Lustrous-Brownie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.65M

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved

213

Trades

21,660

lifetime

Volume

$40.1M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.85K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-25 20:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

97% 36% -$3,608,281

Sports

3% 33% -$44,281

Crypto

0% 50% -$18

Politics

0% 0% -$292

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	780	$4.43M	4,887,576	4,887,576	+0	Yes	-$1,191,593	07-04 18:34
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	607	$4.27M	4,387,265	3,022,296	+1,364,969	Yes	-$638,128	06-28 20:50
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	1,184	$3.65M	2,283,318	2,283,318	+0	Yes	+$106,734	06-30 22:05
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?	375	$2.02M	2,803,087	1,989,999	+813,088	Yes	+$844,894	06-29 22:20
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 team total home 2pt5	227	$1.63M	2,071,884	2,071,884	+0	Over	-$261,831	06-24 22:25
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	124	$1.63M	1,008,335	1,008,335	+0	Over	+$74,560	07-01 21:06
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?	436	$1.08M	2,548,509	0	+2,548,509	Yes	-$1,076,765	06-24 22:41
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	5	$1.00M	1,931,585	0	+1,931,585	Over	+$930,646	06-30 16:52
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	446	$934.9K	2,259,999	207,171	+2,052,828	Yes	-$726,798	06-27 22:37
fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 total 3pt5	498	$895.4K	2,052,746	0	+2,052,746	Over	+$1,157,380	06-26 19:02
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	894	$877.1K	763,455	763,455	+0	No	+$648,236	06-15 18:37
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	490	$839.8K	630,410	630,410	+0	No	+$257,067	07-01 21:24
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 3pt5	53	$638.9K	807,051	807,051	+0	Spain	-$264,592	06-21 17:03
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 3pt5	506	$613.3K	1,978,442	0	+1,978,442	Under	-$613,317	07-04 21:12
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	1,381	$611.7K	1,623,211	0	+1,623,211	Yes	-$611,676	06-24 20:54
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 team total home 1pt5	100	$546.0K	355,015	355,015	+0	Over	+$163,277	06-17 21:05
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	711	$498.6K	1,242,904	44,799	+1,198,105	Argentina	-$418,883	07-07 17:42
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	423	$477.0K	899,999	0	+899,999	Egypt	+$422,999	07-03 20:42
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	377	$465.0K	1,499,999	0	+1,499,999	Under	-$465,000	06-22 17:37
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	44	$429.3K	300,000	300,000	+0	Yes	+$75,308	06-17 22:21
Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 2.5	69	$380.7K	250,000	250,000	+0	Over	+$118,750	06-04 18:55
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5	10	$375.9K	220,000	220,000	+0	Over	+$63,530	06-04 17:30
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	392	$359.9K	1,152,276	47,990	+1,104,286	No	-$349,247	06-21 17:52
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	330	$351.6K	764,328	0	+764,328	Spurs	+$412,737	06-08 17:13
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	72	$346.0K	350,000	350,000	+0	No	-$66,000	06-15 19:31
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 team total home 2pt5	149	$345.0K	500,000	0	+500,000	Over	+$155,000	06-17 21:10
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-02?	161	$335.7K	206,015	206,015	+0	No	+$51,574	06-02 17:59
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	51	$331.8K	595,349	0	+595,349	Under	-$331,841	07-03 19:24
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?	307	$317.1K	519,210	519,210	+0	No	-$79,090	06-15 00:31
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?	159	$280.1K	855,486	855,486	+0	No	-$112,862	07-02 19:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 20:27:06	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	462,540	7¢	$30,990	0x0aa4f7…
10-25 20:26:45	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	190	7¢	$13	0x285bfa…
10-25 20:26:45	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	392	7¢	$26	0x076fcb…
10-25 20:26:44	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0xf72cab…
10-25 20:26:44	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x642d16…
10-25 20:26:44	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	107	7¢	$7	0x321865…
10-25 20:26:42	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	1,160	7¢	$78	0xbe3a92…
10-25 20:26:41	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	550	7¢	$37	0xf43c17…
10-25 20:26:41	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	17,796	7¢	$1,192	0xdbba98…
10-25 20:26:39	Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 2 Real Madrid CF?	Yes	BUY	6,653	7¢	$436	0x943785…
10-25 15:23:24	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	491,732	9¢	$44,256	0x6b1fd8…
10-25 15:23:03	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0xe21985…
10-25 15:22:51	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0xe4602a…
10-25 15:22:50	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xafdcc3…
10-25 15:22:48	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	826	9¢	$74	0xeb2534…
10-25 15:22:48	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	679	9¢	$61	0xe88249…
10-25 15:22:48	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0x793c53…
10-25 15:22:48	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x25ead8…
10-25 15:22:47	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	921	9¢	$83	0xedde9e…
10-25 15:22:47	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0x8ba4a1…
10-25 15:22:47	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x2da89f…
10-25 15:22:45	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	840	9¢	$76	0x8766d3…
10-25 15:22:45	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	52	9¢	$5	0x0e456d…
10-25 15:22:44	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	69	9¢	$6	0xfe7e5f…
10-25 15:22:44	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xfc2bba…
10-25 15:22:44	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	623	9¢	$56	0x365712…
10-25 15:22:42	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xa86229…
10-25 15:22:42	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	44	9¢	$4	0x8969e0…
10-25 15:22:42	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x49bc74…
10-25 15:22:42	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,056	9¢	$95	0x0d9dbd…
10-25 15:22:41	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xc5bee7…
10-25 15:22:41	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x7b6db5…
10-25 15:22:41	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	669	9¢	$60	0x132ad6…
10-25 15:22:39	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x89e7a5…
10-25 15:22:36	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0x1a4917…
10-25 15:22:35	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xf0aba1…
10-25 15:22:35	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	267	9¢	$24	0xe75aaf…
10-25 15:22:35	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	243	9¢	$22	0x86c4bf…
10-25 15:22:35	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x8598c3…
10-25 15:22:35	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x341f95…
10-25 15:22:33	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xf52339…
10-25 15:22:33	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	265	9¢	$24	0xbfae1b…
10-25 15:22:33	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	153	9¢	$14	0x40d046…
10-25 15:22:33	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4,093	9¢	$368	0x259e78…
10-25 15:22:32	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xd8a6b6…
10-25 15:22:32	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4,076	9¢	$367	0x5d7718…
10-25 15:22:32	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x5b0dc8…
10-25 15:22:32	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x53ce7f…
10-25 15:22:32	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	165	9¢	$15	0x4b0c32…
10-25 15:22:32	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	9¢	$7	0x21d04d…
10-25 15:22:32	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x05a1a2…
10-25 15:22:30	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xfaee5c…
10-25 15:22:30	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	75	9¢	$7	0xdeea15…
10-25 15:22:30	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22,980	9¢	$2,068	0xb3a2b6…
10-25 15:22:30	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,130	9¢	$102	0x565ef1…
10-25 15:22:30	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x46c59b…
10-25 15:22:30	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x3c0432…
10-25 15:22:30	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	304	9¢	$27	0x2b227c…
10-25 15:22:30	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	124	9¢	$11	0x29952a…
10-25 15:22:30	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22,980	9¢	$2,068	0x20f51d…
10-25 15:22:29	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25,000	9¢	$2,250	0xeaee9b…
10-25 15:22:29	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	48	9¢	$4	0xd06302…
10-25 15:22:29	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xb06b4d…
10-25 15:22:29	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,897	9¢	$171	0xa9dd93…
10-25 15:22:27	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,117	9¢	$101	0xcb339b…
10-25 15:22:27	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3,444	9¢	$310	0xa4b2d6…
10-25 15:22:27	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x8b0299…
10-25 15:22:27	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	898	9¢	$81	0x833562…
10-25 15:22:27	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	976	9¢	$88	0x726018…
10-25 15:22:27	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x58e5f4…
10-25 15:22:27	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	359	9¢	$32	0x574d8a…
10-25 15:22:26	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xddcefe…
10-25 15:22:26	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	487	9¢	$44	0xc08022…
10-25 15:22:26	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13,807	9¢	$1,243	0xac4029…
10-25 15:22:24	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7,485	9¢	$674	0xe702b2…
10-25 15:22:24	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xd42406…
10-25 15:22:24	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	627	9¢	$56	0xa8fa6e…
10-25 15:22:24	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xa4edf1…
10-25 15:22:24	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	73	9¢	$7	0x6fe1cd…
10-25 15:22:24	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0x3ac2f7…
10-25 15:22:23	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,117	9¢	$101	0x9ed72d…
10-25 15:22:23	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	9¢	$4	0x79e15c…
10-25 15:22:23	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x6ae13a…
10-25 15:22:21	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x9b484d…
10-25 15:22:21	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0x835609…
10-25 15:22:21	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x82c7d9…
10-25 15:22:21	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	627	9¢	$56	0x425426…
10-25 15:22:21	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	104	9¢	$9	0x2852e0…
10-25 15:22:20	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	150	9¢	$14	0xd9df60…
10-25 15:22:20	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0x8cd0e9…
10-25 15:22:20	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x18a4af…
10-25 15:22:18	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	223	9¢	$20	0xf8823c…
10-25 15:22:18	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	147	9¢	$13	0xb9d19c…
10-25 15:22:18	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	73	9¢	$7	0x6518ac…
10-25 15:22:18	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5,000	9¢	$450	0x5e764a…
10-25 15:22:17	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50,000	9¢	$4,500	0xe28ae3…
10-25 15:22:17	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x999574…
10-25 15:22:15	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xaa39b2…
10-25 15:22:15	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	660	9¢	$59	0x9a306b…
10-25 15:22:14	Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10,150	9¢	$914	0xccdcb9…