Wild-Chrysalis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$231

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.7%

Resolved

1,176

Trades

3,084

lifetime

Volume

$9.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-22 02:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 74 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 56% -$184

Other

4% 38% -$34

Politics

2% 67% -$5

Sports

1% 25% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	24	$162	149	149	+0	Down	-$6	10-22 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	23	$160	115	115	+0	Down	+$2	10-22 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	16	$133	94	94	+0	Up	+$13	10-22 00:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 00:25 UTC	3	$108	58	58	+0	Up	+$6	06-08 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	9	$103	70	70	+0	Up	+$23	10-22 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	30	$101	99	99	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	21	$94	107	107	+0	Down	-$16	10-22 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	17	$92	61	61	+0	Up	+$8	10-22 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	18	$92	60	60	+0	Up	+$6	10-22 01:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:50 UTC	4	$75	51	51	+0	Up	+$15	06-09 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	18	$75	54	54	+0	Up	-$1	10-21 04:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:35 UTC	2	$61	94	0	+94	Down	+$33	06-09 01:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 22:35 UTC	6	$55	34	34	+0	Down	+$5	09-27 22:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 17:30 UTC	6	$54	46	46	+0	Up	+$8	06-11 17:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:35 UTC	2	$49	37	37	+0	Up	+$9	06-12 06:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 22:45 UTC	7	$49	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	06-20 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 05:05 UTC	4	$49	49	49	+0	Up	-$1	06-28 05:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 14:45 UTC	4	$46	64	54	+10	Down	-$23	06-09 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 23:20 UTC	8	$45	77	77	+0	Up	+$3	09-27 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 17:05 UTC	4	$43	31	27	+3	Up	+$11	06-08 17:08
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	4	$42	180	152	+28	No	+$15	02-10 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	5	$41	31	31	+0	Up	+$9	09-05 04:23
James Comey arrested by April 29?	4	$41	171	171	+0	Yes	-$37	04-29 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	25	$41	36	36	+0	Down	+$3	10-21 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	8	$41	37	37	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 00:20 UTC	6	$41	32	32	+0	Up	+$7	09-28 00:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 05:25 UTC	4	$40	28	28	+0	Up	+$10	06-12 05:29
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$40	25	25	+0	Yes	+$2	02-25 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	21	$39	30	30	+0	Up	+$3	10-21 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 23:10 UTC	7	$37	39	27	+12	Up	+$1	09-27 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 02:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	70	90¢	$63	0x786333…
10-22 02:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x89f0a1…
10-22 02:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x086b9b…
10-22 02:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xed5a87…
10-22 02:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x07ac2e…
10-22 02:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	45	3¢	$2	0x7f2aa0…
10-22 02:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0ee04e…
10-22 02:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe3057b…
10-22 02:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x282c3b…
10-22 02:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x953085…
10-22 02:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x335e13…
10-22 02:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xef4794…
10-22 02:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x11fccb…
10-22 02:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x2224de…
10-22 02:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xbf1e6b…
10-22 02:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x2c7c05…
10-22 02:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0xa99b49…
10-22 02:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x66c73d…
10-22 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x732840…
10-22 02:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5785fe…
10-22 02:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x31f751…
10-22 02:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5da3cf…
10-22 02:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0992ab…
10-22 02:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	41	13¢	$5	0x8e372a…
10-22 02:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0xf25576…
10-22 02:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7fa378…
10-22 02:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6a6411…
10-22 02:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xafed11…
10-22 02:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd71ce9…
10-22 02:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x49febf…
10-22 02:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x575f79…
10-22 02:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0xc59ecf…
10-22 02:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfbf21f…
10-22 01:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc5c5f1…
10-22 01:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8b2c59…
10-22 01:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9604ba…
10-22 01:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x05ef29…
10-22 01:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xce931a…
10-22 01:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9c5e0b…
10-22 01:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x80abc9…
10-22 01:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4a7ab9…
10-22 01:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd37b3c…
10-22 01:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	91¢	$21	0xfa79e5…
10-22 01:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1f317b…
10-22 01:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x83bfca…
10-22 01:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x0fce99…
10-22 01:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2a5348…
10-22 01:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	39	76¢	$30	0x58baa0…
10-22 01:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5807f4…
10-22 01:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x462b34…
10-22 01:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x17e2da…
10-22 01:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfedc6c…
10-22 01:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x16f123…
10-22 01:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd85836…
10-22 01:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x64cce6…
10-22 01:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	33	32¢	$10	0x2de5e6…
10-22 01:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1dd822…
10-22 01:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf31aed…
10-22 01:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x42fa45…
10-22 01:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe13f37…
10-22 01:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x9596dc…
10-22 01:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x36459c…
10-22 01:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x576fd9…
10-22 01:27:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	31	91¢	$28	0xcd6a3c…
10-22 01:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbb89bd…
10-22 01:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x232603…
10-22 01:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9f45b6…
10-22 01:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9e3807…
10-22 01:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdb58c9…
10-22 01:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0x4a57d5…
10-22 01:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x06117c…
10-22 01:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4776d0…
10-22 01:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3066b0…
10-22 01:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xbf8307…
10-22 01:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x525cd6…
10-22 01:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf91687…
10-22 01:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x12b05d…
10-22 01:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0x6813fc…
10-22 01:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x830291…
10-22 01:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6e0ecf…
10-22 01:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6e86c5…
10-22 01:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	78¢	$12	0xab1837…
10-22 01:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9b8028…
10-22 01:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x484a4e…
10-22 01:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xc29040…
10-22 01:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xbb8d22…
10-22 01:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xbe9141…
10-22 01:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xdba78c…
10-22 00:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xd6386a…
10-22 00:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb9d091…
10-22 00:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xeae139…
10-22 00:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd2462a…
10-22 00:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xba54fb…
10-22 00:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8d0cbb…
10-22 00:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0485fa…
10-22 00:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	36	4¢	$1	0x31524e…
10-22 00:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x4a2723…
10-22 00:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc0cbf1…
10-22 00:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x161fa3…
10-22 00:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x13c46f…