Somber-Prospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

Trades

441

lifetime

Volume

$851

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-19 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 43% $-8

Politics

15% — —

Other

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	13	$94	216	215	+1	open	—	06-14 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	13	$24	79	79	+0	open	—	05-15 10:45
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	12	$22	122	122	+0	open	—	05-14 23:14
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$22	72	72	+0	open	—	06-12 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	4	$19	70	70	+0	open	—	05-18 00:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	9	$17	39	39	+0	open	—	05-15 10:11
btc updown 4h 1781884800	10	$16	162	162	+0	open	—	06-19 19:50
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	6	$15	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 01:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	7	$14	26	26	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	9	$13	24	24	+0	open	—	05-15 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	11	$13	36	36	+0	Down	+$2	05-14 03:26
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	06-11 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	8	$13	80	19	+61	Down	$-3	05-13 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$12	17	17	+0	Down	+$10	05-13 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	6	$12	282	20	+262	open	—	05-17 23:48
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	6	$11	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 18:33
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	4	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 01:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	7	$10	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 01:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	6	$10	20	10	+10	Up	$-1	05-13 04:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	6	$10	65	10	+55	Up	$-1	05-13 03:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	6	$10	15	10	+5	Down	$-0	05-13 03:55
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	5	$10	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	3	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 01:56
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	6	$9	43	10	+33	Up	$-3	05-13 23:31
btc updown 4h 1781899200	4	$8	33	33	+0	open	—	06-19 23:54
will trump speak to elon musk in june	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	06-15 10:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	5	$8	25	25	+0	open	—	05-17 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 16:46
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	2	$8	41	57	-16	open	—	06-15 08:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-19 23:54:14	btc updown 4h 1781899200	Down	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xed1198…
06-19 22:19:10	btc updown 4h 1781899200	Down	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0xde624f…
06-19 21:43:20	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x3ee44d…
06-19 21:40:58	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb87b59…
06-19 21:34:13	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xef769c…
06-19 21:29:52	btc updown 4h 1781899200	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x2c6366…
06-19 20:59:59	btc updown 4h 1781899200	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x04569d…
06-19 19:58:43	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 3pm et	Up	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xa5c923…
06-19 19:57:31	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x304e11…
06-19 19:50:52	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x8a738d…
06-19 19:50:52	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x1ad8d6…
06-19 19:50:50	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xec6cf1…
06-19 19:31:56	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4c292e…
06-19 19:27:05	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0xe53d6b…
06-19 19:21:59	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0x26f58d…
06-19 19:08:25	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcf8848…
06-19 18:30:07	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0xa450a6…
06-19 17:48:26	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0xd8b4ec…
06-19 17:48:23	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x1b6846…
06-19 16:59:20	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x23e851…
06-19 16:18:14	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xe611eb…
06-19 16:14:37	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x22035c…
06-19 15:46:34	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x5cc295…
06-19 15:38:41	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf4c741…
06-19 15:35:28	btc updown 4h 1781870400	Down	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xb2894b…
06-19 14:49:53	btc updown 4h 1781870400	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x48a0dc…
06-19 14:46:25	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 10am et	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xc0d043…
06-19 14:40:16	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x653786…
06-19 14:25:16	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa41bcd…
06-19 14:23:07	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x98b9c2…
06-19 13:55:22	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xe0c3e9…
06-19 13:31:38	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4ec882…
06-19 13:12:52	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc2d94d…
06-19 13:12:52	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0x1ced20…
06-19 12:38:35	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xf239e9…
06-19 12:33:02	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8bd918…
06-19 11:32:37	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x150940…
06-19 09:55:19	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x413d02…
06-19 01:38:04	bitcoin up or down on june 19 2026	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xd86c50…
06-19 01:21:47	bitcoin up or down on june 19 2026	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9b1254…
06-18 20:20:26	bitcoin above 64k on june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x6f7ec7…
06-18 19:59:32	bitcoin above 64k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa9b17d…
06-15 23:01:10	btc updown 4h 1781553600	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x739721…
06-15 22:59:16	btc updown 5m 1781564100	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xfa39a2…
06-15 10:36:40	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x9b4ead…
06-15 10:20:16	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x650f5c…
06-15 08:43:51	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	57	9¢	$5	0x942eba…
06-15 01:31:48	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0x991305…
06-14 21:43:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x21dc7c…
06-14 21:28:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x4ac2b3…
06-14 20:18:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	43	18¢	$8	0x1f6326…
06-14 19:02:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x69281f…
06-14 18:48:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	33	13¢	$4	0xcf9c03…
06-14 16:32:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	94	21¢	$20	0x4a0f17…
06-14 16:31:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xaa7756…
06-14 16:31:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xd2b1ce…
06-14 16:31:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	47	21¢	$10	0xb8f66e…
06-14 16:31:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x89bcda…
06-13 22:19:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	45	24¢	$11	0x9a4acd…
06-12 23:19:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	102	18¢	$18	0xa6800b…
06-12 23:15:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa7f1d6…
06-12 23:10:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	23	2¢	$1	0x08a56a…
06-12 23:08:15	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	15¢	$11	0xa78885…
06-12 20:10:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	23	5¢	$1	0x387ecf…
06-12 20:01:58	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x01ce39…
06-12 19:49:48	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x6b4a73…
06-12 18:23:48	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6e77fd…
06-12 15:01:43	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x29e8a1…
06-12 15:00:24	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0x38c13d…
06-12 14:52:43	will elon musk be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212474	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xaf5f94…
06-11 14:07:36	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0xfb6aff…
06-10 11:58:24	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	15¢	$11	0x70bcb3…
06-10 11:07:00	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xdb1978…
06-09 21:20:36	btc updown 4h 1781035200	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xd0f4c9…
06-09 20:09:12	btc updown 4h 1781035200	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5e1ada…
06-09 19:55:24	btc updown 15m 1781034300	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1c1856…
05-18 01:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xc79e88…
05-18 01:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x2d1a82…
05-18 01:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x14fc3a…
05-18 00:42:47	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xe7fdb5…
05-18 00:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x1f95d0…
05-18 00:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xc1e000…
05-18 00:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xa31f3f…
05-18 00:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8538c4…
05-18 00:05:13	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Weibo Gaming	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x609deb…
05-17 23:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x114bfb…
05-17 23:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbd368d…
05-17 23:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb32ac1…
05-17 23:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0xac95cb…
05-17 23:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xa3b064…
05-17 23:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x54ef6c…
05-17 23:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xfe06eb…
05-17 23:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xe517c2…
05-17 23:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd9f383…
05-17 23:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xab0c65…
05-17 23:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd7c80c…
05-17 20:38:40	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x757907…
05-17 20:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd296a9…
05-17 20:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xacebee…
05-17 20:19:02	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1e6207…