Quizzical-Expectation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.1%

Resolved

Trades

414

lifetime

Volume

$4.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-25 09:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 19% $-24

Other

3% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$161	84	84	+0	open	—	04-28 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$157	80	80	+0	open	—	04-28 07:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$157	79	79	+0	open	—	04-28 07:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$153	79	79	+0	open	—	04-28 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$151	77	76	+0	open	—	04-27 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$150	75	75	+0	open	—	04-27 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$150	76	76	+0	open	—	04-27 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$150	76	76	+0	open	—	04-27 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$149	76	76	+0	open	—	04-27 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$105	54	54	+0	open	—	04-29 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$100	105	0	+105	open	—	04-28 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$100	108	0	+108	open	—	04-29 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$85	236	0	+236	open	—	04-28 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$84	76	76	+0	open	—	05-04 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$62	49	33	+16	open	—	05-03 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$58	30	30	+0	open	—	04-27 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$54	28	28	+0	open	—	04-28 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$53	2,650	0	+2,650	open	—	04-30 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	04-29 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	04-27 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$52	27	26	+0	open	—	04-27 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$52	27	26	+0	open	—	04-27 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-27 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$50	26	25	+0	open	—	04-27 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-27 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-27 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$48	38	38	+0	open	—	05-04 13:50
btc updown 5m 1773530400	3	$47	27	27	+0	open	—	03-14 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-27 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	04-29 08:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 09:55:01	btc updown 5m 1782381000	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8ffaf1…
06-25 09:24:26	btc updown 5m 1782379200	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x408735…
06-23 14:27:07	btc updown 5m 1782224700	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x4b1c13…
06-23 13:45:59	btc updown 5m 1782222300	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xccb4eb…
06-22 13:39:13	btc updown 5m 1782135300	Down	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xa40c4b…
06-22 13:36:19	btc updown 5m 1782135300	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0xc8ae56…
06-22 13:36:14	btc updown 5m 1782135000	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x46d731…
06-22 13:35:01	btc updown 5m 1782135300	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9ab431…
06-22 13:34:25	btc updown 5m 1782135000	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x71e7db…
06-22 13:32:17	btc updown 5m 1782135000	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x14c06e…
06-22 13:30:16	btc updown 5m 1782135000	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x40631d…
06-22 13:29:25	btc updown 5m 1782135000	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x51a516…
06-21 14:14:37	btc updown 5m 1782051000	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x742cad…
06-21 13:22:58	btc updown 5m 1782048000	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3b8ab5…
06-21 11:33:49	btc updown 5m 1782041700	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb7951e…
06-15 13:47:39	btc updown 5m 1781531100	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x29ade0…
06-15 13:23:52	btc updown 5m 1781529600	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa8c684…
06-14 13:59:21	btc updown 5m 1781445300	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x25ebde…
05-07 12:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1ec313…
05-06 14:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdb8719…
05-06 11:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe0aecf…
05-06 11:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xc0a3d9…
05-06 11:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x81683b…
05-06 11:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe72a87…
05-06 08:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb2b263…
05-06 08:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeb1e52…
05-06 08:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa65d29…
05-06 08:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x408147…
05-06 06:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcdfe8e…
05-06 06:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc496f6…
05-06 06:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x77e807…
05-06 06:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x5f3def…
05-06 06:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x48a022…
05-05 22:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x270648…
05-05 22:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcba414…
05-05 22:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcc5e71…
05-05 16:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x625a49…
05-05 15:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x90ba65…
05-05 15:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x22525a…
05-05 15:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7e3bd8…
05-05 15:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x884bc9…
05-05 15:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xce6739…
05-05 15:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe237b4…
05-05 15:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb5da74…
05-05 15:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x910723…
05-05 15:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x6a247b…
05-05 15:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xe50282…
05-05 15:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xbcd0ea…
05-05 15:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x671145…
05-05 15:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x65547f…
05-05 15:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0265a0…
05-05 15:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf84b88…
05-05 15:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc915a8…
05-05 15:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x53d32e…
05-05 14:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7bb5ce…
05-05 14:51:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf47ebe…
05-05 14:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe49589…
05-05 14:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc4bd3e…
05-05 14:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2ce73f…
05-05 14:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3fcd0e…
05-05 14:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0xc3d364…
05-05 14:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xed926b…
05-05 14:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x52db61…
05-05 14:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x06a03f…
05-05 13:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x71b39e…
05-05 13:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf42374…
05-05 13:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb991d3…
05-05 13:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe571cc…
05-05 13:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x24da5b…
05-05 13:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa1f1e9…
05-04 14:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0xd341c3…
05-04 13:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xeb6e01…
05-04 13:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xc31c00…
05-04 13:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xaee3c4…
05-04 13:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x56765f…
05-04 13:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	168	6¢	$10	0x72367e…
05-04 12:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x9a05c8…
05-04 12:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf1f2f3…
05-04 12:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	121	4¢	$5	0xead759…
05-04 11:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xbc1575…
05-04 11:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd7f922…
05-04 11:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	74¢	$26	0xbddf7b…
05-04 11:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x15d7dd…
05-04 10:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4748d0…
05-04 10:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfff139…
05-04 10:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x259c03…
05-04 10:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4737c1…
05-04 09:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x312d43…
05-04 09:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x4a101f…
05-04 09:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	76	97¢	$74	0x02aed6…
05-04 09:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0x4db512…
05-04 09:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa7ce43…
05-04 09:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xcf7d96…
05-04 08:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xfdc756…
05-04 08:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xe53a5f…
05-04 08:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x84fa00…
05-04 08:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x0c3e1d…
05-04 07:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x1293bc…
05-04 07:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xdedbe8…
05-04 07:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd7b00a…