Realized P&L
+$13
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
44.9%
Resolved
172
Trades
1,507
lifetime
Volume
$2.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 01-30 03:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Politics
37%
49%
+$14
Crypto
30%
48%
+$13
Other
19%
48%
-$25
Sports
14%
54%
+$12
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-01-30).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 68 | $148 | 102 | 104 | -2 | No | +$1 | 01-15 03:40 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 56 | $114 | 77 | 82 | -6 | No | +$6 | 01-15 03:49 |
| nba gsw lac 2026 01 05 | 49 | $99 | 125 | 125 | -0 | Clippers | -$1 | 01-06 03:07 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 40 | $85 | 49 | 49 | +0 | No | $0 | 01-15 03:47 |
| nhl tor phi 2026 01 08 | 58 | $69 | 68 | 64 | +4 | Maple Leafs | -$3 | 01-08 22:15 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 31 | $68 | 45 | 48 | -3 | Yes | +$1 | 01-15 03:40 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 29 | $58 | 34 | 34 | +0 | No | $0 | 01-05 09:00 |
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 27 | $49 | 1,143 | 410 | +733 | No | -$3 | 01-08 01:04 |
| bitcoin up or down january 3 8am et | 39 | $47 | 58 | 52 | +7 | Down | +$2 | 01-03 13:59 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 23 | $43 | 26 | 26 | +0 | No | $0 | 01-15 03:48 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 20 | $38 | 31 | 31 | +0 | Yes | $0 | 01-14 12:40 |
| new stranger things episode released by january 31 294 | 18 | $38 | 18 | 20 | -2 | No | $0 | 01-15 03:47 |
| ethereum up or down january 3 10am et | 36 | $36 | 59 | 26 | +33 | Down | -$3 | 01-03 16:01 |
| will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998 | 15 | $33 | 40 | 40 | +0 | No | $0 | 01-15 03:42 |
| bitcoin up or down january 3 5pm et | 33 | $33 | 3,566 | 0 | +3,566 | Up | +$74 | 01-03 23:03 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | 15 | $30 | 23 | 25 | -2 | Yes | -$1 | 01-15 03:45 |
| over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632 | 14 | $28 | 27 | 16 | +10 | Yes | -$6 | 01-10 15:45 |
| will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322 | 11 | $28 | 16 | 16 | +0 | No | +$0 | 01-15 03:42 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 13 | $26 | 14 | 14 | +0 | No | $0 | 01-15 03:45 |
| ethereum up or down january 3 9am et | 22 | $24 | 40 | 10 | +30 | Up | -$6 | 01-03 14:59 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | 11 | $24 | 26 | 29 | -3 | Yes | -$1 | 01-15 03:42 |
| bitcoin up or down january 3 11am et | 23 | $24 | 120 | 15 | +105 | Up | -$6 | 01-03 16:44 |
| bitcoin up or down january 3 2pm et | 20 | $24 | 1,230 | 11 | +1,219 | Down | -$8 | 01-03 20:41 |
| solana up or down january 3 7am et | 23 | $23 | 25 | 18 | +8 | Up | -$2 | 01-03 12:47 |
| solana up or down january 3 1pm et | 14 | $23 | 120 | 14 | +106 | Up | -$2 | 01-03 19:09 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 16 | $23 | 22 | 20 | +2 | Yes | +$0 | 01-15 03:49 |
| ethereum up or down january 3 8am et | 22 | $22 | 26 | 19 | +7 | Down | -$2 | 01-03 13:56 |
| xrp up or down january 3 11am et | 15 | $21 | 2,057 | 10 | +2,047 | Down | -$4 | 01-03 17:49 |
| bitcoin up or down january 3 9am et | 20 | $21 | 16 | 14 | +1 | Up | +$0 | 01-03 14:49 |
| nothing ever happens khamenei | 9 | $20 | 16 | 16 | +0 | No | -$2 | 01-15 03:48 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||