Modern-Dulcimer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$563

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

1,691

Trades

2,473

lifetime

Volume

$89.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-12 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% +$563

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-12).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	7	$164	107	107	+0	Down	-$36	05-08 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$116	122	62	+60	Down	-$29	05-07 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$115	111	53	+59	Up	-$18	05-10 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$105	58	58	+0	Down	+$5	05-08 14:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$102	53	53	-0	Down	+$2	05-11 06:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$101	66	66	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$100	53	53	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$100	111	0	+111	Down	+$11	05-07 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$100	117	0	+117	Down	+$18	05-06 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$99	58	58	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$98	114	0	+114	Down	-$98	05-06 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$98	105	0	+105	Down	+$7	05-08 23:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$98	109	0	+109	Down	+$11	05-11 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$97	61	61	+0	Up	-$3	05-06 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$97	65	65	+0	Up	-$3	05-08 14:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$97	53	53	+0	Down	-$3	05-08 15:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$97	52	52	+0	Down	-$3	05-08 12:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$97	53	53	+0	Up	-$1	05-11 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$96	62	62	+0	Down	-$4	05-08 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$96	131	0	+131	Up	+$35	05-11 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	3	$96	73	73	+0	Up	-$4	05-06 07:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$96	62	62	+0	Up	-$4	05-08 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$95	116	0	+116	Up	+$21	05-11 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$95	60	60	+0	Down	-$3	05-11 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$95	54	54	+0	Up	-$5	05-06 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$95	60	60	+0	Up	-$5	05-06 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$95	70	70	+0	Up	-$5	05-06 17:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$95	56	56	+0	Down	-$1	05-09 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$95	68	68	+0	Down	-$5	05-06 14:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$95	54	54	+0	Down	-$1	05-11 19:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 01:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x9479fe…
05-12 01:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	45	71¢	$32	0x8179e3…
05-12 01:17:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	59	81¢	$48	0xe0cff1…
05-12 01:13:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	92¢	$49	0x788d30…
05-12 01:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	57	86¢	$49	0x7cfe1f…
05-12 01:08:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	56	88¢	$50	0x0051b9…
05-12 01:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0xec3c73…
05-12 01:04:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	53	3¢	$2	0xa98866…
05-12 01:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xc9a006…
05-12 01:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	80¢	$48	0x1398d3…
05-12 00:52:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	76¢	$48	0xaa8514…
05-12 00:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0x20315c…
05-12 00:47:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9ee0cb…
05-12 00:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	60	76¢	$46	0x388c61…
05-12 00:38:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x826235…
05-12 00:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	60	79¢	$48	0xb39b7b…
05-12 00:33:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	60	39¢	$23	0x08af23…
05-12 00:32:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	60	81¢	$48	0x8b5741…
05-12 00:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	85¢	$48	0xc7d122…
05-12 00:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xa5fbb4…
05-12 00:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	49	76¢	$37	0x456d1a…
05-12 00:27:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0x9c1b51…
05-12 00:23:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x99cba9…
05-12 00:19:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	58	29¢	$17	0x29152b…
05-12 00:17:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	58	83¢	$48	0x9101f7…
05-12 00:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	63	75¢	$47	0xc28a1a…
05-12 00:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	53	83¢	$44	0xc087e1…
05-12 00:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xb6497b…
05-12 00:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x81d201…
05-12 00:13:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x0ba49e…
05-12 00:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xe84c4f…
05-12 00:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x6eb740…
05-12 00:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x1d0c4c…
05-12 00:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	53	78¢	$41	0x804a07…
05-12 00:07:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	94¢	$49	0x82162c…
05-12 00:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	92¢	$48	0x244aba…
05-12 00:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0xe563be…
05-12 00:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	67	39¢	$26	0x6d229b…
05-12 00:03:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	67	71¢	$47	0x5384a9…
05-12 00:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	65	71¢	$46	0x365e75…
05-11 23:53:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	61	33¢	$20	0xb7c84f…
05-11 23:52:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	61	78¢	$48	0x0345d9…
05-11 23:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	89¢	$48	0xfade6a…
05-11 23:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	66	75¢	$49	0x230160…
05-11 23:38:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	59	82¢	$48	0x2e9e5f…
05-11 23:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x3f07ac…
05-11 23:13:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	55	89¢	$49	0x4b8363…
05-11 23:02:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xdb904d…
05-11 22:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	53	91¢	$49	0xc4f566…
05-11 22:52:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	53	92¢	$48	0x9e1117…
05-11 22:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	56	86¢	$48	0xc06420…
05-11 22:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	55	88¢	$48	0x092714…
05-11 22:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	54	88¢	$48	0x2812ca…
05-11 22:37:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	61	79¢	$48	0x592b3e…
05-11 22:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0x9511a3…
05-11 22:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	56	85¢	$48	0x2db612…
05-11 22:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	53	79¢	$42	0x25ba4c…
05-11 22:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xec96df…
05-11 22:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x7c1d52…
05-11 22:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x565a0c…
05-11 22:28:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x29e919…
05-11 22:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x7734c7…
05-11 22:19:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x17057a…
05-11 22:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xd78861…
05-11 22:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x0c581e…
05-11 22:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x19da27…
05-11 22:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$49	0xad4179…
05-11 22:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0xa54c69…
05-11 21:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	53	7¢	$4	0xde8078…
05-11 21:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	53	92¢	$48	0xc199d4…
05-11 21:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0xe28d64…
05-11 21:52:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	54	88¢	$48	0x084cfb…
05-11 21:48:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	55	78¢	$43	0xaa2d0a…
05-11 21:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	53	60¢	$32	0xcdaca0…
05-11 21:48:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	55	86¢	$47	0x041c1d…
05-11 21:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc7b8fc…
05-11 21:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x58fb18…
05-11 21:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	89¢	$48	0xea2612…
05-11 21:42:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0xbb43f8…
05-11 21:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x6fbc94…
05-11 21:38:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$49	0xdcafc6…
05-11 21:23:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	56	27¢	$15	0xeb4df4…
05-11 21:22:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	86¢	$48	0x0362d4…
05-11 21:13:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	57	56¢	$32	0x4d5b33…
05-11 21:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	57	86¢	$50	0x6856a9…
05-11 21:12:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0xaf3905…
05-11 21:09:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x1359c4…
05-11 21:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0x916884…
05-11 21:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0xe0befb…
05-11 21:02:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0x5e2129…
05-11 20:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xa41994…
05-11 20:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	64	76¢	$49	0x869c71…
05-11 20:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	61	78¢	$48	0x55e28e…
05-11 20:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	53	92¢	$48	0x713834…
05-11 20:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	53	35¢	$19	0xcee3b8…
05-11 20:33:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	57	84¢	$48	0x39c752…
05-11 20:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	53	90¢	$48	0x65d323…
05-11 20:24:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	53	69¢	$36	0x34fae1…
05-11 20:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xe08ef5…
05-11 20:22:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xb592ff…