Understated-Volleyball — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.37K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$272

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-03

last 08-27 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

95% 96% +$1,343

Politics

5% 100% +$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+15	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	08-10 04:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?	1	$1.5K	1,515	0	+1,515	Yes	+$30	07-02 12:30
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?	7	$1.2K	641	641	+0	Yes	+$89	06-02 01:07
Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.2M in April?	2	$1.2K	1,528	0	+1,528	Yes	+$340	06-02 14:00
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?	1	$1.1K	1,205	0	+1,205	Yes	+$116	07-23 13:05
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?	1	$990	1,185	0	+1,185	Yes	+$195	06-10 12:30
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?	2	$714	1,137	0	+1,137	Yes	+$423	07-31 18:41
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?	1	$693	743	0	+743	No	+$50	07-23 13:05
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?	1	$574	619	0	+619	Yes	+$46	06-30 18:18
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	1	$544	564	0	+564	Yes	+$19	05-25 12:59
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?	1	$502	509	0	+509	Yes	+$7	07-16 00:50
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	1	$495	512	0	+512	Yes	+$17	05-05 04:30
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?	1	$297	300	0	+300	No	+$3	07-14 12:30
will the us add at least 100k jobs in march	2	$294	309	0	+309	Yes	+$15	04-03 12:30
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	3	$257	260	0	+260	No	+$3	05-27 02:00
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	1	$247	334	0	+334	No	+$87	04-30 18:26
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	1	$247	287	0	+287	Yes	+$40	04-30 18:26
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	2	$239	277	0	+277	No	+$38	07-31 18:41
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?	3	$232	260	0	+260	No	+$28	06-10 12:30
Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	1	$212	216	0	+216	No	-$212	04-30 08:00
will the us add between 50k and 100k jobs in march	2	$196	200	0	+200	No	+$4	04-03 12:30
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?	2	$182	190	0	+190	Yes	+$8	06-03 14:00
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?	1	$174	177	0	+177	No	+$3	05-12 12:30
Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in June?	1	$165	175	0	+175	Yes	+$10	07-06 14:00
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	08-27 00:50
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	1	$99	102	0	+102	No	+$3	05-25 12:59
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	05-07 19:00
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	1	$29	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 21:34
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-08 12:30
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in June?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	07-01 14:00
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$1	15	0	+15	open	—	08-10 04:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 00:50:07	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the August 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0b44a2…
08-10 04:57:03	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x167e85…
07-31 18:41:59	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	No	BUY	267	87¢	$233	0xce7c88…
07-31 18:41:57	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	18¢	$9	0x26fde7…
07-31 18:41:57	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the July meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,088	65¢	$705	0x22e32b…
07-31 18:41:57	Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x096870…
07-23 13:05:31	Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	743	93¢	$693	0xa784ec…
07-23 13:05:31	Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,205	90¢	$1,089	0x287a5f…
07-16 00:50:08	Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	509	99¢	$502	0x9d5d39…
07-14 12:30:17	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in June?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x5f6bc3…
07-06 14:00:04	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in June?	Yes	BUY	175	94¢	$165	0x77ed76…
07-02 12:30:07	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June?	Yes	BUY	1,515	98¢	$1,485	0xe77352…
07-01 14:00:05	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in June?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x135557…
06-30 18:18:32	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?	Yes	BUY	619	93¢	$574	0x55ad7e…
06-10 12:30:18	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?	No	BUY	112	88¢	$99	0xdb0fad…
06-10 12:30:18	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?	No	BUY	112	88¢	$99	0xb3c405…
06-10 12:30:18	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?	Yes	BUY	1,185	84¢	$990	0x951f17…
06-10 12:30:09	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x7dbb42…
06-03 14:00:06	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x278f9d…
06-03 14:00:04	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?	Yes	BUY	90	92¢	$83	0x5ecd7a…
06-02 14:00:09	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.2M in April?	Yes	BUY	632	94¢	$594	0xa09d06…
06-02 14:00:07	Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.2M in April?	Yes	BUY	896	66¢	$594	0x6f4f69…
06-02 01:07:19	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?	Yes	SELL	641	100¢	$639	0x11e736…
06-01 14:00:18	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x680007…
06-01 14:00:16	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?	Yes	BUY	105	94¢	$99	0xb4c0a4…
06-01 14:00:13	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?	Yes	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xcf0257…
06-01 14:00:11	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe60dfd…
06-01 14:00:06	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?	Yes	BUY	48	76¢	$36	0xb24826…
06-01 14:00:04	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	72¢	$181	0x4abbf8…
05-27 02:00:09	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$99	0xcd65ba…
05-27 02:00:09	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$59	0x8528fa…
05-27 02:00:09	Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x785ca2…
05-25 12:59:55	Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	No	BUY	102	97¢	$99	0xc534fc…
05-25 12:59:55	Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	Yes	BUY	564	97¢	$544	0x19d33a…
05-12 12:30:07	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in April?	No	BUY	177	98¢	$174	0xa905aa…
05-08 12:30:08	Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x755ffc…
05-07 19:00:09	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xae4419…
05-05 04:30:08	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	512	97¢	$495	0x2141c0…
04-30 18:26:24	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	334	74¢	$247	0xf99f32…
04-30 18:26:24	Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	287	86¢	$247	0x179ea6…
04-30 08:00:08	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?	Yes	BUY	216	98¢	$212	0x1509eb…
04-29 21:34:50	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$29	0xab9137…
04-03 12:30:41	will the us add at least 100k jobs in march	Yes	BUY	155	95¢	$147	0x2bfb77…
04-03 12:30:39	will the us add between 50k and 100k jobs in march	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xfedf16…
04-03 12:30:27	will the us add between 50k and 100k jobs in march	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb9321b…
04-03 12:30:25	will the us add at least 100k jobs in march	Yes	BUY	155	95¢	$147	0x5974b8…