Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$719

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.7%

Resolved

110

Trades

555

lifetime

Volume

$26.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 09-09 09:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Politics

73% 35% +$466

Other

25% 18% -$1,049

Crypto

1% 19% -$136

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	42	$2.6K	4,283	4,178	+105	No	+$115	07-29 18:40
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	23	$2.2K	4,171	4,171	+0	No	-$9	03-01 16:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	23	$2.2K	4,034	4,034	+0	No	-$224	03-22 12:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	26	$2.1K	2,479	2,497	-19	Yes	-$150	03-30 18:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	17	$2.0K	3,282	3,203	+79	No	-$35	04-21 12:39
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	15	$2.0K	1,952	1,952	+0	Yes	-$94	04-05 15:29
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	17	$1.4K	1,571	1,571	+0	Yes	-$63	04-06 08:50
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	11	$1.0K	2,520	2,220	+300	Yes	+$360	07-12 16:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	10	$999	2,154	2,098	+56	No	-$244	04-07 21:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	5	$865	1,247	1,220	+27	No	-$109	04-07 21:33
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	16	$658	1,733	1,733	+0	No	-$610	08-31 19:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	7	$628	1,192	1,192	+0	No	+$3	03-04 13:58
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	3	$598	425	425	+0	Yes	-$2	04-04 09:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	3	$541	1,690	1,690	+0	No	-$59	03-01 16:55
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	20	$491	1,480	1,307	+173	No	-$147	04-21 20:13
iran full airspace closure by august 15	11	$395	1,158	1,158	+0	No	-$232	08-07 08:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	12	$383	1,718	1,718	+0	Yes	+$45	02-28 15:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	8	$299	331	331	+0	Yes	-$5	04-07 23:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	4	$276	547	535	+12	No	-$8	03-02 19:05
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	16	$269	306	306	+0	Yes	+$68	07-21 06:13
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	8	$252	430	430	+0	No	-$66	03-28 06:39
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$250	609	422	+187	Yes	+$131	02-28 06:13
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	7	$215	653	653	+0	No	-$72	03-23 11:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	3	$211	559	559	+0	No	-$9	04-27 02:31
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$208	175	175	+0	Yes	-$12	03-02 20:38
will the us announce a blockade on iran by august 31	3	$192	270	270	+0	Yes	-$8	07-11 10:44
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	3	$184	138	138	+0	Yes	+$44	03-26 15:38
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	7	$177	1,895	1,895	+0	No	-$174	09-03 21:18
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	2	$170	422	0	+422	Yes	+$252	02-27 15:32
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$162	769	769	+0	Yes	-$38	02-27 07:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 09:05:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf0d356…
09-09 09:00:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4ae870…
09-09 08:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xc226df…
09-09 08:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x882e9a…
09-06 14:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0xfd9c48…
09-06 14:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe35dc0…
09-06 14:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x1f214a…
09-06 14:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x79d421…
09-06 13:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8429f4…
09-03 22:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe94129…
09-03 22:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8064da…
09-03 22:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x55417a…
09-03 22:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x5062dd…
09-03 22:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x7b3b2b…
09-03 21:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7f21fa…
09-03 21:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x81bc61…
09-03 21:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xfeb964…
09-03 21:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xcf5dde…
09-03 21:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xdc0730…
09-03 21:18:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	Yes	SELL	1,895	0¢	$2	0x905a11…
08-31 19:50:24	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	SELL	403	1¢	$6	0xdc97c4…
08-31 19:50:24	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	SELL	961	1¢	$13	0x76e79f…
08-31 17:27:55	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xd57e9c…
08-31 17:07:10	Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	Yes	SELL	357	1¢	$5	0x762d96…
08-31 17:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x7237df…
08-07 08:36:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	1,011	7¢	$71	0xd139ac…
08-07 05:16:28	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x6f84a8…
08-07 04:21:06	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	77	7¢	$5	0x708eb8…
08-07 03:50:58	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0xbebf6d…
08-07 02:54:16	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x6446e2…
08-02 06:07:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0x75e5f0…
08-01 15:46:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	95	8¢	$8	0xe986b3…
08-01 15:35:36	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x133278…
08-01 15:35:36	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	96	32¢	$31	0x001414…
08-01 15:34:06	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0xdad1c7…
08-01 15:17:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	600	8¢	$48	0x84f596…
08-01 15:02:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	400	39¢	$156	0x4dde31…
08-01 14:12:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	400	39¢	$156	0x1c6b57…
08-01 13:45:26	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	600	8¢	$48	0x630c30…
07-31 02:46:51	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xfbd792…
07-31 01:34:30	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x30f916…
07-31 01:30:42	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xbf4280…
07-30 15:34:08	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x17a669…
07-30 15:16:18	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x0eb92b…
07-30 14:44:11	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	54	31¢	$17	0x8e4c02…
07-30 11:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xf6dc7c…
07-30 11:33:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xae7801…
07-30 10:57:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 10:55 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9b8a28…
07-30 07:34:50	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x2ff0d0…
07-29 19:24:35	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0x29d2bd…
07-29 18:52:26	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x114dd8…
07-29 18:43:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x70832e…
07-29 18:40:21	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0xca8d9b…
07-29 18:40:21	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	70	9¢	$6	0x4a7d87…
07-29 18:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xd7a388…
07-29 18:24:26	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x3c4536…
07-29 18:21:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	221	38¢	$84	0xbf477e…
07-29 18:21:59	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x886e83…
07-29 17:54:14	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	400	28¢	$112	0x3b8fff…
07-29 16:42:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x6871d8…
07-29 16:37:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x9bd8dc…
07-29 16:32:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xa6ef6a…
07-29 16:23:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x754050…
07-29 16:22:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x214474…
07-29 16:14:29	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	190	10¢	$18	0xd239a6…
07-29 16:14:29	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x92df45…
07-29 16:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x8fca07…
07-29 16:08:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf7a8f9…
07-29 16:07:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xaf9236…
07-29 16:07:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x5aadb7…
07-29 15:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xdf1dee…
07-29 15:58:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xbad85c…
07-29 15:39:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:35 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x959af1…
07-29 15:34:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x613d77…
07-29 15:33:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8951c8…
07-29 15:05:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0xc21c5c…
07-26 12:40:15	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	438	23¢	$101	0x3cabbb…
07-26 12:11:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x5c9e22…
07-26 11:33:07	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$4	0xf20b88…
07-25 21:36:06	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x85522f…
07-25 17:17:07	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0x1a52e8…
07-25 17:03:12	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x7ef544…
07-25 16:59:31	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x2a22be…
07-25 11:10:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xd54f79…
07-25 11:07:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x2876ce…
07-24 10:48:54	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xce6aa2…
07-22 10:13:42	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	331	33¢	$109	0xf0c3dc…
07-22 10:12:33	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x9cfa01…
07-22 09:54:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	400	32¢	$128	0x399ba6…
07-22 08:13:42	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	669	29¢	$194	0x00ff6a…
07-22 04:14:36	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	38	29¢	$11	0xcd8209…
07-22 02:48:18	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	Yes	SELL	36	29¢	$11	0x6ce54d…
07-21 06:13:55	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	44	55¢	$24	0x0dd0b2…
07-21 03:14:33	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	34	58¢	$20	0x422b3b…
07-21 03:11:16	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x27def9…
07-21 03:07:19	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x9d2c01…
07-21 03:04:33	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0xe5ce91…
07-21 03:04:31	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	Yes	SELL	34	58¢	$20	0x29f551…
07-21 02:50:52	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xfadcca…
07-21 02:50:22	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xcef57d…