Elementary-Leeway — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$15

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved (30d)

763

Trades (30d)

1,637

5,268 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$6.18K

$17.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 10-29 03:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 156 days

Categories

Other

71% 58% -$107

Sports

29% 51% -$143

Politics

0% 67% -$6

Crypto

0% 43% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	09-03 13:44
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	09-03 13:44
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	09-23 23:51
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+11	$1	12¢	$1	+$0	10-10 17:58
Seoul: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Coleman Wong	Stefanos Sakellaridis	—	+10	$4	0¢	$0	-$4	10-29 01:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
col clu ala 2026 07 30 total 2pt5	2	$233	150	150	+0	Over	+$65	07-30 20:14
mlb oak cws 2026 07 12 total 8pt5	2	$140	96	96	+0	Over	+$41	07-12 18:51
swe bro mal 2026 08 02 total 2pt5	2	$110	69	69	+0	Over	+$28	08-02 15:35
uel csk1 qar 2026 07 30 total 2pt5	2	$105	67	67	+0	Under	+$29	07-30 20:14
kor dae1 gwa 2026 08 02 total 2pt5	1	$81	150	0	+150	Under	-$81	08-02 08:06
mlb tor bos 2026 06 17 nrfi	1	$80	143	0	+143	No	-$80	06-17 18:21
mlb sf tex 2026 08 05 total 8pt5	4	$80	56	56	+0	Under	+$21	08-05 20:54
cpbl fub rak 2026 07 08	2	$68	48	48	+0	Rakuten Monkeys	+$27	07-09 22:07
mlb cws nyy 2026 06 17 nrfi	2	$65	43	43	+0	Yes	+$21	06-17 23:33
nor2 rau sta 2026 08 02 total 3pt5	1	$65	122	0	+122	Under	+$57	08-02 13:08
Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5	2	$48	30	30	+0	Over	+$12	08-23 18:05
col she stg 2026 08 06 total 2pt5	2	$47	29	29	+0	Over	+$12	08-06 19:22
hun mtk pus 2026 08 07 total 2pt5	2	$45	29	29	+0	Over	+$12	08-07 17:36
mlb sd ari 2026 08 06 nrfi	2	$45	43	43	+0	Yes	-$1	08-06 16:56
Panathinaikos vs. Fenerbahce	16	$45	44	44	+0	Panathinaikos	+$1	10-08 18:30
mlb oak min 2026 07 26 nrfi	2	$45	29	29	+0	Yes	+$13	07-26 19:42
BC Dubai vs. KK Crvena Zvezda	19	$43	51	51	+0	KK Crvena Zvezda	+$2	10-08 16:32
cze1 art fmb 2026 07 27 total 2pt5	2	$42	27	27	+0	Over	+$13	07-27 16:28
col pyu deb 2026 07 30 total 2pt5	2	$42	27	27	+0	Under	+$12	07-30 17:45
mlb mia nym 2026 07 30 nrfi	1	$42	93	0	+93	No	-$42	07-30 15:05
swe2 ost vbg 2026 07 27 total 3pt5	1	$41	70	0	+70	Under	+$29	07-27 13:03
mlb cws bos 2026 08 06 nrfi	2	$41	41	41	+0	No	-$1	08-06 16:56
es2 cor gir 2026 08 21 total 2pt5	1	$41	74	0	+74	Over	+$33	08-21 12:12
col zri val 2026 07 30 total 3pt5	1	$40	68	0	+68	Over	-$40	07-30 17:39
Real Madrid vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne	8	$40	40	40	+0	Real Madrid	+$1	10-15 19:31
mlb stl nym 2026 06 10 nrfi	1	$40	79	0	+79	Yes	+$40	06-10 06:41
den ran sif 2026 07 27 total 2pt5	1	$39	66	0	+66	Under	-$39	07-27 09:59
kbo nc doo 2026 08 05	2	$39	46	46	+0	Doosan Bears	+$0	08-06 16:56
pol sla cze 2026 08 02 total 2pt5	2	$38	25	25	+0	Over	+$11	08-02 20:56
mlb oak cin 2026 08 05	1	$38	93	0	+93	Cincinnati Reds	-$38	08-05 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 04:40:59	Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun	Maria Timofeeva	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x311f84…
10-29 04:33:50	Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Katerina Siniakova	Katerina Siniakova	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x62955a…
10-29 04:31:58	Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Katerina Siniakova	Claire Liu	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x750083…
10-29 04:25:25	Guangzhou Open: Jil Teichmann vs Zeynep Sonmez	Jil Teichmann	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x6cb222…
10-29 04:23:58	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Fajing Sun	Fajing Sun	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x84fe38…
10-29 04:21:08	Seoul: Alibek Kachmazov vs Seong-Chan Hong	Alibek Kachmazov	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xc38b2c…
10-29 03:21:55	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x5d103b…
10-29 02:41:04	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xd8a171…
10-29 02:35:14	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xaa0b90…
10-29 02:05:38	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Taro Daniel	Terence Atmane	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x2aac83…
10-29 01:51:22	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x6f7149…
10-29 01:46:02	Seoul: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Coleman Wong	Stefanos Sakellaridis	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x5dd9f6…
10-29 01:43:01	Seoul: Terence Atmane vs Taro Daniel	Terence Atmane	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x88facb…
10-29 01:17:10	Lakers vs. Clippers	Lakers	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x363b94…
10-29 00:50:31	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x368088…
10-29 00:15:22	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x56236d…
10-29 00:12:32	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xffc944…
10-29 00:11:43	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0xc519c6…
10-29 00:11:08	Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x5641d3…
10-29 00:08:23	Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State	New Mexico State	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x4ed70b…
10-29 00:01:38	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x1c908e…
10-28 23:57:11	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x987f25…
10-28 23:55:08	Sioux Falls: Jenson Brooksby vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd92292…
10-28 23:47:16	Sioux Falls: Jenson Brooksby vs Dylan Dietrich	Jenson Brooksby	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x85b289…
10-28 23:47:08	Nuggets vs. Pelicans	Nuggets	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x7548a6…
10-28 23:42:49	Magic vs. Raptors	Magic	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x6aec2f…
10-28 23:38:53	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x0037a4…
10-28 23:15:16	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xa6e3de…
10-28 23:14:01	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xbef008…
10-28 23:10:14	Knicks vs. Bulls	Bulls	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xd39675…
10-28 23:09:16	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x202384…
10-28 23:06:50	Magic vs. Raptors	Magic	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xe39c6c…
10-28 23:03:55	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Kennesaw State	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x5c4a8e…
10-28 23:03:28	Queretaro: Selena Janicijevic vs Elizabeth Mandlik	Elizabeth Mandlik	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe48876…
10-28 22:58:13	Flames vs. Oilers	Flames	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xa4a533…
10-28 22:52:25	Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State	New Mexico State	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xb92875…
10-28 22:45:08	Hornets vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x100ac9…
10-28 22:44:08	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Kennesaw State	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf7f875…
10-28 22:20:47	Sioux Falls: Mees Rottgering vs Kaylan Bigun	Kaylan Bigun	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xaa8c2d…
10-28 22:18:37	Sioux Falls: Mees Rottgering vs Kaylan Bigun	Mees Rottgering	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0xe7df9d…
10-28 22:18:37	Sioux Falls: Mees Rottgering vs Kaylan Bigun	Mees Rottgering	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0xafe04d…
10-28 22:18:26	Sioux Falls: Mees Rottgering vs Kaylan Bigun	Mees Rottgering	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xbc5462…
10-28 22:15:16	Hornets vs. Pistons	Hornets	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xe2b9bf…
10-28 22:14:04	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x204083…
10-28 22:12:58	76ers vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xec4e65…
10-28 21:55:53	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xd0a044…
10-28 21:54:56	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x6d191d…
10-28 21:50:49	Queretaro: Carmen Andreea Herea vs Carole Monnet	Carmen Andreea Herea	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xce1db7…
10-28 21:50:10	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xaaec1d…
10-28 19:15:56	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon	Joaquin Aguilar	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xac41d2…
10-28 18:55:55	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon	Joaquin Aguilar	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xd48eb2…
10-28 18:44:58	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon	Joaquin Aguilar	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x1614a6…
10-28 18:43:26	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon	Joaquin Aguilar	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x5425d1…
10-28 17:48:02	KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Barys Astana	Barys Astana	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x70954a…
10-28 17:05:47	KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Barys Astana	Barys Astana	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x15f442…
10-28 16:39:52	KHL: Dinamo Minsk vs. Barys Astana	Barys Astana	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x71adba…
10-28 16:25:37	KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Avangard Omsk	Avangard Omsk	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xab2046…
10-28 15:48:34	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Werner	Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xfe5261…
10-28 15:48:31	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Werner	Elsa Jacquemot	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x1534d9…
10-28 15:03:58	KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Avangard Omsk	Avangard Omsk	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2bb3d9…
10-28 14:46:05	Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Miguel Tobon	Joaquin Aguilar	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xf3b8c5…
10-28 14:38:37	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Lorenzo Musetti	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x2276c8…
10-28 14:28:50	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x245436…
10-28 13:53:43	Brest: Clement Tabur vs Filippo Romano	Filippo Romano	SELL	10	29¢	$3	0xbb38b2…
10-28 13:42:32	Brest: Clement Tabur vs Filippo Romano	Filippo Romano	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x4118fa…
10-28 13:19:31	Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud	Nuno Borges	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xf6b041…
10-28 13:11:22	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x26b0fb…
10-28 13:06:44	Swiss Indoors Basel: Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalov	Denis Shapovalov	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x845598…
10-28 13:04:20	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Werner	Elsa Jacquemot	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x715661…
10-28 13:02:53	Courmayeur: Laura Mair vs Katarina Zavatska	Katarina Zavatska	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xef414b…
10-28 13:02:22	Swiss Indoors Basel: Remy Bertola vs Denis Shapovalov	Denis Shapovalov	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x42ec5c…
10-28 12:53:07	Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Werner	Elsa Jacquemot	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x93b68e…
10-28 12:45:25	Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniel Merida Aguilar	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x974e90…
10-28 12:44:10	Brest: Borna Gojo vs Dino Prizmic	Borna Gojo	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf3b8cf…
10-28 12:40:58	Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud	Nuno Borges	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd02eae…
10-28 12:02:34	Brest: Borna Gojo vs Dino Prizmic	Borna Gojo	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x0aeecd…
10-28 11:57:10	Courmayeur: Laura Mair vs Katarina Zavatska	Laura Mair	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa32eb7…
10-28 11:28:23	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Han Shi	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x41e095…
10-28 11:00:38	Swiss Indoors Basel: Yannick Hanfmann vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x26d6cf…
10-28 10:55:16	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shanxi Loongs	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x64c2b9…
10-28 10:51:05	Brest: Inaki Montes vs Toby Samuel	Toby Samuel	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x8dedcc…
10-28 10:49:52	Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniel Merida Aguilar	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x8a6d07…
10-28 10:48:13	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x0b8992…
10-28 10:48:11	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x8d3527…
10-28 10:47:07	Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato	Robin Montgomery	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1a856f…
10-28 10:22:28	Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato	Robin Montgomery	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x76c4d9…
10-28 10:03:05	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0xf7d4b9…
10-28 10:03:04	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xe4ec4d…
10-28 09:37:29	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Han Shi	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xc87e32…
10-28 09:36:47	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x36b605…
10-28 09:33:05	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x74abe6…
10-28 09:30:37	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x84c6ea…
10-28 08:49:07	Daegu Pegasus vs. Wonju DB Promy	Wonju DB Promy	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x203737…
10-28 08:44:10	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson	Alexandra Eala	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xbb062f…
10-28 08:34:02	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Janice Tjen	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xba8f10…
10-28 08:31:59	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Janice Tjen	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x8b5de7…
10-28 08:29:47	Brest: Inaki Montes vs Toby Samuel	Toby Samuel	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xa91312…
10-28 08:00:08	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Harriet Dart	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xe2b487…
10-28 07:23:11	Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Sinja Kraus	Sinja Kraus	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa05e31…
10-28 06:43:55	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x03a2c9…