Sturdy-Inability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

143

Trades

1,706

lifetime

Volume

$52.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-19 02:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 96% +$54

Other

34% 85% $-46

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	4	$1.6K	827	827	+0	open	—	06-20 06:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	11	$1.5K	1,343	143	+1,199	open	—	05-01 03:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	6	$1.4K	728	728	+0	open	—	05-21 08:04
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?	9	$1.4K	691	690	+1	open	—	04-26 06:32
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	13	$1.0K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	05-29 13:35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	16	$970	1,048	0	+1,048	open	—	05-26 10:21
will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	3	$950	981	0	+981	open	—	06-20 06:59
will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	5	$930	969	0	+969	open	—	06-20 06:59
ethereum above 2200 on april 10	2	$887	444	444	+0	open	—	04-10 16:29
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	24	$874	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	05-04 01:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	18	$794	713	178	+535	open	—	05-29 07:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	8	$780	816	0	+816	open	—	05-16 12:21
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	3	$745	608	146	+462	open	—	06-12 06:44
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 April 27-May 3?	2	$603	303	303	+0	open	—	05-04 01:37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?	2	$600	636	0	+636	open	—	06-02 01:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	2	$600	610	0	+610	open	—	06-01 16:36
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 27c	6	$519	266	266	+1	open	—	04-17 04:22
will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	2	$500	514	0	+514	open	—	06-20 07:00
will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	2	$450	466	0	+466	open	—	06-20 07:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	6	$440	461	0	+461	open	—	05-12 06:05
highest temperature in hong kong on april 16 2026 26c	3	$424	217	217	+1	open	—	04-16 07:13
will ethereum dip to 1900 april 13 19	4	$400	417	0	+417	open	—	04-15 14:52
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?	2	$400	408	0	+408	open	—	06-01 17:19
highest temperature in hong kong on april 18 2026 31corhigher	6	$395	201	201	+0	open	—	04-18 15:52
highest temperature in hong kong on april 19 2026 31corhigher	9	$380	192	192	+0	open	—	04-20 01:44
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 9 2026 31corhigher	3	$379	195	194	+0	open	—	04-09 08:55
will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 7	3	$348	174	174	+0	open	—	04-07 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 26?	7	$341	172	172	+0	open	—	04-26 12:17
lol dk ns 2026 04 02 game2	6	$341	173	173	+0	open	—	04-02 09:44
lol dk ns 2026 04 02 game1	2	$335	169	169	+0	open	—	04-02 08:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 07:00:29	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xdb7615…
06-20 07:00:04	will ethereum dip to 1300 in june 2026	No	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xf14046…
06-20 06:59:58	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	214	93¢	$200	0xca3ba6…
06-20 06:59:34	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	333	96¢	$320	0x60e025…
06-20 06:58:46	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	SELL	827	99¢	$820	0x66a51f…
06-19 02:39:17	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x8a5a0e…
06-16 15:36:37	will ethereum dip to 1400 in june 2026	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x39f345…
06-15 12:40:36	eth updown 15m 1781526600	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x235aae…
06-15 12:40:28	eth updown 15m 1781526600	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xec2589…
06-14 03:24:39	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 spread away 1pt5	Australia	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x8dbd30…
06-13 07:36:46	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	Gen.G	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x21f841…
06-12 06:44:07	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0xabe4ba…
06-08 01:50:19	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in june 2026 352	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x244785…
06-06 01:19:03	lol dk bro2 2026 06 06 game handicap away 2pt5	HANJIN BRION	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xd7a2e2…
06-04 11:51:15	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0x398e9c…
06-03 03:45:48	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x49ba03…
06-02 14:10:42	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June?	No	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0x13d2e4…
06-02 07:51:36	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0376aa…
06-02 04:52:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xbbfae2…
06-02 01:14:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	No	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0x48aa26…
06-02 01:14:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xedd5c4…
06-02 01:13:44	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?	No	BUY	317	95¢	$300	0x8e48c0…
06-02 00:04:21	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?	No	BUY	319	94¢	$300	0x9379a3…
06-02 00:04:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xf04405…
06-02 00:03:54	Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?	No	BUY	308	98¢	$300	0x7f8266…
06-01 17:20:07	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x27037e…
06-01 17:19:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xb7a4b7…
06-01 17:16:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?	No	BUY	338	98¢	$330	0x7c8fca…
06-01 16:39:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?	No	BUY	412	97¢	$400	0xb25f07…
06-01 16:38:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x3e0bd0…
06-01 16:37:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	No	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0x26a49c…
06-01 16:36:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x23ef7a…
06-01 16:36:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?	No	BUY	305	98¢	$300	0x9ae0e6…
06-01 16:36:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?	No	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0xbcf947…
06-01 16:35:07	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfef1dc…
06-01 14:11:20	XRP Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x19c20d…
06-01 11:24:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	151	100¢	$150	0x614264…
05-31 11:25:14	LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner	Dplus KIA	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2222e1…
05-30 10:06:14	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x269708…
05-30 07:15:09	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	Anyone's Legend	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xa1051b…
05-30 01:28:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xb3de24…
05-29 13:35:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6c73bd…
05-29 07:51:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	178	89¢	$159	0x4396f4…
05-28 14:02:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xecc987…
05-28 01:12:41	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2	100 Thieves	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x339c26…
05-27 16:14:49	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0x1b8629…
05-27 16:12:36	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x84b36f…
05-27 13:07:31	LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8c7a58…
05-27 12:55:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0b390b…
05-27 12:51:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x61876a…
05-27 12:50:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x788e59…
05-27 02:18:18	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x0b4d32…
05-26 14:07:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x9664fe…
05-26 10:21:53	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x50b08e…
05-26 09:55:22	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x163a56…
05-25 16:16:14	LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x2c4415…
05-24 18:05:57	LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	FURIA Esports	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xec2472…
05-24 18:01:41	LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x511fd5…
05-24 17:16:57	LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs	Movistar KOI	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x0e402c…
05-24 15:17:43	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Weibo Gaming	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xec1f02…
05-24 14:35:43	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner	Weibo Gaming	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x465106…
05-24 12:37:25	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa1c719…
05-24 11:24:44	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x512820…
05-24 11:23:39	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa8befb…
05-24 10:27:55	LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 1 Winner	T1	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x9a7c58…
05-22 17:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfb8be9…
05-22 13:47:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xf5dd34…
05-22 13:03:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa009cb…
05-21 18:43:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xd43882…
05-21 18:29:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1d9b70…
05-21 18:25:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xccd241…
05-21 18:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa4b910…
05-21 18:13:44	doge updown 15m 1779386400	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf3819b…
05-21 18:13:44	doge updown 15m 1779386400	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xba4857…
05-21 18:11:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xa2dd15…
05-21 16:01:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xfb65a9…
05-21 15:35:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x432ab0…
05-21 15:22:37	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	81	100¢	$80	0x628c79…
05-21 13:07:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xe8a6e8…
05-21 13:07:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9fd5f9…
05-21 10:55:32	LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner	HANJIN BRION	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x702712…
05-21 10:30:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x000766…
05-21 09:12:30	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x15c60d…
05-21 09:12:21	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x5abd71…
05-21 08:27:03	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x2e84bc…
05-21 08:07:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?	No	BUY	232	95¢	$220	0x995d9a…
05-21 08:05:16	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	No	BUY	343	98¢	$336	0xb9f503…
05-21 08:04:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	SELL	728	99¢	$723	0xd12b64…
05-21 03:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcbd692…
05-21 03:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xb232ff…
05-21 02:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	30¢	$3	0x646f9a…
05-21 02:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x95b04e…
05-21 02:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbc00a9…
05-20 16:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x669f57…
05-20 16:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc553d8…
05-20 16:39:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa5948a…
05-20 16:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5e109c…
05-20 16:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xda3e85…
05-20 16:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xd20a4c…
05-20 16:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa8f763…