Somber-Prospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

Trades

365

lifetime

Volume

$622

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-18 01:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 43% $-8

Other

4% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	13	$24	79	79	+0	open	—	05-15 10:45
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	12	$22	122	122	+0	open	—	05-14 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	4	$19	70	70	+0	open	—	05-18 00:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	9	$17	39	39	+0	open	—	05-15 10:11
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	6	$15	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 01:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3AM ET	7	$14	26	26	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	9	$13	24	24	+0	open	—	05-15 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11PM ET	11	$13	36	36	+0	Down	+$2	05-14 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	8	$13	80	19	+61	Down	$-3	05-13 23:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$12	17	17	+0	Down	+$10	05-13 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	6	$12	282	20	+262	open	—	05-17 23:48
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	6	$11	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 18:33
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	4	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 01:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	7	$10	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 01:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	6	$10	20	10	+10	Up	$-1	05-13 04:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	6	$10	65	10	+55	Up	$-1	05-13 03:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	6	$10	15	10	+5	Down	$-0	05-13 03:55
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	5	$10	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 01:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	3	$9	20	20	+0	open	—	05-18 01:56
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	6	$9	43	10	+33	Up	$-3	05-13 23:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	5	$8	25	25	+0	open	—	05-17 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 16:46
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 21:31
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$8	38	0	+38	open	—	05-17 13:59
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	3	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 13:36
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	6	$7	56	20	+36	open	—	05-14 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	5	$7	15	15	+0	open	—	05-15 00:40
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	5	$7	70	0	+70	open	—	05-15 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 21:20:36	btc updown 4h 1781035200	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xd0f4c9…
06-09 20:09:12	btc updown 4h 1781035200	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5e1ada…
06-09 19:55:24	btc updown 15m 1781034300	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1c1856…
05-18 01:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0xc79e88…
05-18 01:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	25¢	$3	0x2d1a82…
05-18 01:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x14fc3a…
05-18 00:42:47	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xe7fdb5…
05-18 00:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x1f95d0…
05-18 00:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xc1e000…
05-18 00:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xa31f3f…
05-18 00:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8538c4…
05-18 00:05:13	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Weibo Gaming	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x609deb…
05-17 23:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x114bfb…
05-17 23:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xbd368d…
05-17 23:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb32ac1…
05-17 23:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0xac95cb…
05-17 23:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xa3b064…
05-17 23:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x54ef6c…
05-17 23:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0xfe06eb…
05-17 23:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xe517c2…
05-17 23:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd9f383…
05-17 23:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xab0c65…
05-17 23:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xd7c80c…
05-17 20:38:40	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x757907…
05-17 20:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd296a9…
05-17 20:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xacebee…
05-17 20:19:02	Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1e6207…
05-17 20:14:53	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Weibo Gaming	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x01dc23…
05-17 14:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x57c14d…
05-17 14:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x897b26…
05-17 13:59:15	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd31adb…
05-17 13:58:54	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xbe76ff…
05-17 13:41:10	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xefab35…
05-17 13:02:19	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xd84229…
05-17 12:55:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x6f5b2d…
05-17 12:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x01ec5f…
05-17 12:42:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf6cf8e…
05-17 11:05:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xdc9f5f…
05-17 11:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf597dd…
05-17 05:57:18	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xbdd1ae…
05-17 05:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x3a9319…
05-17 05:31:43	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x2702aa…
05-17 05:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x57156e…
05-17 05:21:12	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x495272…
05-17 05:18:39	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xd041d0…
05-17 02:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x10a258…
05-17 02:37:43	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0xc9ab01…
05-17 02:00:26	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xad2c20…
05-17 01:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x2e4fe8…
05-17 01:21:46	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc1b3e5…
05-16 20:26:03	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x82929d…
05-16 18:27:06	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x9692d5…
05-15 22:14:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x64f07a…
05-15 22:14:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xf6bd9b…
05-15 22:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xcfaebf…
05-15 22:08:56	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xde2e36…
05-15 22:08:56	Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xdb3b84…
05-15 22:08:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xc70dfc…
05-15 20:09:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x056833…
05-15 19:45:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x8f2ac3…
05-15 19:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x2d6542…
05-15 19:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xc73bfa…
05-15 19:35:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x7aac07…
05-15 19:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x727493…
05-15 19:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xa64060…
05-15 19:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x866e65…
05-15 19:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x43634c…
05-15 19:20:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x23cc21…
05-15 19:19:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf29ac4…
05-15 19:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x5d1d25…
05-15 19:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x7b9fd4…
05-15 19:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0xcf78cd…
05-15 19:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0x0b6e54…
05-15 19:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x57950e…
05-15 19:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xda3aae…
05-15 19:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6aea6d…
05-15 19:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x3b058d…
05-15 18:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x9fac0b…
05-15 18:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x7d1aac…
05-15 18:33:28	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x90bf50…
05-15 18:33:25	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x4cbd84…
05-15 18:30:47	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x868d92…
05-15 17:34:33	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd430dd…
05-15 17:13:47	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x41935d…
05-15 17:07:03	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xd7d1fc…
05-15 16:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xb73ea8…
05-15 16:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xab274e…
05-15 16:23:25	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xe1c16a…
05-15 15:49:54	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe5f2a9…
05-15 13:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0xf086e3…
05-15 13:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x1013c8…
05-15 13:38:27	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x7f262d…
05-15 13:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	8¢	$0	0x54c9be…
05-15 13:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x75415a…
05-15 13:36:33	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xda2bcf…
05-15 13:36:23	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x11510b…
05-15 13:34:33	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd457ff…
05-15 13:32:32	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2f144c…
05-15 13:29:58	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x4f5a64…
05-15 13:29:56	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x7e86e5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	94	$29.2K	2,690	05-18 02:50
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	92	$24.7K	1,437	06-09 23:45
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	89	$17.0K	976	06-09 22:55
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	86	$29.7K	1,550	06-09 23:34
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	79	$102.1K	3,249	06-09 23:29
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	65	$104.8K	5,343	06-09 19:57
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	61	$17.0K	1,423	05-18 00:41
(anonymous) 0x8176…709a	60	$1.60K	382	06-09 19:55