Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$155

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-14 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Politics

54% 83% -$1

Other

25% 29% -$17

Tech

19% 100% +$2

Crypto

3% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	10-14 07:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+3	$3	99¢	$3	+$0	04-28 20:33
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	+12	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	05-24 16:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	02-28 07:05
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	04-13 08:13
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$12	13	0	+13	Yes	+$1	01-04 11:41
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$11	12	0	+12	Yes	+$1	01-04 11:41
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	02-26 14:02
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$6	154	0	+154	No	-$6	03-14 14:10
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	01-04 11:41
nvda close above 190 on february 26 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	-$6	02-26 14:03
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	07-09 16:00
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	+$2	01-07 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 13:55 UTC	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	-$5	03-14 13:59
Will Trump dance today?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-26 17:12
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	02-28 07:06
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-26 14:00
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	10-14 07:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-15 20:19
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$1	04-16 05:42
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	-$4	04-15 20:21
will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on humanitys last exam by january 31 459	1	$4	10	0	+10	No	-$4	01-01 12:23
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	04-25 10:50
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-28 20:33
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	2	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	05-24 16:31
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	02-28 07:06
will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	2	$2	21	21	+0	No	$0	01-10 22:50
Will the US strike Somalia next?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	-$1	01-11 17:03
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	04-25 10:50
will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	02-26 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 07:24:25	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x347920…
07-09 16:00:13	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xdcff01…
05-24 16:31:27	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x41197b…
05-24 16:31:27	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0cb709…
04-28 20:33:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x8658c9…
04-26 17:12:24	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb20e70…
04-25 10:50:40	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x94183d…
04-25 10:50:30	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x140536…
04-16 05:42:40	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x4de6de…
04-15 20:21:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa46627…
04-15 20:19:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1a0cb9…
04-13 08:13:11	hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x81cd5b…
03-14 14:10:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$6	0x18277d…
03-14 13:59:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x357db7…
02-28 07:06:53	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf74788…
02-28 07:06:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x069624…
02-28 07:05:59	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x460f28…
02-26 14:05:18	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xda7161…
02-26 14:03:44	nvda close above 190 on february 26 2026	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x0a53da…
02-26 14:02:46	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x5ca4c4…
02-26 14:00:56	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8e8494…
02-26 13:59:12	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb96297…
01-11 17:03:10	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf48ab7…
01-10 22:50:08	will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xd30214…
01-10 22:39:18	will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xadab74…
01-07 21:03:35	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0xaaa9ab…
01-04 11:41:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x323cd1…
01-04 11:41:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x5f325e…
01-04 11:41:05	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x746ecb…
01-01 12:23:41	will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on humanitys last exam by january 31 459	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7eb787…