Bleak-Sticker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

298

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-27 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$6

Politics

6% 90% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:02
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:04
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:52
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:02
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:41
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:08
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:22
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:19
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:44
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:28
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:21
highest temperature in chongqing on april 19 2026 28c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:48
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:46
highest temperature in busan on april 18 2026 25corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-18 08:13
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 15c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 15:22
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 05:40
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:08
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 06:00
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:50
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 06:56
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:45
highest temperature in istanbul on april 14 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 15:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe609ec…
10-26 04:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4c3bb0…
10-24 06:46:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe81c47…
10-22 09:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2309bf…
10-20 04:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6f8a2b…
10-19 06:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x727943…
10-18 07:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x77b791…
10-17 07:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x96f4f9…
10-16 04:32:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc5b717…
10-15 05:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x99c091…
10-14 07:07:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x221b59…
10-13 13:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x059dd0…
10-13 01:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$8	0xe1a8fe…
10-12 01:07:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c1779…
10-11 01:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d8fac…
10-08 05:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5b850…
10-07 08:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75cd0e…
10-06 15:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4eca1b…
10-06 05:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x795ab1…
10-04 07:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51f200…
10-03 00:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf84124…
10-02 07:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c7ea5…
10-02 03:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf649c5…
10-01 05:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x621e4c…
09-30 07:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x426f23…
09-29 06:42:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe004a…
09-28 07:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb31501…
09-27 10:42:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88c738…
09-26 08:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39648b…
09-25 07:23:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x699347…
09-24 06:36:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc209fa…
09-23 05:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9034b…
09-22 01:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ed6e3…
09-21 08:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf864fe…
09-20 02:14:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57ab35…
09-19 06:45:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8fb56…
09-18 01:07:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcce8d8…
09-17 00:56:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0afc62…
09-16 07:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31d5f5…
09-15 23:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb72115…
09-15 14:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad3396…
09-15 01:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5522c8…
09-14 00:46:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2f93c…
09-13 12:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd14f53…
09-12 03:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ba16f…
09-11 01:08:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6832a4…
09-10 01:26:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc0acb4…
09-09 00:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xafaebf…
09-08 01:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x92ab2e…
09-07 01:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1debf3…
09-06 07:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e8701…
09-06 01:07:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c14c8…
09-05 09:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3cc28…
09-04 08:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc54b89…
09-03 01:09:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4285a…
09-02 11:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe93452…
09-01 01:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98ebc8…
08-30 01:01:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x891f24…
08-29 05:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd60e13…
08-28 01:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09aed7…
08-27 01:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa0967a…
08-26 01:58:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x657ca4…
08-25 01:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5619f…
08-24 07:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba8626…
08-23 06:21:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6f24c…
08-22 01:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00bd03…
08-21 01:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7be921…
08-20 05:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf74e64…
08-19 06:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c89e2…
08-18 00:11:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55e624…
08-17 05:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19b8d5…
08-16 01:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6fdbb…
08-15 02:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c8d23…
08-14 01:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7b245…
08-13 00:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x762525…
08-12 00:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x88b6fb…
08-11 00:13:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ff86a…
08-10 00:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6bc08…
08-09 00:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17ce6e…
08-08 00:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d8dc1…
08-07 00:14:35	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7193c0…
08-06 00:19:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4054b2…
08-05 00:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47f19b…
08-04 03:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d40b5…
08-03 00:12:53	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa46d6d…
08-02 00:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfac663…
08-01 00:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e7e68…
07-31 01:00:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57b6bc…
07-30 00:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf54777…
07-29 00:12:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x993247…
07-28 00:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x709593…
07-27 01:18:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e5988…
07-26 08:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1926b…
07-26 00:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b2fb9…
07-25 00:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd784f6…
07-24 01:14:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5524d3…
07-23 00:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xade947…
07-22 09:42:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0acdc9…
07-22 01:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b4120…
07-20 23:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1fffa…