Lavish-Raffle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.45K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.4%

Resolved

105

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$138

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 09-04 06:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 32% -$2,539

Other

2% 100% +$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 14:30 UTC	3	$1.3K	2,413	2,413	+0	Down	-$146	07-08 14:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:30 UTC	5	$1.3K	2,134	2,134	+0	Up	+$612	07-09 07:43
bitcoin above 90k on january 22	2	$840	1,038	1,038	+0	No	-$156	01-22 14:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 08:15 UTC	3	$796	1,364	737	+626	Up	-$4	07-09 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$677	1,216	1,072	+144	Down	+$221	05-22 07:31
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	2	$674	663	663	+0	No	+$475	01-31 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:55 UTC	2	$589	427	421	+6	Down	+$219	03-09 14:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:10 UTC	2	$570	1,275	1,275	+0	Down	-$284	06-10 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 12:15 UTC	1	$545	1,206	0	+1,206	Down	-$545	07-09 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	3	$536	666	416	+250	Up	+$116	09-04 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$491	333	333	+0	Up	+$141	09-04 05:56
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians	2	$486	308	308	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$92	05-14 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 16:25 UTC	1	$398	402	0	+402	Up	+$4	03-09 16:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 09:00 UTC	2	$363	268	268	+0	Down	+$163	07-08 09:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 14:50 UTC	3	$362	538	222	+316	Up	-$35	03-09 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$333	206	206	+0	Up	+$67	05-22 05:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 08:30 UTC	1	$326	572	0	+572	Down	-$326	07-09 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 04:40 UTC	3	$307	336	201	+135	Down	+$90	03-06 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:35 UTC	1	$300	768	0	+768	Up	-$300	07-09 08:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:30 UTC	1	$300	849	0	+849	Down	-$300	07-09 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$300	783	0	+783	Down	-$300	05-22 06:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:05 UTC	1	$300	643	0	+643	Down	-$300	06-10 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$272	542	0	+542	Down	-$272	05-23 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 04:25 UTC	3	$268	332	128	+204	Down	-$30	03-06 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$268	523	0	+523	Down	+$255	05-22 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$200	507	0	+507	Up	-$200	05-23 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$200	392	0	+392	Down	+$192	06-10 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 12:05 UTC	1	$200	384	0	+384	Down	-$200	03-15 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$200	559	0	+559	Up	-$200	05-22 07:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$200	482	0	+482	Down	+$282	05-22 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 06:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	89	23¢	$20	0x8d2b48…
09-04 06:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	134	37¢	$50	0xa7866e…
09-04 06:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	247	41¢	$100	0xfe85c9…
09-04 06:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xba1135…
09-04 06:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x26cb9c…
09-04 06:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xee6c8e…
09-04 06:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	416	78¢	$326	0xdec1c6…
09-04 06:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	416	48¢	$200	0x6f82fb…
09-04 06:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x706d5c…
09-04 05:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	333	95¢	$316	0xe0c7b1…
09-04 05:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	333	53¢	$175	0x666556…
09-04 05:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	235	23¢	$53	0x7a5a35…
09-04 05:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0x7d9bd6…
09-04 05:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa38b85…
09-04 05:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x0e5a57…
09-04 05:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x26363c…
07-13 16:55:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	129	7¢	$9	0xbd885d…
07-09 12:15:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,206	45¢	$545	0x88cd74…
07-09 12:12:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	588	34¢	$200	0xc957c6…
07-09 08:40:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	572	57¢	$326	0x7f17fd…
07-09 08:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	768	39¢	$300	0x9db5ec…
07-09 08:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	849	35¢	$300	0x40c80f…
07-09 08:25:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	626	16¢	$100	0xaf2877…
07-09 08:18:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	737	54¢	$396	0xe6a8a5…
07-09 08:15:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	737	41¢	$300	0xdb8563…
07-09 08:07:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x82ac66…
07-09 07:53:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xf87243…
07-09 07:43:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	85	43¢	$37	0x9d7a03…
07-09 07:43:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2,049	45¢	$913	0x4af0d2…
07-09 07:42:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	707	5¢	$38	0x776b20…
07-09 07:38:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	728	17¢	$127	0x327f5e…
07-09 07:36:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	782	13¢	$100	0x43e377…
07-09 07:31:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	645	31¢	$200	0xc0c8fc…
07-09 07:24:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x5644a9…
07-09 07:23:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-09 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xa32c5b…
07-08 14:40:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 14:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2,413	24¢	$578	0x128765…
07-08 14:40:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1,699	25¢	$424	0x08415f…
07-08 14:34:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	714	42¢	$300	0x49aeae…
07-08 14:31:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	532	19¢	$100	0x76616f…
07-08 14:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf97a27…
07-08 14:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xefcf0b…
07-08 14:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x887e95…
07-08 14:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x4ce93b…
07-08 14:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	262	35¢	$91	0x24d174…
07-08 14:15:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x055fb2…
07-08 14:15:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x636c48…
07-08 14:10:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x51bb8e…
07-08 09:13:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	268	98¢	$263	0xcff77c…
07-08 09:02:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-08 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	268	37¢	$100	0x3a56a8…
07-08 08:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x696bf9…
07-08 08:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x854f54…
07-04 09:15:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xae29a9…
07-04 09:09:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0x79f9e4…
07-04 09:03:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-04 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe48f39…
07-04 08:55:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x12545f…
06-10 09:20:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2,819	1¢	$39	0x4adce6…
06-10 09:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:15 UTC	Down	SELL	311	7¢	$23	0xfd010d…
06-10 09:15:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	311	36¢	$112	0x2dd079…
06-10 09:14:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	1,275	11¢	$143	0x46bdc9…
06-10 09:10:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1,275	33¢	$427	0x7b6c0b…
06-10 09:05:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	643	47¢	$300	0x9fc96d…
06-10 09:00:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	425	47¢	$200	0xa729f4…
06-10 08:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	392	51¢	$200	0xde387a…
05-23 00:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	542	50¢	$272	0xbd7d50…
05-23 00:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x85edf1…
05-23 00:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x08d76b…
05-23 00:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0xe3ab8a…
05-23 00:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$2	0xcdd7b6…
05-23 00:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xb4659c…
05-23 00:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x28b830…
05-23 00:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	517	34¢	$175	0xafd08c…
05-23 00:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	378	26¢	$100	0x398fa9…
05-23 00:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	507	39¢	$200	0xf4a8ef…
05-22 07:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	368	54¢	$200	0x9bc412…
05-22 07:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	117	32¢	$38	0xf68bc7…
05-22 07:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	955	36¢	$340	0xe1b79e…
05-22 07:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	108	26¢	$28	0x8f7449…
05-22 07:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,108	25¢	$272	0x18aa1e…
05-22 07:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	318	31¢	$100	0xfd8fd4…
05-22 07:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	482	42¢	$200	0x5a3d16…
05-22 07:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	559	36¢	$200	0x756eee…
05-22 07:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	523	51¢	$268	0x1fbcf7…
05-22 07:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1,163	17¢	$200	0x407d71…
05-22 06:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	783	38¢	$300	0x746990…
05-22 06:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	473	21¢	$100	0xaed2f3…
05-22 06:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	287	52¢	$150	0xf5be84…
05-22 06:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	396	47¢	$186	0xa932ed…
05-22 06:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	150	31¢	$46	0x37fd65…
05-22 06:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	236	58¢	$136	0x1047da…
05-22 06:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	498	40¢	$200	0xe6fe9e…
05-22 06:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	375	48¢	$180	0x267979…
05-22 06:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	249	44¢	$110	0xd47b20…
05-22 06:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	469	21¢	$100	0xbf41af…
05-22 05:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	427	4¢	$17	0xcd6610…
05-22 05:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	841	4¢	$37	0xc75d68…
05-22 05:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1,397	3¢	$46	0x64620d…
05-22 05:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	347	29¢	$100	0xaef9a3…
05-22 05:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	206	97¢	$200	0x50f122…
05-22 05:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	206	65¢	$133	0xe4b2b6…
05-22 05:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	617	16¢	$101	0x065741…