Strange-Fluke — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

698

Trades

712

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-17 20:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 97% -$51

Other

7% 97% -$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	05-10 09:55
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-20 12:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-20 15:54
bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 7am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-03 11:55
solana up or down on july 6 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-06 15:38
xrp up or down july 7 2026 4am et	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-07 08:55
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-04 08:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	07-04 11:51
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 12pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-28 16:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-20 08:00 UTC	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	06-20 11:57
solana up or down july 11 2026 11pm et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-12 03:55
solana up or down on july 15 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-15 15:32
bitcoin up or down on june 21 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	06-21 15:40
bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	08-09 15:39
bitcoin up or down july 3 2026 3am et	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-03 07:57
ethereum up or down on june 6 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Down	+$1	06-06 15:44
ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	07-27 15:40
bitcoin up or down july 5 2026 12am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	07-05 04:55
ethereum up or down june 30 2026 5am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	06-30 09:56
solana up or down july 22 2026 10am et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	-$50	07-22 14:58
bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 1pm et	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	06-30 17:56
solana up or down june 22 2026 7pm et	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	06-22 23:56
ethereum up or down on june 21 2026	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	06-21 15:41
ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	07-20 19:53
bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 4pm et	1	$50	52	+52	Up	+$2	08-04 20:55
XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-17 00:00 UTC	1	$50	52	+52	Down	+$2	06-17 03:50
ethereum up or down on july 6 2026	1	$50	51	+51	Up	-$50	07-06 15:38
wti closes above 87 on june 11 2026	1	$50	53	+53	No	+$3	06-11 20:51
solana up or down august 4 2026 4pm et	1	$50	53	+53	Up	+$3	08-04 20:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4AM ET	1	$50	53	+53	Down	-$50	05-11 08:57
solana up or down july 2 2026 11pm et	1	$50	53	+53	Down	+$3	07-03 03:56
bitcoin up or down july 9 2026 4am et	1	$50	53	+53	Down	+$3	07-09 08:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 20:38:28	ng up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe1ee75…
08-17 19:57:06	solana up or down august 17 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb0fed3…
08-17 15:52:16	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x55e2f9…
08-17 15:52:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 17?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x683fb3…
08-16 15:49:09	bitcoin up or down on august 16 2026	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xc0ef0e…
08-16 12:55:16	ethereum up or down august 16 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4d2cdf…
08-14 07:13:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe6db31…
08-13 09:29:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1c2453…
08-13 07:56:10	solana up or down august 13 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5ee3d1…
08-12 15:49:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xf96e2b…
08-12 15:49:03	ethereum above 1900 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x1cd66c…
08-11 20:33:51	ng up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x23cd6b…
08-11 20:28:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xb82580…
08-11 20:28:31	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x3a5154…
08-11 15:40:25	ethereum up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x4bb1a5…
08-10 17:57:21	ethereum up or down august 10 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x6ef8b0…
08-10 10:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x00e29e…
08-09 21:43:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0827c3…
08-09 21:43:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x865a40…
08-09 15:47:34	ethereum up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x2c49a6…
08-09 15:39:54	bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb875fe…
08-09 10:13:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x876a96…
08-08 19:51:57	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-08 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x7455e5…
08-08 15:59:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa16110…
08-08 15:58:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xe3fc10…
08-08 15:58:24	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x09381e…
08-08 15:30:34	bitcoin up or down on august 8 2026	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xf49301…
08-08 15:30:31	ethereum up or down on august 8 2026	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x5c43cd…
08-08 11:56:03	ethereum up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xffb888…
08-08 11:55:54	bitcoin up or down august 8 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf4c237…
08-08 01:29:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x506b33…
08-06 08:14:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x88b0c3…
08-06 03:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6ace62…
08-05 21:56:02	bitcoin up or down august 5 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x824740…
08-05 19:13:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x87f43a…
08-04 20:55:42	solana up or down august 4 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x8675ab…
08-04 20:55:38	bitcoin up or down august 4 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x5fd686…
08-04 14:28:18	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x1a816e…
08-04 13:58:24	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc3d0c5…
08-04 13:58:21	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc80c51…
08-04 09:57:03	solana up or down august 4 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x7b8dc2…
08-03 19:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5fd934…
08-03 17:56:29	ethereum up or down august 3 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x637ad8…
08-03 16:55:36	ethereum up or down august 3 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xe00075…
08-03 11:53:17	XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-03 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x4331f5…
08-02 18:58:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xae6434…
08-02 15:35:00	ethereum up or down on august 2 2026	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xfd2037…
08-02 07:53:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-02 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0xbd14ac…
08-01 22:13:48	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x68bc2e…
08-01 22:13:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-01 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0xe31321…
07-31 19:28:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x0300d7…
07-31 19:28:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x42e01e…
07-31 17:49:30	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa63f7c…
07-30 16:57:39	xrp up or down july 30 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x032dad…
07-30 15:38:54	ethereum up or down on july 30 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x27cf3f…
07-30 15:38:47	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 30?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xd22c78…
07-30 15:38:44	xrp above 1pt1 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xc9feaf…
07-30 07:44:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x38b6bd…
07-29 11:55:02	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-29 08:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xf751df…
07-29 06:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xf2329a…
07-28 20:59:46	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x1dfdbb…
07-28 19:59:07	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-28 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x25313b…
07-28 16:57:07	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xeefbcd…
07-28 15:50:23	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xe0762e…
07-28 06:28:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x85b640…
07-28 04:44:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x021454…
07-27 23:14:40	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6a01ad…
07-27 15:47:48	bitcoin up or down on july 27 2026	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xcb72d7…
07-27 15:40:40	ethereum up or down on july 27 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1dd90c…
07-27 11:58:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xfe9f0b…
07-27 11:58:07	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-27 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x0fb005…
07-27 10:34:55	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfa6419…
07-27 02:54:22	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa565fa…
07-27 02:54:19	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2f9bab…
07-26 18:13:51	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x1820ca…
07-26 10:09:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x86636c…
07-26 10:09:24	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2ea6db…
07-26 09:29:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xdcdb22…
07-25 22:28:43	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xbafb58…
07-25 18:13:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa06385…
07-25 15:44:27	solana up or down on july 25 2026	Up	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x6d3275…
07-25 15:44:24	bitcoin up or down on july 25 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x1a2753…
07-25 03:55:42	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-25 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x491c34…
07-24 15:49:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 24?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x15e7f0…
07-24 00:59:39	xrp up or down july 23 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x85772a…
07-24 00:59:39	xrp up or down july 23 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x05b254…
07-23 19:57:54	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-23 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x418000…
07-23 19:57:49	xrp up or down july 23 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xe06b09…
07-23 18:58:37	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd640ae…
07-23 18:58:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x1d6e44…
07-23 18:58:36	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xabd0b3…
07-23 18:58:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x72cf1c…
07-23 18:58:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x826e19…
07-23 18:58:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x679ffa…
07-23 15:30:12	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 23?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xa44ae2…
07-23 15:30:09	xrp above 1pt1 on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x65dd53…
07-23 06:34:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xcc855c…
07-23 06:14:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x049e8f…
07-22 19:56:28	solana up or down july 22 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xc040bd…
07-22 15:33:21	solana up or down on july 22 2026	Up	BUY	53	93¢	$49	0x4f7f4d…