Realized P&L
+$7
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
64.9%
Resolved
10
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$597
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$97
1 position
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-14 09:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
56%
33%
$0
Politics
23%
100%
+$3
Other
21%
100%
+$4
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-14).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | No | -99 | -$96 | 98¢ | $-97 | -$1 | 07-14 09:12 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | 6 | $142 | 59 | 84 | -25 | No | $0 | 02-25 07:41 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | 1 | $96 | 0 | 99 | -99 | open | — | 07-14 09:12 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 2 | $72 | 73 | 0 | +73 | Yes | +$1 | 01-31 20:24 |
| Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? | 3 | $65 | 33 | 33 | +0 | No | +$0 | 02-11 09:42 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 4 | $65 | 66 | 0 | +66 | No | +$1 | 02-07 14:25 |
| us strike on colombia by january 31 | 3 | $35 | 36 | 0 | +36 | No | +$1 | 01-12 07:34 |
| will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026 | 2 | $34 | 17 | 17 | +0 | No | $0 | 02-19 13:59 |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.10? | 2 | $24 | 24 | 0 | +24 | No | +$0 | 01-26 08:09 |
| another critical cloudflare incident by january 31 | 2 | $23 | 26 | 0 | +26 | No | +$3 | 01-21 22:20 |
| us strike on colombia by march 31 | 2 | $22 | 12 | 12 | +0 | No | +$1 | 02-15 02:58 |
| will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 2pt5 | 1 | $19 | 19 | 0 | +19 | No | +$0 | 01-11 01:58 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||