Known-Overhead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

217

Trades

2,217

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 05-12 15:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 67% $-73

Other

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 383 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol gen dnf 2026 04 23	42	$1.9K	13,115	12,753	+362	open	—	04-23 08:30
Games Total: O/U 2.5	14	$120	109	108	+1	open	—	04-23 08:30
btc updown 15m 1776797100	20	$91	560	0	+560	open	—	04-21 18:59
btc updown 5m 1774517700	1	$83	224	0	+224	open	—	03-26 09:39
eth updown 5m 1774533000	2	$73	233	0	+233	open	—	03-26 13:52
btc updown 5m 1774920300	1	$73	392	0	+392	open	—	03-31 01:27
btc updown 5m 1774600800	2	$72	538	0	+538	open	—	03-27 08:42
eth updown 15m 1774977300	2	$71	210	0	+210	open	—	03-31 17:17
btc updown 15m 1774977300	2	$70	228	0	+228	open	—	03-31 17:23
eth updown 5m 1774905300	2	$66	210	0	+210	open	—	03-30 21:17
eth updown 5m 1774608000	2	$66	294	0	+294	open	—	03-27 10:42
eth updown 15m 1774546200	1	$65	192	0	+192	open	—	03-26 17:42
eth updown 15m 1774905300	1	$65	186	0	+186	open	—	03-30 21:17
btc updown 15m 1775009700	1	$64	211	0	+211	open	—	04-01 02:25
eth updown 5m 1774615200	1	$63	243	0	+243	open	—	03-27 12:42
btc updown 15m 1775057400	2	$62	192	0	+192	open	—	04-01 15:44
eth updown 5m 1774625700	1	$61	178	0	+178	open	—	03-27 15:39
eth updown 15m 1775078100	1	$58	181	0	+181	open	—	04-01 21:22
eth updown 15m 1775094300	1	$56	165	0	+165	open	—	04-02 01:54
eth updown 15m 1775096100	1	$54	154	0	+154	open	—	04-02 02:17
btc updown 5m 1774918200	3	$47	599	0	+599	open	—	03-31 00:54
btc updown 15m 1774654200	2	$46	34	34	+1	open	—	03-27 23:42
btc updown 15m 1776356100	4	$41	36	36	+0	open	—	04-16 16:29
eth updown 5m 1774564200	1	$40	133	0	+133	open	—	03-26 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	18	$38	80	0	+80	open	—	05-02 12:08
btc updown 15m 1774648800	2	$37	79	0	+79	open	—	03-27 22:02
btc updown 5m 1776396300	5	$34	68	68	+0	open	—	04-17 03:29
btc updown 15m 1776355200	3	$33	30	30	+0	open	—	04-16 16:14
btc updown 5m 1776357900	4	$33	35	35	+0	open	—	04-16 16:49
btc updown 15m 1774822500	8	$31	35	25	+10	open	—	03-29 22:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 15:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xaa644d…
05-12 14:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcb036e…
05-12 14:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb3de72…
05-12 14:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x585377…
05-12 14:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x543ef6…
05-12 14:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6d0582…
05-12 14:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x874fb3…
05-12 14:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3e0c5b…
05-12 07:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x3f0f37…
05-12 07:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc3408b…
05-12 07:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x643692…
05-12 07:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdda447…
05-12 07:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7f5c33…
05-12 07:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x2aec46…
05-12 07:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xea83fc…
05-12 07:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x22c5e1…
05-12 07:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x21f9ef…
05-12 07:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd95490…
05-12 07:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe22ebf…
05-12 07:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc30fd8…
05-12 07:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x978af4…
05-12 07:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfecf18…
05-12 07:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe4f6b4…
05-12 07:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x93492d…
05-12 07:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe83d4d…
05-12 07:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfc8252…
05-12 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6e4f58…
05-12 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x5f3e6c…
05-12 06:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x48c361…
05-12 06:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfc5295…
05-12 06:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x39de9b…
05-12 06:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xb69e6e…
05-12 06:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xf37418…
05-12 06:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x8f961c…
05-12 06:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xa4f62e…
05-12 06:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xff6c7f…
05-12 06:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc4b002…
05-12 06:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x66aca3…
05-12 06:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcb8ec5…
05-12 06:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x0979f9…
05-12 06:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x7f7ee6…
05-12 06:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x469b20…
05-12 06:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x9ca0b7…
05-12 06:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfe86f2…
05-12 06:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1df329…
05-12 06:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3215bf…
05-12 06:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbd8c11…
05-12 06:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x8f1793…
05-12 06:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x0402ea…
05-12 06:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf91778…
05-12 06:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0xcbaa22…
05-12 06:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x6e17a0…
05-12 05:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xe5f05f…
05-12 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7d0ed1…
05-12 05:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x002ce6…
05-12 05:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaac72d…
05-12 05:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5ef62f…
05-12 05:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0x0eff1a…
05-12 05:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc1b450…
05-12 05:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfefbeb…
05-12 05:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x7cba32…
05-12 05:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd2d021…
05-12 05:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2f7cd3…
05-12 05:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0xe0ad52…
05-12 05:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x1f5713…
05-12 05:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xe6b925…
05-12 05:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xa19f2f…
05-12 05:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x88edf5…
05-12 05:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x210746…
05-12 05:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x870c95…
05-12 05:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcb891c…
05-12 05:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xfa0cca…
05-12 05:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xebaa60…
05-12 05:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x91824d…
05-12 05:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xdea9fd…
05-12 05:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x13b9e9…
05-12 05:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x2f522c…
05-12 05:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7642a8…
05-12 05:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x9ec297…
05-12 05:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xb6e824…
05-12 05:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x4e20c6…
05-12 05:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x7ac090…
05-12 05:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xb098b3…
05-12 04:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x3b239d…
05-12 04:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xc22aa5…
05-12 04:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x42445d…
05-12 04:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x809c02…
05-12 04:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x65a6e4…
05-12 04:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xd3da05…
05-12 04:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x5aa70e…
05-12 04:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0f783d…
05-12 04:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x005eca…
05-12 04:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x3b950f…
05-12 04:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x97f6ba…
05-12 04:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x8fe512…
05-12 04:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x4d3eed…
05-12 04:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x5580ad…
05-12 04:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x60f8fb…
05-12 04:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x11cabf…
05-12 04:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xdae2be…