Orange-Criterion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$845

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.8%

Resolved

249

Trades

411

lifetime

Volume

$2.89K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 05-10 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 22% -$774

Other

2% 0% -$61

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Politics

0% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$110	10,041	0	+10,041	Up	-$69	05-07 05:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:05 UTC	1	$100	370	0	+370	Up	-$100	03-08 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:35 UTC	1	$79	220	0	+220	Up	-$79	03-08 17:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 16:45 UTC	3	$57	334	0	+334	Down	-$57	03-08 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:15 UTC	1	$52	262	0	+262	Up	-$52	03-09 05:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:05 UTC	5	$49	121	0	+121	Down	-$49	03-08 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$45	36	36	+0	Up	+$25	05-06 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:50 UTC	5	$45	265	0	+265	Down	-$45	03-08 19:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 20:00 UTC	3	$41	254	0	+254	Down	-$41	03-08 20:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:00 UTC	3	$40	265	0	+265	Down	-$40	03-08 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 21:15 UTC	4	$40	225	0	+225	Up	-$40	03-08 21:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 18:05 UTC	4	$39	232	0	+232	Down	-$39	03-08 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 12:20 UTC	1	$37	72	0	+72	Down	-$37	04-11 12:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 08:20 UTC	2	$36	85	0	+85	Up	-$36	03-08 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 10:35 UTC	4	$35	355	0	+355	Down	-$35	03-08 10:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 19:55 UTC	3	$33	137	0	+137	Up	+$104	03-08 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 16:50 UTC	1	$30	75	0	+75	Down	+$45	03-08 16:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 19:35 UTC	1	$30	128	0	+128	Up	-$30	03-07 19:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 20:00 UTC	1	$30	94	0	+94	Up	-$30	03-07 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 17:10 UTC	1	$30	98	0	+98	Down	-$30	03-08 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 19:40 UTC	1	$30	86	0	+86	Down	-$30	03-07 19:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 19:30 UTC	1	$30	94	0	+94	Up	-$30	03-07 19:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:10 UTC	3	$30	277	0	+277	Down	-$30	03-09 05:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 16:20 UTC	2	$30	89	0	+89	Up	+$59	03-08 16:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 16:35 UTC	2	$30	142	0	+142	Up	+$112	03-08 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:25 UTC	4	$28	340	0	+340	Up	-$28	03-09 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 08:25 UTC	1	$27	85	0	+85	Down	-$27	03-08 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$26	395	0	+395	Down	-$26	05-07 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 05:00 UTC	3	$26	318	0	+318	Up	-$26	03-09 05:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC	1	$26	77	0	+77	Up	-$26	04-11 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 21:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfa5412…
05-10 18:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x7af4e5…
05-10 18:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe3cace…
05-10 18:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8b9b3c…
05-10 18:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xede47d…
05-10 18:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4ecce6…
05-10 18:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x76e699…
05-10 17:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe7e50b…
05-10 17:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x25200e…
05-10 17:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x31d3d5…
05-10 17:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x13885d…
05-10 17:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf2728c…
05-10 17:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x873b49…
05-10 16:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x7a699d…
05-10 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xb9e7d4…
05-10 15:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0afaf5…
05-10 15:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xebdfe9…
05-10 15:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x899936…
05-10 15:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc259bb…
05-10 15:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc75415…
05-10 15:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0ec35f…
05-10 15:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfbc1ca…
05-10 15:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x7714f3…
05-10 15:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x8288b7…
05-10 15:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	104	5¢	$5	0x56add1…
05-09 13:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc23121…
05-09 13:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x32aff8…
05-09 13:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa801a7…
05-09 11:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x12bf7f…
05-09 11:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9aa358…
05-09 11:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8a50a0…
05-09 11:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4992c1…
05-09 11:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x66d88e…
05-09 11:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xfc1582…
05-09 11:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa3610f…
05-09 11:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe47e6a…
05-09 11:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x269c9f…
05-09 11:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xea7914…
05-09 11:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4e9287…
05-09 11:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa3f166…
05-09 11:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x5543a1…
05-09 11:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x484a29…
05-09 10:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb36e68…
05-09 09:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcf3887…
05-09 09:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc3a405…
05-09 09:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x3e511b…
05-09 09:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb8e0e2…
05-09 09:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xdbbef8…
05-09 09:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7b22f2…
05-07 16:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xc32b0d…
05-07 16:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe2dbf…
05-07 16:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd9bf02…
05-07 16:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0xebc3d8…
05-07 16:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	14¢	$5	0x9c189f…
05-07 16:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdfab90…
05-07 15:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa112ff…
05-07 15:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x682588…
05-07 15:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2e3a93…
05-07 14:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x69c775…
05-07 12:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x001fdd…
05-07 11:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0x4fe5ef…
05-07 11:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4bab79…
05-07 11:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7bbad1…
05-07 10:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x331850…
05-07 10:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x2510c7…
05-07 10:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8bbb0d…
05-07 10:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x0ab831…
05-07 10:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	600	1¢	$6	0xa8f126…
05-07 10:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x258116…
05-07 10:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xa0dd30…
05-07 10:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	315	2¢	$5	0xec2623…
05-07 10:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x879fb8…
05-07 10:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xcd96e7…
05-07 10:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4855b4…
05-07 09:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x9bb299…
05-07 09:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc65228…
05-07 09:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3042ed…
05-07 09:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x6ad7e3…
05-07 09:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x9c652d…
05-07 09:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	310	3¢	$9	0x14b00b…
05-07 09:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xd11b43…
05-07 09:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xae52e5…
05-07 09:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc3c0ca…
05-07 08:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x3d327a…
05-07 08:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x33d74f…
05-07 08:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x32f797…
05-07 08:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0c5cbf…
05-07 08:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x29061a…
05-07 08:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xc04fca…
05-07 08:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x6fa9c2…
05-07 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xb44220…
05-07 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xab4665…
05-07 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xa2a057…
05-07 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x989aee…
05-07 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x4c6728…
05-07 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x4c3700…
05-07 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x393e31…
05-07 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x325d3b…
05-07 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x0c5971…
05-07 08:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x92e1bf…