Dependent-Nestling-Vibration 0x34c19c…dc8454
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Realized P&L
-$84
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
84.8%
Resolved
1,534
Trades
2,672
lifetime
Volume
$24.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$591
29 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 07-22 20:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
56% 82% -$75
Sports
21% 67% -$33
Politics
21% 84% +$42
Tech
1% 67% -$13
Crypto
0% 81% -$5
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? No +149 $145 100¢ $149 +$4 06-05 23:06
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? No +102 $99 100¢ $102 +$3 06-05 23:06
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +108 $44 92¢ $99 +$55 06-05 23:06
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No +50 $32 56¢ $28 -$3 06-25 07:57
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$1 06-05 16:11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +25 $21 99¢ $25 +$4 06-05 16:11
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 06-05 16:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +20 $18 100¢ $20 +$2 06-09 18:40
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 06-09 18:40
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? No +20 $16 99¢ $20 +$4 06-09 18:40
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +149 $102 10¢ $16 -$87 06-05 23:06
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No +15 $10 91¢ $14 +$4 06-12 15:07
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-05 23:00
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +10 $10 77¢ $8 -$2 06-05 04:36
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-06 02:56
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-06 02:56
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-15 15:30
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-05 17:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +5 $3 76¢ $3 +$1 06-04 23:55
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No +10 $2 24¢ $2 +$1 06-05 04:36
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? No +5 $2 46¢ $2 $0 06-16 22:12
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 06-05 16:42
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-05 03:17
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No +16 $4 10¢ $2 -$3 06-12 15:07
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +5 $3 29¢ $1 -$1 06-04 23:55
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +22 $16 5¢ $1 -$15 06-09 18:40
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +25 $7 3¢ $1 -$7 06-05 16:11
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +10 $2 2¢ $0 -$1 06-06 02:56
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +5 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 06-08 06:03