Deep-Deliberation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.08K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

140

Trades

251

lifetime

Volume

$30.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 11-06 13:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

79% 51% -$331

Crypto

14% 44% -$510

Sports

7% 50% -$235

Politics

0% 33% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$3.0K	1,728	1,728	+0	No	+$384	05-27 17:56
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total home 0pt5	2	$2.2K	1,163	1,163	+0	Over	+$162	07-10 19:45
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 0pt5	2	$1.8K	998	998	+0	Over	+$149	07-09 22:12
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 1pt5	2	$1.8K	1,083	1,083	+0	Over	+$344	07-15 20:54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.7K	2,132	2,132	+0	No	-$34	07-18 17:05
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$840	1,214	1,214	+0	England	-$787	07-18 21:51
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	2	$785	441	441	+0	Yes	+$97	07-11 22:00
England vs. Czechia: England O/U 1.5	2	$754	410	410	+0	Over	+$65	10-06 19:30
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	2	$729	452	452	+0	Yes	+$173	07-09 22:12
France to score first vs. England?	3	$723	878	333	+545	No	-$330	07-18 15:57
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	2	$699	400	400	+0	Spain	+$99	07-10 21:01
France vs. Belgium: France O/U 0.5	2	$658	352	352	+0	Over	+$46	10-05 20:26
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?	2	$655	354	354	+0	Yes	+$53	10-04 20:41
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total home 0pt5	2	$652	358	358	+0	Over	+$64	07-12 03:02
lal ray ala 2026 08 20 total 2pt5	2	$456	258	258	+0	Under	+$59	08-20 21:06
Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?	2	$383	260	260	+0	Yes	+$137	11-02 20:34
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-17?	1	$375	568	0	+568	Yes	+$193	07-17 09:36
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	2	$369	211	211	+0	Argentina	+$53	07-12 03:47
Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	2	$358	200	200	+0	Under	+$42	08-28 20:56
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 corners total 8pt5	2	$346	217	217	+0	Over	+$86	07-09 22:12
FK Bodø/Glimt to score first vs. NEC?	2	$311	204	204	+0	Yes	+$92	08-19 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$303	218	218	+0	Up	+$103	05-27 18:29
Spain to win the second half?	2	$300	200	200	+0	Yes	+$100	07-10 21:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 15:25 UTC	2	$287	189	189	+0	Down	+$87	07-09 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	6	$278	270	232	+38	Down	-$2	05-27 18:12
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?	2	$261	231	231	+0	Yes	+$201	07-09 22:12
Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	2	$242	153	153	+0	Yes	+$64	10-06 20:47
Bayern Munich to score first vs. Borussia Dortmund?	2	$241	146	146	+0	Yes	+$48	08-22 19:56
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	2	$225	147	147	+0	Yes	+$69	07-09 22:13
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5	2	$223	135	135	+0	Over	+$47	08-30 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 13:35:55	Will Qarabag FK win on 2026-11-06?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x6bef97…
11-02 20:34:12	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	260	100¢	$260	0xbc22a4…
11-02 11:20:24	Will Hapoel Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	260	47¢	$123	0xfa785e…
10-07 15:49:16	Will FC Inter Turku win on 2026-10-07?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x97ade5…
10-06 20:47:26	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0x4d052c…
10-06 20:08:12	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	153	58¢	$89	0x732222…
10-06 19:30:44	England vs. Czechia: England O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	410	100¢	$410	0x853f05…
10-05 23:13:04	England vs. Czechia: England O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	410	84¢	$344	0x6072c5…
10-05 20:28:19	France vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0x463479…
10-05 20:26:02	France vs. Belgium: France O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	352	100¢	$352	0x3837b7…
10-05 19:14:28	France vs. Belgium: France O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	352	87¢	$306	0x3a9051…
10-05 00:14:02	Will New Mexico United win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0xee48ce…
10-04 21:59:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xea2699…
10-04 21:56:29	Will New Mexico United win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	117	42¢	$49	0xd20501…
10-04 21:53:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa98687…
10-04 20:41:38	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	SELL	354	100¢	$354	0xb95f68…
10-04 18:55:19	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	354	85¢	$301	0xb7caee…
10-03 20:46:07	United States to score first vs. Mexico?	Yes	BUY	146	48¢	$70	0x29a7e7…
09-04 22:23:37	New York City FC vs. Nashville SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	275	80¢	$220	0x59b832…
09-03 08:16:33	Hapoel Tel Aviv FC vs. Beitar Jerusalem FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	168	62¢	$105	0x0a6c6a…
09-03 08:16:03	Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x0d5b60…
09-02 20:32:48	Will Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-02?	Yes	BUY	102	51¢	$52	0x026768…
09-01 21:49:49	Al Hilal Saudi Club to score first vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club?	Yes	SELL	127	85¢	$108	0xae6d8e…
09-01 17:44:58	Al Hilal Saudi Club to score first vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club?	Yes	BUY	127	70¢	$89	0xf4074a…
09-01 17:23:31	Will Hamburg-Eimsbütteler BC win on 2026-09-01?	Yes	BUY	849	1¢	$8	0xf6b968…
09-01 16:45:33	Will Torino FC win on 2026-09-01?	Yes	BUY	130	60¢	$78	0xcf5494…
08-31 22:12:12	bitcoin above 78k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	185	79¢	$146	0xbf728f…
08-31 21:22:06	Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	102	46¢	$47	0xdebcd6…
08-31 00:30:57	Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	56	59¢	$33	0xc39f67…
08-30 23:58:46	St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xda02ae…
08-30 23:02:30	St. Louis City SC vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	85	62¢	$53	0x2c568a…
08-30 20:43:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xda458a…
08-30 20:05:18	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x32e85f…
08-30 19:47:33	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	135	65¢	$88	0xd15aa9…
08-30 19:37:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xec26e6…
08-30 18:37:58	AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	91	56¢	$51	0x12f364…
08-30 18:36:52	Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x47f3f3…
08-30 17:42:40	Will Hapoel Haifa FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	148	25¢	$37	0xa01030…
08-30 15:57:33	Will Union Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	143	56¢	$80	0xf49cc7…
08-28 21:08:42	Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	51	57¢	$29	0xd221e1…
08-28 20:56:06	Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x1c4ec3…
08-28 20:46:40	Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xc59daf…
08-25 23:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xbaee6e…
08-25 23:26:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5dd2a0…
08-25 23:16:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x070d6e…
08-25 23:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:10 UTC	Up	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x806abf…
08-25 22:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x9ccea2…
08-25 22:51:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x5d13ae…
08-25 22:41:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xe6d35b…
08-25 22:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:35 UTC	Down	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x201cf7…
08-25 22:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:35 UTC	Down	BUY	95	50¢	$47	0xc1d979…
08-25 22:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x7f4710…
08-25 22:21:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:20 UTC	Down	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x773980…
08-25 22:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x15720f…
08-24 22:24:28	CA Tigre to score first vs. CA Central Córdoba?	Yes	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x92642d…
08-24 21:34:25	CA Tigre to score first vs. CA Central Córdoba?	Yes	BUY	96	65¢	$62	0x563dec…
08-24 21:21:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:25 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xa73327…
08-24 20:52:15	Botafogo FR vs. CA Paranaense: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x1225c9…
08-24 20:51:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x199a0d…
08-24 20:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:50 UTC	Down	SELL	39	71¢	$28	0xf56655…
08-24 20:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xfaca57…
08-24 20:49:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0f9a95…
08-24 20:46:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	196	43¢	$84	0xa679c9…
08-24 20:43:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x8fbbb8…
08-24 20:37:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xb1849a…
08-24 14:18:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x459531…
08-24 14:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x981684…
08-23 21:31:46	Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	102	58¢	$59	0xa2f2df…
08-22 19:56:18	Bayern Munich to score first vs. Borussia Dortmund?	Yes	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0x603250…
08-22 15:48:55	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	152	79¢	$120	0x6b9463…
08-22 13:03:03	Bayern Munich to score first vs. Borussia Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	146	66¢	$97	0x6771fb…
08-22 12:58:28	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	152	65¢	$99	0x2326e8…
08-22 12:57:37	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xca2385…
08-20 21:33:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:40 UTC	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x392852…
08-20 21:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x540357…
08-20 21:16:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:10 UTC	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe5058a…
08-20 21:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf1bcfa…
08-20 21:06:55	lal ray ala 2026 08 20 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	258	100¢	$257	0x709116…
08-20 20:27:33	lal ray ala 2026 08 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	258	77¢	$198	0x8eae8f…
08-19 19:40:13	ucl hbs sf 2026 08 19 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	134	54¢	$72	0xb13379…
08-19 19:35:46	ucl hbs sf 2026 08 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	134	60¢	$80	0x7b02fa…
08-19 19:32:34	FK Bodø/Glimt to score first vs. NEC?	Yes	SELL	204	99¢	$202	0xbe989b…
08-19 18:19:30	FK Bodø/Glimt to score first vs. NEC?	Yes	BUY	204	54¢	$109	0x12b503…
07-25 14:32:03	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	No	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0xa6e6f6…
07-25 14:31:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x250d63…
07-22 21:45:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x9dd409…
07-18 21:52:00	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	101	26¢	$27	0xc2da01…
07-18 21:51:09	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	1,214	2¢	$27	0xc5b8e9…
07-18 17:06:58	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	1,214	67¢	$814	0xd21dae…
07-18 17:05:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,132	40¢	$855	0xfcf946…
07-18 16:04:36	atp gurri villanu 2026 07 18	Gonzalo Villanueva	BUY	93	69¢	$64	0x1afe28…
07-18 15:57:13	France to score first vs. England?	Yes	BUY	545	60¢	$327	0xc1f7d6…
07-18 15:56:39	atp gurri villanu 2026 07 18	Gonzalo Villanueva	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xbe7e5c…
07-18 15:34:01	Will Lillestrøm SK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	128	54¢	$69	0x068b4c…
07-17 09:36:12	Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-17?	Yes	BUY	568	66¢	$375	0x7c2f66…
07-17 09:35:34	France to score first vs. England?	Yes	SELL	333	59¢	$196	0xa0295e…
07-16 19:47:17	Botafogo FR to score first vs. Santos FC?	Yes	BUY	123	57¢	$70	0x0d6753…
07-16 19:42:01	Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xf4d828…
07-16 19:19:16	uel dec csk1 2026 07 16 btts	Yes	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x22e4cc…
07-16 18:07:04	Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-07-16?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x2038c8…