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	182	93¢	$169	0x4f3bf1…
08-09 16:31:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xf6fdfa…
08-09 15:34:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	150	19¢	$28	0x11c2e0…
08-09 14:55:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	47	25¢	$12	0xb10b84…
08-09 14:51:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	23	25¢	$6	0x650b81…
08-09 14:50:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x38220b…
08-09 14:48:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0xbca1ab…
08-09 14:48:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x0e3049…
08-09 14:43:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	43	25¢	$11	0x25cb93…
08-09 13:02:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	300	68¢	$204	0x56125c…
08-09 13:00:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x9ebc45…
08-09 12:47:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	400	29¢	$116	0xcea342…
08-09 12:09:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x304b0f…
08-09 12:09:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	200	100¢	$199	0xcc219a…
08-09 12:02:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xe08dc8…
08-09 10:08:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x0f7228…
08-09 05:35:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x4d42af…
08-09 01:47:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	120	64¢	$77	0x9559ae…
08-09 01:43:31	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0xeeb4f1…
08-09 00:02:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	400	31¢	$124	0xcfcc48…
08-08 23:54:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0xf4d6fe…
08-08 19:47:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0xef6970…
08-08 19:42:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0xc2f75f…
08-08 19:41:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x886029…
08-08 19:35:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	200	87¢	$174	0x74559d…
08-08 19:01:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	50	87¢	$43	0xc46436…
08-08 18:21:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	300	86¢	$258	0x4bcccd…
08-08 17:59:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0x7b1c83…
08-08 17:41:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	SELL	250	85¢	$212	0xd55e66…
08-08 17:29:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x94b8ac…