Sinful-Lion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,044

lifetime

Volume

$26.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 08-02 06:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% 100% +$2

Other

47% 100% +$25

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	105	$2.9K	1,734	1,246	+488	Yes	+$25	04-05 21:50
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$2.1K	1,223	1,223	+0	open	—	04-06 19:12
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	14	$1.8K	1,764	173	+1,591	open	—	04-07 20:56
netanyahu out by march 31 854	55	$1.6K	1,301	363	+938	open	—	03-29 08:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	40	$1.4K	1,241	207	+1,034	open	—	03-30 02:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	20	$1.3K	993	417	+576	open	—	04-04 00:26
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	27	$1.3K	1,162	151	+1,010	open	—	03-29 11:57
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	27	$1.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-07 23:17
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	76	$900	587	486	+102	open	—	05-27 12:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	13	$840	504	390	+114	open	—	05-09 05:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	24	$814	440	440	+0	open	—	03-27 07:36
Netanyahu out by April 30?	18	$686	436	277	+159	open	—	04-06 08:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	24	$664	401	339	+62	open	—	08-01 23:22
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	5	$597	367	236	+130	open	—	04-29 21:26
mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	29	$588	400	214	+186	open	—	04-01 02:16
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	25	$550	488	74	+415	open	—	03-28 00:58
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	7	$368	422	161	+261	open	—	04-02 06:20
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	20	$358	261	112	+150	open	—	03-28 08:09
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	17	$333	257	106	+151	open	—	07-19 20:32
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	34	$314	181	170	+12	open	—	06-12 17:03
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	18	$289	163	128	+35	open	—	03-18 10:34
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	30	$281	224	110	+114	open	—	05-15 01:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$267	144	144	+0	open	—	06-23 17:32
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	15	$264	219	47	+172	open	—	03-24 16:40
Iran leadership change by June 30?	14	$241	144	102	+43	open	—	07-01 00:00
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	15	$240	179	90	+89	open	—	07-04 01:07
will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	7	$227	233	0	+233	open	—	04-07 23:16
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	22	$192	135	119	+16	open	—	06-14 20:43
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	11	$179	210	0	+210	open	—	08-02 06:19
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	20	$176	107	92	+15	open	—	03-22 19:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 06:19:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1004b2…
08-02 05:25:14	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x54fbf5…
08-02 03:53:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	150	96¢	$144	0xf73cfa…
08-02 03:50:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xe1252f…
08-02 03:50:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x2a768d…
08-02 02:22:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x6d0143…
08-02 02:22:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x474c42…
08-02 02:12:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x91fd6c…
08-02 02:10:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xaf5543…
08-02 02:10:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x9afb57…
08-02 00:46:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x44f7e7…
08-02 00:27:14	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x66838d…
08-01 23:22:17	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0xa3358a…
08-01 22:05:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xdc5b88…
08-01 21:51:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x47179b…
08-01 21:41:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x491bf8…
08-01 21:36:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	78	89¢	$70	0x6ae74f…
08-01 20:41:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	87	90¢	$79	0xfe229c…
08-01 14:47:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0xaf165c…
08-01 07:00:38	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0x3546b0…
07-31 19:47:48	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	69	92¢	$64	0x6d68b2…
07-30 22:47:11	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xe8c324…
07-30 21:35:32	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4ac5e8…
07-30 14:52:41	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3eb294…
07-29 18:09:26	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x5845ac…
07-29 14:40:38	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x97215e…
07-29 12:03:47	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xcd60fe…
07-29 11:57:20	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x3435af…
07-29 11:35:41	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0xa6acaf…
07-29 11:10:05	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0x3009a6…
07-29 11:05:09	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x5f2bf2…
07-29 09:18:06	will ethereum reach 2300 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	80	1¢	$0	0x569723…
07-29 08:48:30	will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x0aa431…
07-27 14:48:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0xeba6ab…
07-27 08:29:43	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x339dad…
07-26 12:59:34	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xd14358…
07-26 10:22:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x9eb9fc…
07-26 10:07:34	will trump meet with netanyahu by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x7a6c3a…
07-25 17:57:54	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0x565ce8…
07-25 15:09:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xcea779…
07-25 11:15:54	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xa43e02…
07-25 05:27:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	66	29¢	$19	0x3d327b…
07-23 23:58:54	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0x937175…
07-22 17:42:43	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xfcb2f3…
07-21 21:12:00	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	SELL	38	97¢	$36	0xa1785e…
07-21 04:48:37	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x77053a…
07-19 20:32:34	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe7c612…
07-19 20:29:09	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xef8c02…
07-18 21:51:57	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x5a04b7…
07-18 14:08:51	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	62	89¢	$56	0xa9de60…
07-17 09:51:01	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	31	88¢	$28	0xfb60a7…
07-16 22:13:04	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0x401f7f…
07-15 18:55:08	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	59	90¢	$53	0x8f0caa…
07-14 07:43:34	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x73fb38…
07-13 16:37:34	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x773500…
07-13 13:15:02	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x0607b0…
07-13 06:13:11	Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x941ae2…
07-13 04:38:22	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x1b2f50…
07-11 12:45:52	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	87	90¢	$78	0xd23a92…
07-11 06:22:08	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x6fc8de…
07-10 22:50:53	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	9	38¢	$4	0x8333d0…
07-10 22:38:10	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x892177…
07-10 13:28:14	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x1a202f…
07-10 05:17:41	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x9cf1d1…
07-09 12:18:31	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x9afbb0…
07-09 07:02:28	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xc3d310…
07-09 07:01:53	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x6fff82…
07-09 01:17:08	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x2fca2a…
07-07 18:43:05	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xffd340…
07-07 17:30:37	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x4a220e…
07-06 15:58:13	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xc9799f…
07-06 12:43:11	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	40¢	$8	0x87701b…
07-06 08:40:56	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0xbec60a…
07-06 06:28:38	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	57	90¢	$52	0x6d2d99…
07-05 18:08:25	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x7b89d7…
07-05 13:20:38	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	24	89¢	$21	0x38fbf1…
07-05 13:16:44	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x9ccf27…
07-04 18:20:56	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0x2b023d…
07-04 01:07:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x4a6346…
07-03 12:47:38	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x330ca2…
07-02 00:18:01	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x456ad7…
07-01 18:24:56	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x927159…
07-01 12:47:16	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x876957…
07-01 11:03:02	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$1	0xd3a828…
07-01 04:06:43	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xb30a22…
07-01 01:07:25	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	31	92¢	$28	0x787867…
07-01 01:03:20	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x9e60c4…
07-01 01:03:20	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x20f5cc…
07-01 00:00:59	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3fbb04…
06-30 20:42:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x069d3b…
06-30 20:41:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd8a4c2…
06-30 20:40:38	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x975c89…
06-30 16:10:52	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x6254f8…
06-30 12:12:38	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xf345b5…
06-30 11:02:47	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x91931b…
06-29 14:39:08	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xff1abf…
06-29 12:21:22	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x3e4226…
06-29 12:09:32	Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xbf88a9…
06-29 11:08:40	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x860abe…
06-29 09:53:20	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x654720…