Fluffy-Work — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$964

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

209

Trades

306

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 05-21 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 54% -$1,048

Other

4% 67% +$79

Sports

1% 100% +$3

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	4	$765	2,100	2,100	+0	No	-$133	03-19 12:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 00:00 UTC	2	$495	587	292	+296	Up	-$435	02-22 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 12:25 UTC	1	$385	416	0	+416	Up	+$31	02-22 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 09:50 UTC	1	$279	450	0	+450	Up	-$279	02-22 09:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 08:05 UTC	2	$258	162	160	+2	Up	+$60	02-15 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$250	306	0	+306	Down	-$11	05-20 15:58
cbb stpete iona 2026 02 20	2	$246	158	158	+0	Iona Gaels	+$46	02-21 02:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 00:30 UTC	1	$230	371	0	+371	Down	+$141	02-20 00:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 04:30 UTC	1	$225	312	0	+312	Up	-$225	02-20 04:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 04:30 UTC	2	$225	116	116	+0	Down	+$5	02-13 04:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 03:40 UTC	2	$220	152	150	+2	Down	+$22	02-13 03:44
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	2	$217	127	127	+0	Alex de Minaur	+$37	05-20 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$215	318	0	+318	Down	+$41	05-20 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 06:35 UTC	1	$208	219	0	+219	Down	+$11	02-22 06:37
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	2	$204	128	128	+0	Yes	+$4	02-13 08:44
nba dal lal 2026 02 12	2	$203	152	152	+0	Lakers	+$3	02-13 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:55 UTC	1	$201	210	0	+210	Down	+$10	02-23 00:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 04:25 UTC	2	$200	683	0	+683	Up	-$55	02-20 04:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 09:45 UTC	2	$200	282	0	+282	Up	+$82	02-22 09:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 03:40 UTC	2	$200	285	0	+285	Down	+$85	02-20 03:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 12:45 UTC	1	$200	215	0	+215	Down	+$15	02-15 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:50 UTC	1	$196	293	0	+293	Up	-$196	02-23 00:52
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$194	345	345	+0	No	-$6	02-14 00:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 03:25 UTC	1	$193	460	0	+460	Up	-$193	02-23 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 09:35 UTC	1	$177	234	0	+234	Down	-$177	02-22 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	5	$176	335	0	+335	Down	+$38	05-20 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 09:05 UTC	1	$171	208	0	+208	Down	+$36	02-20 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 11:00 UTC	1	$165	194	0	+194	Up	+$29	02-22 11:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 03:30 UTC	1	$165	175	0	+175	Down	+$11	02-22 03:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 01:15 UTC	1	$162	258	0	+258	Up	+$96	02-18 01:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 15:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xe2107d…
05-21 15:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0xb6db25…
05-21 15:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	47¢	$17	0x0894b2…
05-21 15:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x0459a0…
05-21 15:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	553	9¢	$48	0x13a424…
05-21 15:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0xcaf63c…
05-21 15:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	82	49¢	$40	0x461d6f…
05-21 15:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x857383…
05-21 15:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	163	43¢	$70	0x12ada4…
05-21 15:08:39	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf88fa9…
05-21 15:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xc58dcf…
05-21 15:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	207	72¢	$150	0x0c79b7…
05-21 15:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	146	10¢	$15	0x2da2fb…
05-21 15:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xad78fb…
05-21 15:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0xe4f70d…
05-21 14:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x1e0dfa…
05-21 14:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x919e15…
05-21 14:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	135	59¢	$80	0x76cbcb…
05-21 14:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xf55f4b…
05-21 14:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x8f2a26…
05-21 14:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x173028…
05-21 14:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0x9ca8b2…
05-21 14:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x187f14…
05-21 14:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x8e722f…
05-21 14:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	125	10¢	$12	0xf98fe8…
05-21 14:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x1eeb91…
05-21 14:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5b86f5…
05-21 14:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4e088d…
05-21 14:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc10164…
05-21 14:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	81	50¢	$40	0x482239…
05-21 14:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0xf67871…
05-20 21:08:19	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0xc67870…
05-20 16:46:24	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	127	71¢	$90	0x254e0a…
05-20 16:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	199	50¢	$100	0xa2efd2…
05-20 16:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	262	12¢	$31	0x86c30c…
05-20 16:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xa6103d…
05-20 16:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	166	60¢	$100	0x331c95…
05-20 16:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa3959b…
05-20 16:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	150	73¢	$110	0x9ff5be…
05-20 16:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xad3f61…
05-20 16:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	118	93¢	$110	0x350895…
05-20 16:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x832e9a…
05-20 16:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x798c6c…
05-20 16:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	190	58¢	$110	0x655788…
05-20 16:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	73	9¢	$7	0xcba9dc…
05-20 16:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x3fe67d…
05-20 16:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x02cd06…
05-20 16:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0xa0b54a…
05-20 15:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	239	84¢	$200	0xb7b968…
05-20 15:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x7630e4…
05-20 15:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xb88790…
05-20 15:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	244	45¢	$110	0x51407d…
05-20 15:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xc972b8…
05-20 15:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xd3ea0b…
05-20 15:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x58ed0f…
05-20 15:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x8ea541…
05-20 15:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x608b5b…
05-20 15:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	66	1¢	$1	0xc97901…
05-20 15:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x511799…
05-20 15:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	135	78¢	$105	0x64fd0c…
05-20 15:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xfe605f…
05-20 15:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x30a9ba…
05-20 15:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	135	89¢	$120	0x640cd0…
05-20 15:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0xc2bb4a…
05-20 14:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	113	62¢	$70	0x60f0f2…
05-20 14:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xd6c465…
05-20 14:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xfdf499…
05-20 14:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x569b54…
05-20 14:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	161	87¢	$140	0xb7b548…
05-20 14:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x8979b8…
05-20 14:37:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	92	33¢	$30	0xc04112…
05-20 14:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	75	80¢	$60	0x8408cb…
05-20 14:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xbb5e65…
05-20 14:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xbb0d30…
05-20 14:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xb923c8…
05-20 14:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x2c4017…
05-20 13:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	116	69¢	$80	0x2ded39…
05-20 13:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	114	87¢	$100	0xfc4cc3…
05-20 13:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xea7b8c…
05-20 13:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xd3ac4f…
05-20 04:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xc3c898…
05-19 15:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	55	49¢	$27	0x98b644…
05-19 15:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	56	5¢	$3	0xb6f282…
05-19 15:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x56a348…
05-19 15:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x2e8be3…
05-19 15:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xce825f…
05-19 15:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xf7f2a6…
05-19 14:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	136	59¢	$80	0xfdf66b…
05-19 14:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x1554cb…
05-19 14:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xedf51d…
05-19 14:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x2a8c6b…
05-19 14:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x205fd2…
05-19 14:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	117	90¢	$105	0xb85362…
05-18 16:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0xb15ad3…
05-18 16:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x482664…
05-18 16:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x7a0c31…
05-18 16:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x234c49…
05-18 16:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x39af33…
05-18 16:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x2513a2…
05-18 16:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	69	55¢	$38	0xeaa2d5…