Orderly-Hen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.9%

Resolved

208

Trades

425

lifetime

Volume

$372.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$876

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-28 12:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Sports

70% 31% -$31,059

Crypto

16% 40% -$8,620

Other

14% 22% -$28,398

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba mia chi 2026 01 29 points jalen smith 12pt5	16	$65.6K	120,932	120,932	+0	No	+$55,365	01-30 01:16
nfl ne den 2026 01 25 spread away 5pt5	5	$39.8K	90,500	0	+90,500	Broncos	-$39,778	01-25 18:52
cbb cencon stnh 2026 01 26	3	$20.7K	39,828	11	+39,817	Stonehill Skyhawks	-$20,695	01-26 23:49
nba chi mia 2026 01 31 spread home 6pt5	2	$15.8K	33,723	0	+33,723	Bulls	-$15,850	01-31 21:22
nba atl lal 2026 01 13	2	$15.7K	13,793	13,793	+0	Lakers	-$276	01-13 22:07
nba chi hou 2026 01 13 total 225pt5	3	$13.5K	13,462	13,462	+0	Over	-$513	01-13 22:06
nba chi mia 2026 01 31 spread home 4pt5	1	$11.0K	19,989	0	+19,989	Bulls	-$10,994	01-31 21:12
nba chi hou 2026 01 13 total 224pt5	2	$6.9K	7,180	7,180	+0	Over	-$107	01-13 22:06
nba sas okc 2026 01 13 spread home 6pt5	2	$5.3K	6,585	6,585	+0	Thunder	-$65	01-13 22:06
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik	2	$5.2K	3,428	3,428	+0	Jakub Mensik	+$1,642	05-27 17:29
nba bos chi 2026 01 24 total 231pt5	1	$5.2K	9,941	0	+9,941	Under	-$5,200	01-24 20:47
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev	2	$5.1K	3,111	3,111	+0	Andrey Rublev	+$1,117	05-25 19:12
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul	2	$3.9K	2,739	2,739	+0	Tommy Paul	+$1,613	05-22 18:17
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$3.8K	2,445	2,445	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$1,098	05-19 18:04
nba nyk sac 2026 01 14 total 231pt5	1	$3.6K	7,508	0	+7,508	Under	-$3,594	01-14 13:51
mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	1	$3.6K	7,976	0	+7,976	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$4,387	06-05 00:10
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$3.5K	9,440	0	+9,440	Knicks	+$5,947	06-03 16:02
cbb uk vand 2026 01 27	1	$3.3K	13,200	0	+13,200	Vanderbilt Commodores	-$3,300	01-26 23:44
nba orl mem 2026 01 18	2	$3.1K	6,314	0	+6,314	Grizzlies	-$3,136	01-18 19:27
nba den was 2026 01 22	1	$2.9K	9,310	0	+9,310	Nuggets	-$2,886	01-22 23:31
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	1	$2.8K	4,854	0	+4,854	Minnesota Twins	+$2,087	06-01 17:45
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	1	$2.7K	6,571	0	+6,571	Golden Knights	+$3,877	06-02 15:43
mlb bos sea 2026 06 19 total 6pt5	1	$2.6K	5,460	0	+5,460	Over	-$2,621	06-20 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	6	$2.6K	4,402	1,368	+3,034	Down	-$1,084	10-27 21:04
nba cle cha 2026 01 21	1	$2.5K	5,976	0	+5,976	Cavaliers	-$2,510	01-21 21:15
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	10	$2.5K	3,102	3,102	+0	New York Yankees	-$217	05-27 17:32
nba mia gsw 2026 01 19	1	$2.4K	6,786	0	+6,786	Warriors	-$2,375	01-19 21:52
nhl tb chi 2026 01 23	1	$2.4K	8,741	0	+8,741	Lightning	-$2,360	01-23 23:30
mlb laa oak 2026 06 18 total 9pt5	1	$2.3K	4,946	0	+4,946	Under	+$2,671	06-19 00:38
nba lal den 2026 01 20	1	$2.3K	5,134	0	+5,134	Lakers	-$2,259	01-20 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	885	3¢	$28	0xce2f7c…
10-28 12:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2,823	3¢	$72	0x5cbf4b…
10-28 12:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0x839d4b…
10-28 12:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x9367a3…
10-28 12:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0xa3d5c3…
10-28 12:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x818627…
10-28 12:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x31d743…
10-28 12:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1,445	3¢	$43	0xc1175d…
10-28 12:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	207	35¢	$72	0x1f6609…
10-28 12:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0x4f512e…
10-28 12:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	201	36¢	$72	0x51560a…
10-28 12:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	254	39¢	$100	0x808f0b…
10-28 12:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	251	40¢	$100	0xaae081…
10-28 12:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xd8e76c…
10-28 12:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x71230b…
10-28 12:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x33b9d0…
10-28 12:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	260	39¢	$100	0x0f026b…
10-28 12:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x0440c4…
10-28 12:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x3482ef…
10-28 12:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1,193	2¢	$24	0x8f4c96…
10-28 12:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xf11763…
10-28 12:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xa27bfd…
10-28 12:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x6f9083…
10-28 12:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xaf959e…
10-28 12:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	180	55¢	$100	0x78b4c4…
10-28 12:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x80a250…
10-28 12:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xd2b9aa…
10-28 12:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xac8812…
10-28 12:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	728	14¢	$100	0x05a333…
10-28 12:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	933	99¢	$924	0xc651bf…
10-28 12:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	308	32¢	$100	0x4cd00d…
10-28 12:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x8de228…
10-28 12:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x4a3b26…
10-28 12:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	745	100¢	$744	0xeb9544…
10-28 12:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x7c41f3…
10-28 12:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x6c1bdd…
10-28 12:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x19769b…
10-28 12:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xeca31d…
10-28 12:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb893b5…
10-28 12:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb5b3aa…
10-28 12:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x05108b…
10-28 12:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	796	99¢	$788	0x05ec76…
10-28 12:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x38cbbe…
10-28 12:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x8788a8…
10-28 12:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x3dae9a…
10-28 12:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	178	56¢	$100	0x222925…
10-28 12:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	408	25¢	$100	0x281665…
10-28 11:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	577	99¢	$571	0x99fd81…
10-28 11:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xddbbda…
10-28 11:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xf98e5e…
10-28 11:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	151	66¢	$100	0xda4c5e…
10-28 11:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x1f5aca…
10-28 11:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	541	5¢	$27	0xf3c6b3…
10-28 11:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x7ae1a1…
10-28 11:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x40b21c…
10-28 11:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	537	19¢	$100	0xea01b0…
10-28 11:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	519	19¢	$100	0x1471b6…
10-28 11:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x8feab6…
10-28 11:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	349	29¢	$100	0x41b01c…
10-28 11:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	282	35¢	$100	0x2de230…
10-28 11:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xcfe1a0…
10-28 11:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x6bbe2d…
10-28 11:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	558	18¢	$100	0x1dcd18…
10-28 11:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	272	37¢	$100	0xcc9127…
10-28 11:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xc06374…
10-28 11:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x56ac7f…
10-28 11:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0x53fd5a…
10-28 11:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	211	47¢	$100	0x86b39e…
10-28 11:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x6fcfac…
10-28 11:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x262809…
10-28 11:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x50b8b9…
10-28 11:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	312	8¢	$25	0x6f24f5…
10-28 11:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x1b7911…
10-28 11:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x9b09d2…
10-28 11:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	327	31¢	$100	0x47ae58…
10-28 11:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xd949d5…
10-28 11:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xf01df6…
10-28 11:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x7aa129…
10-28 11:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	303	98¢	$297	0x8a8327…
10-28 11:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x48e18d…
10-28 11:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xb94417…
10-27 23:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0xd938e8…
10-27 23:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	860	58¢	$500	0xc22ba1…
10-27 23:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0x3cd05d…
10-27 23:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	834	27¢	$225	0x11a1e9…
10-27 23:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0x561f38…
10-27 23:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	834	60¢	$500	0xd71050…
10-27 23:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	943	7¢	$69	0x5abc7f…
10-27 23:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	943	53¢	$500	0x31317a…
10-27 23:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	794	79¢	$627	0x123cba…
10-27 23:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0x333a64…
10-27 23:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	853	60¢	$515	0x6c984e…
10-27 23:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	853	59¢	$500	0x11b31d…
10-27 23:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	895	75¢	$668	0x67d6be…
10-27 23:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	895	56¢	$500	0x7dd993…
10-27 23:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	213	89¢	$189	0xc4f7ea…
10-27 23:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	842	75¢	$634	0xd32b7d…
10-27 23:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	842	59¢	$500	0x86b464…
10-27 23:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	600	44¢	$266	0x18ed11…
10-27 23:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	813	62¢	$500	0x7bf3c2…