Exciting-Pot — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

279

Trades

281

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 15:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 83% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 14:28
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:47
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 09:56
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:47
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 17:07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:27
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 4?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-03 15:49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-04 16:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:34
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 07:07
highest temperature in wuhan on april 5 2026 27corhigher	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 09:20
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 23c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 16:31
highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 07:39
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 10:32
highest temperature in los angeles on april 1 2026 66 67f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 03:40
highest temperature in tokyo on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:57
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 10:24
highest temperature in san francisco on march 30 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:54
highest temperature in lucknow on march 30 2026 37c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on march 30 2026 22corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-30 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 15:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8f676…
11-02 13:59:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x535c93…
10-31 17:29:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfdd1ac…
10-31 09:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1ebd7…
10-30 10:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b67b3…
10-29 08:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35e7c4…
10-28 07:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a4364…
10-27 08:20:06	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc189bd…
10-26 09:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31493f…
10-22 10:08:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x107bc5…
10-20 07:28:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc15db6…
10-19 08:45:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cccf9…
10-18 09:04:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16c11a…
10-17 11:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefa278…
10-16 08:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25816e…
10-15 09:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf68667…
10-14 09:13:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe59d60…
10-13 08:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a4c79…
10-12 08:19:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf0405…
10-11 08:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0feea8…
10-08 08:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6241ce…
10-07 14:16:05	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ba87a…
10-06 07:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41ef1c…
10-04 14:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x360d4c…
10-03 05:47:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5abfb…
10-02 07:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa30caa…
10-01 08:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa728d5…
09-30 12:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec165c…
09-29 14:06:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb30e32…
09-28 09:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe19dad…
09-27 08:41:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57c065…
09-25 12:21:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78ea83…
09-24 08:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x910a38…
09-23 06:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x034085…
09-22 07:47:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c2568…
09-21 09:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ef8cf…
09-20 05:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ec6a5…
09-19 08:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41134f…
09-18 06:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd04fe2…
09-17 03:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd00c1d…
09-16 08:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf984b…
09-15 09:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e3339…
09-14 08:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x656476…
09-12 16:15:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x605332…
09-11 07:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d6be3…
09-10 04:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c5763…
09-09 09:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11fb84…
09-09 01:22:36	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf02d75…
09-08 02:32:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7960ba…
09-07 08:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98acd8…
09-06 17:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe00b6e…
09-06 09:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x470b02…
09-05 09:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1971db…
09-04 17:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d298f…
09-03 09:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x861327…
09-02 07:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x349e78…
08-30 08:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd03681…
08-29 07:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x779c74…
08-28 07:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x522c1e…
08-27 07:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x849578…
08-26 08:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38c6d6…
08-25 08:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11999f…
08-24 09:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc449d1…
08-23 14:43:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd77f7f…
08-22 08:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb77f6…
08-21 07:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x865c12…
08-20 08:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f6c16…
08-19 10:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7399f3…
08-18 08:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca2499…
08-17 07:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21f542…
08-16 11:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc79f9c…
08-15 09:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ec4c0…
08-14 06:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x315ec0…
08-13 07:45:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f97f0…
08-12 07:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x195660…
08-11 06:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd47e9a…
08-10 06:45:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38969e…
08-09 01:19:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x077bc2…
08-08 07:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c5afa…
08-07 01:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca0fbe…
08-06 06:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2e9c5…
08-05 07:47:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca295b…
08-04 08:09:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6fe20…
08-03 07:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f7f7b…
08-02 01:32:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x054b29…
08-01 06:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45e6af…
07-31 08:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8adc3…
07-30 06:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19f0c6…
07-29 06:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84579e…
07-28 06:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1005d…
07-27 08:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x910bae…
07-26 06:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x473626…
07-25 07:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d50d9…
07-24 09:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x292418…
07-23 07:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95b30d…
07-22 01:48:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41c983…
07-20 23:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09bdef…
07-20 07:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd62ed4…
07-18 22:43:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7902b…
07-18 00:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa01a1f…