Actual-Insert — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$271

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved (30d)

2,013

Trades (30d)

4,860

24,844 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$5.24K

$34.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-27 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 31% -$2,060

Other

11% 42% -$260

Sports

0% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 694 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	6	$213	176	176	+0	Yes	+$123	07-15 20:59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	3	$85	67	67	+0	Yes	+$45	07-14 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$70	111	111	+0	Down	+$68	05-11 13:42
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	2	$59	71	71	+0	No	-$1	07-16 14:08
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	2	$59	94	94	+0	Yes	-$1	07-16 14:08
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	2	$59	111	111	+0	No	-$1	07-16 14:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 16:20 UTC	7	$41	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	06-23 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$40	100	100	+0	Down	+$36	05-11 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	5	$36	29	29	+0	Up	+$12	05-20 11:20
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 11:05 UTC	11	$35	20	20	+0	Up	$0	07-19 11:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	26	$34	60	60	+0	Up	-$2	07-27 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 18:05 UTC	6	$32	118	18	+100	Down	$0	06-23 18:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-26 17:35 UTC	5	$31	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	06-26 17:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 17:55 UTC	5	$30	19	19	+0	Down	+$0	06-23 17:58
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	3	$30	73	0	+73	No	-$30	07-13 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 07:05 UTC	6	$30	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	08-25 07:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:00 UTC	27	$29	121	99	+22	Up	-$2	07-27 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 19:15 UTC	6	$29	23	23	+0	Down	-$1	06-09 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$29	21	21	+0	Up	+$3	05-30 20:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 12:55 UTC	8	$28	17	17	+0	Up	$0	06-21 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:20 UTC	27	$28	121	113	+8	Up	-$4	07-28 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$28	33	33	+0	Up	+$16	05-20 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	5	$27	22	22	+0	Down	-$3	06-09 14:49
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	5	$27	235	0	+235	No	-$27	07-07 17:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 14:50 UTC	17	$27	80	70	+11	Down	$0	07-28 14:54
Solana Up or Down - September 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	11	$26	25	25	+0	Up	-$4	09-03 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:30 UTC	12	$26	30	30	+0	Down	-$1	08-03 14:34
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 15:15 UTC	12	$26	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	07-25 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	8	$26	17	17	+0	Down	-$2	06-03 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	4	$25	21	21	+0	Up	+$13	05-11 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 02:33:03	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x63704d…
10-28 02:30:23	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd4f646…
10-28 02:25:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfcedaa…
10-28 02:25:11	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xbe896f…
10-28 02:16:08	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd2e5fa…
10-28 02:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xb81e57…
10-27 21:46:48	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3ac9ec…
10-27 21:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4c3867…
10-27 21:45:50	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb4e466…
10-27 21:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfb6638…
10-27 14:58:47	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x2daf81…
10-27 14:58:24	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xffae50…
10-27 14:46:17	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xee98ba…
10-27 14:45:39	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x89dc69…
10-27 14:33:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xb0f416…
10-27 14:30:38	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x1dfd1f…
10-27 12:41:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x834d9f…
10-27 12:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xd8f323…
10-27 12:38:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0xfd69b8…
10-27 12:38:11	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0x1a8928…
10-27 12:37:47	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1d53de…
10-27 12:37:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc5b03a…
10-27 12:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa2f2cb…
10-27 12:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xa12179…
10-27 12:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x09b48a…
10-27 12:33:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x1928a5…
10-27 12:33:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x644170…
10-27 12:32:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8dcc56…
10-27 12:32:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x44ec78…
10-27 12:32:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xba3268…
10-27 12:31:50	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xc53112…
10-27 12:31:36	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0e2328…
10-27 12:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf71635…
10-27 12:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x69a5bb…
10-27 12:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfc7eb6…
10-27 12:21:45	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x36ca21…
10-27 12:20:30	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xde1c78…
10-27 12:12:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0xf5766e…
10-27 12:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6c2cf2…
10-27 11:46:47	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xa59ade…
10-27 11:45:14	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbcc7b2…
10-27 11:28:09	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x4a85c1…
10-27 11:26:47	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1cd8a9…
10-27 11:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe2e9e8…
10-27 11:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9bf5fe…
10-27 10:52:41	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x313f17…
10-27 10:52:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x89bd99…
10-27 10:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcc109f…
10-27 10:51:56	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3de882…
10-27 10:51:09	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2b9a9c…
10-27 10:50:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe32e91…
10-27 10:50:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xb6b92a…
10-27 10:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd6e6a6…
10-27 10:44:11	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xf76ebd…
10-27 10:43:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x84e6e5…
10-27 10:42:56	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4f748e…
10-27 10:42:30	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x20d45b…
10-27 10:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1c767c…
10-27 10:37:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x3e5941…
10-27 10:31:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x075234…
10-27 10:20:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7f11b6…
10-27 10:20:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9e5d5f…
10-27 10:10:54	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x94eaf9…
10-27 10:10:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa82901…
10-27 10:10:50	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xff0f38…
10-27 10:06:54	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf40942…
10-27 09:53:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x71705b…
10-27 09:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x550e50…
10-27 09:33:48	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	87¢	$4	0x4c2de4…
10-27 09:33:24	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x23432e…
10-27 09:20:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-27 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x929e53…
10-27 09:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x943c0d…
10-27 09:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x0fb78f…
10-27 09:13:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x88563e…
10-27 09:12:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x823ce0…
10-27 09:11:30	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcf5274…
10-27 08:51:15	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x38dc42…
10-27 08:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x115e36…
10-27 08:47:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x56b2e1…
10-27 08:47:29	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa77869…
10-27 08:22:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x23a7ca…
10-27 08:14:11	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x0d8eb2…
10-27 08:12:14	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9ec6c5…
10-27 08:08:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7c7655…
10-27 08:06:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0xa94c7c…
10-27 08:06:15	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xb33e14…
10-27 08:05:45	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd78534…
10-27 08:05:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x44ab0d…
10-27 08:05:08	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc05cab…
10-27 08:02:32	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9b3820…
10-27 08:02:29	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x4a840e…
10-27 07:57:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x575826…
10-27 07:56:57	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8640fa…
10-27 07:55:45	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7a8698…
10-27 07:50:09	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6e6e5f…
10-27 07:43:54	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xf4c93e…
10-27 07:43:30	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x449cfa…
10-27 07:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x94b3b6…
10-27 07:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5dba9c…
10-27 07:40:33	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x22dc10…